Sequences, Series, and Probability

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Sequences, Series, and Probability 9 Sequences, Series, and Probability Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved.

Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved. 9.6 Counting Principles Copyright © Cengage Learning. All rights reserved.

Objectives Solve simple counting problems. Use the Fundamental Counting Principle to solve counting problems. Use permutations to solve counting problems. Use combinations to solve counting problems.

Simple Counting Problems

Simple Counting Problems This section presents a brief introduction to some of the basic counting principles and their application to probability. The following example describes simple counting problem.

Example 1 – Selecting Pairs of Numbers at Random You place eight pieces of paper, numbered from 1 to 8, in a box. You draw one piece of paper at random from the box, record its number, and replace the paper in the box. Then, you draw a second piece of paper at random from the box and record its number. Finally, you add the two numbers. How many different ways can you obtain a sum of 12?

Example 1 – Solution To solve this problem, count the different ways to obtain sum of 12 using two numbers from 1 to 8. First number 4 5 6 7 8 Second number 8 7 6 5 4 So, a sum of 12 can occur in five different ways.

Simple Counting Problems The counting problem in Example 1 can be described by saying that the random selection occurs with replacement.

The Fundamental Counting Principle

The Fundamental Counting Principle Example 1 describes simple counting problem in which you can list each possible way that an event can occur. When it is possible, this is always the best way to solve a counting problem. However, some events can occur in so many different ways that it is not feasible to write out the entire list. In such cases, you must rely on formulas and counting principles.

The Fundamental Counting Principle The most important of these is the Fundamental Counting Principle. The Fundamental Counting Principle can be extended to three or more events. For instance, the number of ways that three events E1, E2, and E3 can occur is m1  m2  m3.

Example 3 – Using the Fundamental Counting Principle How many different pairs of letters from the English alphabet are possible? Solution: There are two events in this situation. The first event is the choice of the first letter, and the second event is the choice of the second letter. Because the English alphabet contains 26 letters, it follows that the number of two-letter pairs is 26  26 = 676.

Permutations

Permutations One important application of the Fundamental Counting Principle is in determining the number of ways that n elements can be arranged (in order). An ordering of n elements is called a permutation of the elements.

Example 5 – Finding the Number of Permutations How many permutations of the letters A, B, C, D, E, and F are possible? Solution: Consider the following reasoning. First position: Any of the six letters Second position: Any of the remaining five letters Third position: Any of the remaining four letters Fourth position: Any of the remaining three letters Fifth position: Either of the remaining two letters Sixth position: The one remaining letter

Example 5 – Solution cont’d So, the numbers of choices for the six positions are as follows. The total number of permutations of the six letters is 6! = 6  5  4  3  2  1 = 720.

Permutations It is useful, on occasion, to order a subset of a collection of elements rather than the entire collection. For example, you might want to order r elements out of a collection of n elements.

Permutations Such an ordering is called a permutation of n elements taken r at a time.

Permutations Remember that for permutations, order is important. So, to find the possible permutations of the letters A, B, C, and D taken three at a time, you count the permutations (A, B, D) and (B, A, D) as different because the order of the elements is different. Suppose, however, that you want to find the possible permutations of the letters A, B, and C. The total number of permutations of the four letters would be 4P4 = 4!.

Permutations However, not all of these arrangements would be distinguishable because there are two A’s in the list. To find the number of distinguishable permutations, you can use the following formula.

Combinations

Combinations When you count the number of possible permutations of a set of elements, order is important. As a final topic in this section, you will look at a method of selecting subsets of a larger set in which order is not important. Such subsets are called combinations of n elements taken r at a time. For instance, the combinations {A, B, C} and {B, A, C} are equivalent because both sets contain the same three elements, and the order in which the elements are listed is not important.

Combinations So, you would count only one of the two sets. A common example of how a combination occurs is in a card game in which players are free to reorder the cards after they have been dealt.

Example 8 – Combinations of n Elements Taken r at a Time In how many different ways can three letters be chosen from the letters A, B, C, D, and E? (The order of the three letters is not important.) Solution: The following subsets represent the different combinations of three letters that can be chosen from the five letters. {A, B, C} {A, B, D} {A, B, E} {A, C, D} {A, C, E} {A, D, E} {B, C, D} {B, C, E} {B, D, E} {C, D, E}

Example 8 – Solution cont’d From this list, you can conclude that there are 10 different ways that three letters can be chosen from five letters.

Combinations Note that the formula for nCr is the same one given for binomial coefficients. To see how to use this formula, solve the counting problem in Example 8. In that problem, you want to find the number of combinations of five elements taken three at a time.

Combinations So, n = 5, r = 3, and the number of combinations is which is the same answer obtained in Example 8.

Combinations When solving problems involving counting principles, you need to be able to distinguish among the various counting principles in order to determine which is necessary to solve the problem correctly. To do this, ask yourself the following questions. 1. Is the order of the elements important? Permutation 2. Are the chosen elements a subset of a larger set in which order is not important? Combination 3. Does the problem involve two or more separate events? Fundamental Counting Principle