Who Will Lead the World? Shifting Alignments in World Public Opinion A GlobeScan/PIPA Poll April 6, 2005
Changing U.S. Favorability Ratings Percent favorable view of the United States US State Dept: Pew: March 2004
Country Sample Size (unweighted) Field dates Canada1000Nov 23 – Dec Mexico1000Nov 16 – Dec USA1000Nov 17 – Dec Argentina1005Dec 10– Brazil800Nov 16 – Dec Chile1200Dec 10– Australia1018Dec 1– China1800Dec 4– India1005Dec 4– Indonesia1000Nov 30 – Dec Japan1403Dec 9– Philippines500Dec 11– South Korea1000Nov 26 – Dec France1001Dec 8– Germany1004Nov 29 – Dec Great Britain1000Nov 15– Italy1035Dec 3– Poland943Nov 25– Spain808Jan 17– Russia1028Dec 2– Turkey1200Dec 9– Lebanon1000Dec 15 – Jan South Africa1011Jan 3– Sampling and Fielding Dates
Mainly positive Mainly negative United States’ Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world... The United States The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Philippines South Africa India Poland South Korea Italy Great Britain Brazil China Australia Indonesia France Canada Lebanon Chile Spain Germany Japan Argentina Turkey Russia Mexico World Average w/o US
Mainly positive Mainly negative United States’ Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world... The United States The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Philippines India South Korea Brazil China Australia Indonesia Canada Chile Japan Argentina Mexico World Average w/o US United States 2571 Asia-Pacific: South America: North America: World Average:
Mainly positive Mainly negative United States’ Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world... The United States The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” South Africa Poland Italy Great Britain France Lebanon Spain Germany Turkey Russia World Average w/o US Middle East: Eurasia: Europe: World Average: Africa:
Mainly Positive Mainly Negative Influence in the World Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world (Number of countries where majority or plurality says…) The white space in this chart indicates countries where views are divided. France Europe Britain 18 China 14 US 6 Russia
Mainly Positive Mainly Negative View of Influence -By Mean Percent- The white space in this chart represents indicates “Don’t know” or “No answer” France Europe Britain 50 China 48 US 38 Russia
Mainly positive Mainly negative European Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world…Europe The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Germany Italy France Spain Canada Great Britain China South Africa Philippines Poland Australia Indonesia South Korea Lebanon Chile United States Brazil Russia Argentina Turkey Mexico Japan India World Average
Mainly positive Mainly negative Europe vs. US Influence in World: For each of the following possible future trends, please tell me if you would see it as mainly positive or mainly negative... Europe becomes more influential than the United States in world affairs. The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Spain Germany Italy France China Great Britain Mexico South Africa Russia Australia Lebanon Argentina Poland Turkey Chile Japan Philippines United States World Average w/out Europeans Canada India 3513 World Average Indonesia Brazil 2853 South Korea
Mainly positive Mainly negative Europe vs. US Influence in the World: For each of the following possible future trends, please tell me if you would see it as mainly positive or mainly negative... Europe becomes more influential than the United States in world affairs. The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Chile Mexico Australia Argentina China Japan Philippines United States World Average w/out Europeans Canada India World Average Indonesia 2256 Brazil South Korea Asia-Pacific: South America: North America: World Average:
Mainly positive Mainly negative Europe vs. US Influence in the World: For each of the following possible future trends, please tell me if you would see it as mainly positive or mainly negative... Europe becomes more influential than the United States in world affairs. The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Spain Germany Italy France Great Britain South Africa Russia Lebanon Poland Turkey World Average w/out Europeans World Average Middle East: Eurasia: Europe: World Average: Africa:
Educational Variations Support Europe becoming more influential than the US High Medium Low 5322 The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Mainly positive Mainly negative
Mainly positive Mainly negative French Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world…France The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Germany Italy China South Korea Lebanon South Africa Canada Philippines Spain Russia Chile Indonesia Poland Brazil Great Britain Australia India Argentina United States Mexico Japan Turkey World Average (w/o France)
Mainly positive Mainly negative British Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world… Britain The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” United States South Korea Canada South Africa Poland Australia Italy Philippines Indonesia France Spain China Germany Russia Chile Brazil Lebanon India Japan Turkey Argentina Mexico World Average w/o Great Britain
Mainly positive Mainly negative Chinese Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world… China The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Lebanon Philippines Indonesia India South Africa Chile Australia Brazil France Canada South Korea Great Britain Argentina Russia Italy United States Spain Turkey Germany Mexico Poland Japan World Average w/o China
Mainly positive Mainly negative Chinese Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world… China The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Philippines Indonesia India Australia South Korea Japan World Average w/o China
Mainly positive Mainly negative Chinese Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world… China The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” France Great Britain Italy Spain Germany Poland World Average w/o China
Mainly positive Mainly negative China Becoming More Powerful Economically: For each of the following possible future trends, please tell me if you would see it as mainly positive or mainly negative....China becomes significantly more powerful economically than it is today? The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” India Lebanon Indonesia South Africa Philippines France Mexico South Korea Great Britain Canada Australia Chile Brazil United States Russia Germany Italy Poland Japan Spain Argentina 3041 Turkey 2642 World Average w/out China 4933
Mainly positive Mainly negative China Becoming More Powerful Militarily: For each of the following possible future trends, please tell me if you would see it as mainly positive or mainly negative... China becomes significantly more powerful militarily than it is today. The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” India Philippines Lebanon South Africa South Korea Mexico Brazil Indonesia Great Britain Chile Canada Russia France United States Turkey Argentina Spain Germany Japan Italy Australia 1479 Poland 1365 World Average w/out China
Mainly positive Mainly negative Russian Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world…Russia The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” India China Philippines Chile South Africa South Korea Indonesia United States Lebanon Great Britain Italy Canada Spain France Australia Germany Brazil Turkey Mexico Argentina Poland Japan World Average (w/o Russia)
Mainly Positive Mainly Negative Influence in the World Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world (Number of countries where majority or plurality says…) The white space in this chart indicates countries where views are divided. France Europe Britain 18 China 14 US 6 Russia United Nations 23 0
Mainly Positive Mainly Negative View of Influence -By Mean Percent- The white space in this chart represents indicates “Don’t know” or “No answer” France Europe Britain 50 China 48 US 38 Russia United Nations 6615
Mainly positive Mainly negative UN Influence in the World: For each of the following future trends, please tell me if you would see it as mainly positive or mainly negative... United Nations becomes significantly more powerful in world affairs The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Germany Spain Indonesia Philippines Great Britain Canada Mexico Chile Great Britain South Africa United States Lebanon Australia Italy Russia South Korea China France Argentina World Average Turkey Australia Japan India 5523
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