Pennsylvania Climate Change Act Climate Change Action Plan Air Quality Technical Advisory Committee August 4, 2016

Pennsylvania Climate Change Act Action Plan Responsibilities: The Department shall, in consultation with the committee, submit an Action Plan to the Governor. The first plan to be submitted within 15 months of the effective date of the act and every three years thereafter.

Pennsylvania Climate Change Act First Action Plan submitted to Governor on Dec. 18, 2009. The first update submitted to Governor on Dec. 31, 2013 (Pa. Climate Change Action Plan Update) The second update submitted to Governor on July 31, 2016 (2015 Climate Change Action Plan Update)

Pennsylvania Climate Change Act Action Plan Requirements: Identifies GHG emissions, sequestration trends, and baselines. Evaluates strategies for reducing or offsetting GHG emissions. Identifies cost, benefits and co-benefits of GHG reduction strategies, including impact of future energy needs. Identifies areas of agreement and disagreement. Recommends legislative changes.

Climate Change Action Plan The Climate Change Action Plan Update report includes: Executive Summary Chapter 1. Overview & Introduction Chapter 2. Climate Change Impacts Chapter 3. Inventory & Projections Chapter 4. Energy Chapter 5. Land Use Chapter 6. Transportation

Climate Change Action Plan Chapter 7. Forests Chapter 8. Agriculture Chapter 9. Waste Management Chapter 10. Macroeconomic Analysis Chapter 11. Climate Change Mitigation Needs Chapter 12. Legislative Recommendations

Pennsylvania Climate Change Act New to 2015 Action Plan Update Chapter 2 Climate Change Impacts Sectorial Assessment Agriculture Energy Forests Human Health Outdoor Recreation Water Wetlands & Aquatic Ecosystems Coastal Resources

Pennsylvania Climate Change Act The 2015 Update shows that Pennsylvania has undergone a long-term warming of more than 1°C (1.8°F) over the past 110 years. Models used in the Update suggest this warming is a result of anthropogenic influence, and this trend is accelerating. Projections in the 2015 Update show that by the middle of the 21st Century, Pennsylvania will be about 3°C (5.4°F) warmer than it was at the end of the 20th Century.

Pennsylvania Climate Change Act

Climate Change Advisory Committee The Climate Change Advisory Committee (CCAC) consists of 18 members appointed by the Governor (6) and the Majority (6) and Minority (6) leaders of the Senate and House, along with 3 ex-officio voting members: Secretary of Conservation and Natural Resources Secretary of Community and Economic Development Chair of the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission

Climate Change Advisory Committee The CCAC member appointments are for 4 years. Members must be residents of PA and are appointed based on their interest, knowledge or expertise regarding climate change issues. Members are selected to reflect a diversity of viewpoints on climate change issues from the scientific, business and industry, transportation, environmental, social, recreation and labor communities. There are currently 4 vacancies on the committee.

Climate Change Advisory Committee The CCAC established two subcommittees (Pocket Groups) for work plan development: Generation type work plans Non-Generation type work plans The Pocket Groups provide the DEP with valuable resources and insight into the development of the work plans. During this Update process, the CCAC met 15 times and conducted one conference call.

Update Process The 2015 Update was based on a review and evaluation of scientific literature and data along with a macroeconomic analysis of the work plans. The report discusses work plans that, when implemented, reduce Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions in the Commonwealth.

Update Process The work plans cover a wide range of options for emissions reductions in the energy, residential, commercial, industrial, land use, transportation, agriculture and forestry sectors in Pennsylvania. The DEP, with the advice of the CCAC, developed the work plans following general criteria for all of the individual work plans.

Work Plans Work plans provide a framework for planning and serve as a guide during a specified time period for carrying out work. During the Update process, the DEP in consultation with the CCAC developed 13 different work plans covering various sectors within the Commonwealth. The Department incorporated all 13 work plans into the Update.

Manufacturing Energy Technical Assistance This example of a work plan represents one of the plans incorporated into the Update and is aimed at reducing GHG emissions from small and medium-sized manufacturing facilities in PA. This initiative looks to ensure that each year, 125 energy assessments are conducted at qualifying small and medium-sized manufacturing facilities in Pennsylvania. Assessments will be designed by PADEP and performed by PennTAP and the DOE’s Industrial Assessment Centers program (IAC). This work plan was developed by DEP in consultation with the full CCAC. Manufacturing Energy Technical Assistance was endorsed for incorporation into the Update by a CCAC vote of 14-1-0.

Manufacturing Energy Technical Assistance Summary – A brief introduction to the work plan and what it involves. Goals – The proposed results at the end of the specified time period (through 2030). Implementation – What actions will be necessary to accomplish the goal and usually a time line for the completion of the initiatives contained in the work plan. Assumptions and Calculations – Certain assumptions must be made in the development of a work plan. These assumptions are analyzed and calculations are performed to determine cost effectiveness and potential GHG reductions.

Manufacturing Energy Technical Assistance GHG reductions and Cost Effectiveness – A summary table of expected emissions reductions and the cost per ton of CO2e saved or reduced. Potential Overlap – Identifies other work plans where the emissions reductions from this work plan may be accounted. CCAC Member Comments – Individual CCAC member comments of agreement or disagreement with the particular work plan are presented here. Macroeconomic Analysis – Each work plan is evaluated with a REMI-model to provide projections on the economic impact of adopting the work plan.

Manufacturing Energy Technical Assistance 2030 Annual 2030 Cumulative Reductions (MMtCO2e) Cost ($MM) Cost-effectiveness ($/MtCO2e) Total NPV ($MM) Manufacturing Energy Technical Assistance .82 -144.59 -176.8 7.07 -587 -83.05

META Macroeconomic Analysis Manufacturing Energy Technical Assistance META Macroeconomic Analysis Economic Indicator 2020 2025 2030 2016-2030 Avg. Employment -20 -30 -25 GDP ($Million) -$10 Income ($Million) -$1 -$2

Thank You Frank Purtell Bureau of Air Quality 717-787-2030 frpurtell@pa.gov