Predictors of Rehospitalization Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement: Results from the CoreValve US Trial Program James B. Hermiller Jr, MD,

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Presentation transcript:

Predictors of Rehospitalization Following Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement: Results from the CoreValve US Trial Program James B. Hermiller Jr, MD, Sina Moainie, MD, Steven J. Yakubov, MD, Michael J. Reardon, MD, Stan Chetcuti, MD, G. Michael Deeb, MD, J. Kevin Harrison, MD and Jeffrey J. Popma For the CoreValve US Investigators

Presenter Disclosure Information TCT2016 Presenter Disclosure Information Dr. Hermiller serves: As a Medtronic Faculty Educator Medtronic personnel performed all statistical analyses and verified the accuracy of the data, and assisted in the graphical display of the data presented. 2

TCT2016 Background TAVR patients with multiple comorbidities experience frequent readmissions following the index hospitalization. As the patient population recommended for TAVR is broadened, the importance of quality measures, e.g. 30-day rehospitalization rates, will grow. Discharge planning has been shown to reduce readmissions. Defining predictors of readmission following TAVR could facilitate allocation of pre- and post-discharge care and follow-up resources. Nombelo-Franco L, et al. JACC Cardiovasc Interv 2015; 8:1748-57. Naylor MD, et al. JAMA 1999; 281:613-20.Auerbach AD, et al. JAMA Intern Med 2016; ;176:484-49. Chandrasekhar J, Mehran R. Cath Cardiovasc Interv 2016; 87:143-144. 3

TCT2016 Objective To identify predictors of aortic valve-related hospitalizations (AVH) following self-expanding TAVR to augment discharge and follow-up planning to potentially prevent readmissions. 4

TCT2016 Definitions AVH was a non-elective hospital admission for AV disease-related signs and symptoms resulting in at least a 2-night stay. Signs& Symptoms of AVD AV dysfunction – dyspnea, shortness of breath Exercise intolerance Dizziness/ syncope Chest pain Worsening heart failure Volume overload 5

TCT2016 Methods The analysis population comprised 3595 patients discharged following TAVR in the CoreValve US ER and HR Pivotal Trial & Continued Access Study. An independent CEC adjudicated the cause for AV rehospitalizations. Early AVH = ≤ 30 days after discharge Late AVH = 31 to 365 days after discharge Identified baseline characteristics, medical history, cardiac history, frailties, and disabilities and post–TAVR variables based on clinical judgment. Univariable predictors with P ≤ 0.05 were entered into the multivariable model. Stepwise threshold for entry and exit was 0.10. If the reason for hospitalization could not be determined, it was conservatively counted as being related to the signs and symptoms of AV disease. 6

Demographics/ Medical History Procedural/ Discharge TCT2016 Tested Variables Demographics/ Medical History Cardiac History Frailty/ Disability Procedural/ Discharge Age Sex BMI Diabetes Smoking NIHSS CVD/ CVA PVD STS severe lung disease Hypertension Prior TIA STS Score >7% Severe Charlston score Cardiac surgery CABG PPI/ICD AF/AFL BAV Angina CAD Grade III/IV LVDD NYHA III/IV MMSE > 24 Weight loss Recent falls Home O2 Albumin <3.3 g/ dL 5M gait speed >6 s ≥ 2 Katz ADL Assisted living Femoral access AKI Major vasc comp LTD/major bleeding New pacemaker Dsch hemodynamics Dsch SCr >2mg/dL Dsch Hgb <8 g/dL Discharged to home Length of stay 7

TCT2016 RESULTS 8

Baseline Characteristics TCT2016 Baseline Characteristics Characteristic, mean ± SD or % TAVR N=3595 Age (years) 83.1 ± 7.8 Men 53.9 BMI < 21 kg/m2 8.2 STS PROM > 7% 58.3 Prior coronary artery bypass surgery 35.4 Diabetes mellitus 37.5 Cerebrovascular disease 25.1 STS severe chronic lung disease 18.9 Atrial fibrillation/ flutter 43.8 Home oxygen 21.3 ≥ 2 Katz ADL deficits 10.0 Falls in recent 6 months 19.3 9

AV Disease-Related Rehospitalizations TCT2016 AV Disease-Related Rehospitalizations AV-Disease-Related Rehospitalizations (%) 7.3 11.0 Months Post Discharge 10

Multivariable Predictors of Early AVH TCT2016 Multivariable Predictors of Early AVH Variable Hazard Ratios (95% CI) P Value DischAR ≥ moderate 2.17 (1.34, 3.52) 0.002 NYHA Class III/IV 2.02 (1.06, 3.85) 0.034 Acute kidney injury 1.80 (1.20, 2.71) 0.005 Home oxygen 1.60 (1.13, 2.25) 0.008 Hx of Afib/Aflutter 1.60 (1.17, 2.20) 0.003 New pacemaker 1.49 (1.07, 2.06) 0.018 Albumin < 3.3 g/dL 1.49 (1.02, 2.17) 0.037 Prior CABG 1.45 (1.05, 2.01) 0.041 LOS (per day) 1.02 (1.00, 1.04) 0.025 Discharged home 0.69 (0.49, 0.96) 0.029 2.50 3.50 1.50 0.50 3.00 2.00 1.00 4.00 11

Multivariable Predictors of Late AVH TCT2016 Multivariable Predictors of Late AVH Variable Hazard Ratios (95% CI) P Value Home oxygen 2.20 (1.73, 2.81) <0.001 Discharge MR ≥ moderate 1.93 (1.47, 2.54) Discharge SCr > 2 mg/dL 1.87 (1.26, 2.75) 0.002 Unplanned weight loss 1.65 (1.21, 2.24) 0.001 Hx of Afib/Aflutter 1.36 (1.08, 1.71) 0.009 STS > 7% 1.35 (1.05, 1.74) 0.020 Bleeding* 1.34 (1.06, 1.69) 0.016 LOS (per day) 1.03 (1.01, 1.04) Discharge LVEF (per 1%) 0.98 (0.98, 0.99) Discharge SCr > 2 mg/dL 2.50 3.50 1.50 0.50 3.00 2.00 1.00 *Life-threatening disabling or major bleeding during index hospitalization 12

Limitations Retrospective post-hoc analysis TCT2016 Limitations Retrospective post-hoc analysis Only evaluated AV disease-related readmissions Analysis based only on first rehospitalization 13

TCT2016 Conclusions Patients with severe HF symptoms, on chronic O2, and not discharged home are more likely to be readmitted early after TAVR. The risk of late AVH was more likely to be due to comorbidities. Reducing procedural complications, e.g. AKI, residual AR and bleeding events may reduce the risk of readmission. Identifying those at highest risk for readmission may help triage the intensity of resources needed for post-discharge care. “trigger more aggressive follow-up 14