Decision Support Systems

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Presentation transcript:

Decision Support Systems Sdfdsfdsfgds Sdgdsg INF421 & IS341

Operational Research and Chapter 6: Operational Research and Optimization

Introduction The objectives of this chapter are To provide an overview of the OR process; To describe the methods of OR in board terms; and To consider how OR methods can be embedded in levels 2 and 3 of DSSs.

What is Operations Research? The activities carried out in an organization.   Research The process of observation and testing characterized by the scientific method. Situation, problem statement, model construction, validation, experimentation, candidate solutions. Operations Research is a quantitative approach to decision making based on the scientific method of problem solving.

What is Operations Research? Operations Research is the scientific approach to execute decision making, which consists of: The art of mathematical modeling of complex situations The science of the development of solution techniques used to solve these models The ability to effectively communicate the results to the decision maker Sdgshdfhfdh Dfh Dfs Hdfs H Dfsh d

What Do We do OR professionals aim to provide rational bases for decision making by seeking to understand and structure complex situations and to use this understanding to predict system behavior and improve system performance. Much of this work is done using analytical and numerical techniques to develop and manipulate mathematical and computer models of organizational systems composed of people, machines, and procedures.

Problem Solving Process Goal: solve a problem Model must be valid Model must be tractable Solution must be useful

Computer Software A variety of software packages are available for solving mathematical models, some are: Spreadsheet packages such as Microsoft Excel The Management Scientist (MS) Quantitative system for business (QSB) LINDO, LINGO Quantitative models (QM) Decision Science (DS)

Components of OR-Based Decision Support System Data base (nurse profiles, external resources, rules) Graphical User Interface (GUI); web enabled using java or VBA Algorithms, pre- and post- processor What-if analysis Report generators

with respect to a subject to a being in A. Optimization Problem Optimization is the heart of OR. Optimize π(a) with respect to a subject to a being in A. a = (a1,a2, …, an) − are the decision variables. π(a) − is the objective function that measures the decisions. A − is the constraint set which can be represented mathematically as: g(a) ≥ 0; h(a) = 0; l ≤ ai ≤ u, … .

Graphical solution A Graphical Solution Procedure (LPs with 2 decision variables can be solved/viewed this way.) 1. Plot each constraint as an equation and then decide which side of the line is feasible (if it’s an inequality). 2. Find the feasible region. 3. find the coordinates of the corner (extreme) points of the feasible region. 4. Substitute the corner point coordinates in the objective function 5. Choose the optimal solution

Example 1: A Minimization Problem LP Formulation Min z = 5x1 + 2x2 s.t. 2x1 + 5x2 > 10 4x1 - x2 > 12 x1 + x2 > 4 x1, x2 > 0

Example 1: Graphical Solution Graph the Constraints Constraint 1: When x1 = 0, then x2 = 2; when x2 = 0, then x1 = 5. Connect (5,0) and (0,2). The ">" side is above this line. Constraint 2: When x2 = 0, then x1 = 3. But setting x1 to 0 will yield x2 = -12, which is not on the graph. Thus, to get a second point on this line, set x1 to any number larger than 3 and solve for x2: when x1 = 5, then x2 = 8. Connect (3,0) and (5,8). The ">" side is to the right. Constraint 3: When x1 = 0, then x2 = 4; when x2 = 0, then x1 = 4. Connect (4,0) and (0,4). The ">" side is above this line.

Example 1: Graphical Solution Constraints Graphed x2 5 3 2 1 Feasible Region 4x1 - x2 > 12 x1 + x2 > 4 4 2x1 + 5x2 > 10 (16/5,4/5) (10/3, 2/3) 1 2 3 4 5 6 x1 (5,0)

Example 1: Graphical Solution Solve for the Extreme Point at the Intersection of the second and third Constraints 4x1 - x2 = 12 x1+ x2 = 4 Adding these two equations gives: 5x1 = 16 or x1 = 16/5. Substituting this into x1 + x2 = 4 gives: x2 = 4/5 Solve for the extreme point at the intersection of the first and third constraints 2x1 + 5x2 =10 x1 + x2= 4 Multiply the second equation by -2 and add to the first equation, gives 3x2 = 2 or x2 = 2/3 Substituting this in the second equation gives x1 = 10/3 point Z (16/5, 4/5) 88/5 (10/3, 2/3) 18 (5, 0) 25

Example 2: A Maximization Problem Max z = 5x1 + 7x2 s.t. x1 < 6 2x1 + 3x2 < 19 x1 + x2 < 8 x1, x2 > 0

Example 2: A Maximization Problem Constraint #1 Graphed x2 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 x1 < 6 (6, 0) x1

Example 2: A Maximization Problem Constraint #2 Graphed x2 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 (0, 6 1/3) 2x1 + 3x2 < 19 (9 1/2, 0) x1

Example 2: A Maximization Problem Constraint #3 Graphed x2 (0, 8) 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 x1 + x2 < 8 (8, 0) x1

Example 2: A Maximization Problem Combined-Constraint Graph x2 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 x1 + x2 < 8 x1 < 6 2x1 + 3x2 < 19 x1

Example 2: A Maximization Problem Feasible Solution Region 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Feasible Region x1

Example 2: A Maximization Problem The Five Extreme Points 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5 (0, 19/3) (5, 3) 4 Feasible Region 3 (6, 2) 1 2 (0, 0) x1 (6, 0)

Example 2: A Maximization Problem Having identified the feasible region for the problem, we now search for the optimal solution, which will be the point in the feasible region with the largest (in case of maximization or the smallest (in case of minimization) of the objective function. To find this optimal solution, we need to evaluate the objective function at each one of the corner points of the feasible region.

Example 2: A Maximization Problem Point Z (0,0) 0 (6,0) 30 (6,2) 44 (5,3) 46 (0,19/3) 44.33 x2 Optimal Solution 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Optimal Solution x1

Extreme Points and the Optimal Solution The corners or vertices of the feasible region are referred to as the extreme points. An optimal solution to an LP problem can be found at an extreme point of the feasible region. When looking for the optimal solution, you do not have to evaluate all feasible solution points. You have to consider only the extreme points of the feasible region.

Feasible Region The feasible region for a two-variable linear programming problem can be nonexistent, a single point, a line, a polygon, or an unbounded area. Any linear program falls in one of three categories: is infeasible has a unique optimal solution or alternate optimal solutions has an objective function that can be increased without bound A feasible region may be unbounded and yet there may be optimal solutions. This is common in minimization problems and is possible in maximization problems.

Special Cases Alternative Optimal Solutions In the graphical method, if the objective function line is parallel to a boundary constraint in the direction of optimization, there are alternate optimal solutions, with all points on this line segment being optimal. Infeasibility A linear program which is overconstrained so that no point satisfies all the constraints is said to be infeasible. Unbounded For a max (min) problem, an unbounded LP occurs if it is possible to find points in the feasible region with arbitrarily large (small) Z

Example with Multiple Optimal Solutions

Example: Infeasible Problem Solve graphically for the optimal solution: Max z = 2x1 + 6x2 s.t. 4x1 + 3x2 < 12 2x1 + x2 > 8 x1, x2 > 0

Example: Infeasible Problem There are no points that satisfy both constraints, hence this problem has no feasible region, and no optimal solution. x2 2x1 + x2 > 8 8 4x1 + 3x2 < 12 4 x1 3 4

Example: Unbounded Problem Solve graphically for the optimal solution: Max z = 3x1 + 4x2 s.t. x1 + x2 > 5 3x1 + x2 > 8 x1, x2 > 0

Example: Unbounded Problem The feasible region is unbounded and the objective function line can be moved parallel to itself without bound so that z can be increased infinitely. x2 3x1 + x2 > 8 8 5 x1 + x2 > 5 x1 2.67 5

Solve the following LP graphically max 45 x1 + 60 x2 Objective Function A £ s.t. 10 x1 + 20 x2 1800 Structural B 28 x1 + 12 x2 £ 1440 constraints 6 x1 + 15 x2 £ 2040 C D 15 x1 + 10 x2 £ 2400 x1  40 x2  100 E F x1 ≥ 0, x2 ≥ 0 nonnegativity Where x1 is the quantity produced from product Q, and x2 is the quantity of product P Are the LP assumptions valid for this problem?

The graphical solution Assignment: Complete the problem to find the optimal solution E F (1)

Possible Outcomes of an LP 1. Infeasible – feasible region is empty; e.g., if the constraints include x1+ x2 £ 6 and x1+ x2  7 2. Unbounded - Max 15x1+ 7x2 (no finite optimal solution) s.t. x1 + x2 ³ 1 x1, x2 ³ 0 3. Multiple optimal solutions - max 3x1 + 3x2 s.t. x1+ x2 £ 1 x1, x2 ³ 0 4. Unique Optimal Solution Note: multiple optimal solutions occur in many practical (real-world) LPs.