Civic Forum [Region Name] [Date]

SET Purpose: Doing Better Together Guide the SET regional team in developing and implementing a High Quality Regional Economic Development Plan that builds on the region’s current and emerging economic strengths.

The SET Partners Insert State Logos or Names Your Region

The SET States

5 Overview section 01 Crossing Borders Region The Crossing Borders Region is comprised of four Oklahoma counties. I-40 passes through the southern part of the region connecting to I-44 to the west.  Adair  Cherokee  Delaware  Sequoyah Insert your region’s name, description, and/or map

The SET Process You are here

Agenda-at-a-Glance 9:15 a.m.Welcome & Introductions 9:25 a.m.Round 1: Examining the Region’s Positive Features 10:00 a.m.Break 10:15 a.m.Round 2: Exploring the Region’s Challenges 10:50 a.m.Round 3: Considering Key Data on Your Region 11:20 a.m.Round 4: Identifying the Region’s Opportunities 11:45 a.m.Debrief 11:55 a.m.Closing Comments Insert your session’s times

Ingredients for a Successful Forum 1.Share your honest views. 2.Listen carefully and respectfully to the views of others. 3.Only one person speaks at a time. 4.Speak from your own personal perspectives or experiences rather than on behalf of others. 5.Turn off or silence your cell phones. Are there any other items you wish to add to this list?

Round 1: Examining the Strengths of the Region 1.Individually: Identify the 3-4 most positive features of this region. (5 min.) 2.Share your list at your table. (10 min.) 3.As a table, come to an agreement on the top 4 positive features of the region. (5 min.) 4.Place a star on the top 4.

Round 2: Exploring the Region’s Major Challenges 1.Individually: Identify the top 3-4 challenges the region is experiencing now or in the very near future. (5 min.) 2.Share your list at your table. (10 min.) 3.As a table, come to an agreement on the 4-5 major challenges facing the region. (5 min.) 4.Each table reports out. (10 min.) 5.Vote: What are your biggest concerns/challenges?

Round 3: Examining Key Data on Your Region StrengthsChallenges Demography Human Capital Labor Force

Demography Insert your region’s data from the Regional SnapShot in the sections that follow

13 Demography section 02 Population Change ​ Source: 2000 & 2010 Census, 2014 Population Estimates, and 2020 Population Projection by County Oklahoma State Data Center, Oklahoma Department of Commerce, Questions: How does the region’s population trend compare to that of the state? What may be some of the elements driving the trends in the region? In the state? What strengths or challenges might these trends present? Total population projections CBR, OK Rest of Oklahoma 10% 139,608 3,311, ,548 3,597, ,724, ,331 3,779, , % 20.5% 8.7% 3.5% 1.5%

14 Demography section 02 Components of Population Change ​ Source: 2010 & 2014 Population Estimates, IRS U.S. Migration Database. Questions: Which component contributes most to the population change? To what extent is net international migration or net domestic migration factors in fueling population change in the region? What are the implications of these trends for the region? Total Change 23,428 Natural Increase 10,718 International Migration 7,266 Domestic Migration** 5,444 * Note: components of population change are estimated based on 2000 Census population while components of population change are based on 2010 Census population. The total change estimated from components of population change might not match with the census numbers because of the residuals. ** Domestic migration is estimated by analyzing the year-by-year IRS U.S. migration database from 2000 to 2014 accounting for the internal migration within the region. Please note that within a region in-and-out migration cancels each other.

15 Population Age Structure, 2000 A visual presentation of the age distribution of the population (in percent) Demography section 02 ​ Source: 2000 Decennial Census, U.S. Census Bureau Notice the age distribution of the population in 2000 and compare it to information contained in the next slide.

16 Population Age Structure, 2014 A visual presentation of the age distribution of the population (in percent) Demography section 02 ​ Source: 2014 Population Estimates, U.S. Census Bureau Questions: Is the region experiencing an aging of its population? How does this compare to the rest of the state? Is there a sizable number of people of prime working age (20-49 years) in the region? Is the youth population (under 20 years old) growing or declining? What are the implications of the region’s age structure for the economic development efforts?

17 Race Demography Race Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau – 2000 Decennial Census and 2014 Annual Population Estimates Ethnicity section 02 Hispanics Hispanics

18 Income and Poverty Demography section 02 Source: U.S. Census Bureau – Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) Total Population in Poverty 17.5%21.7%23.1% Minors (Age 0-17) in Poverty 25.8%31.1%33.0% Real Median Household Income* ($ 2014) $36,953$35,776$35,958 Questions: Is the poverty rate for individuals in the county getting better or worse? Is poverty for minors in the county lower or higher than the overall poverty rate for all individuals? Why? Has real median income (adjusted for inflation) improved or worsened over the 2004 to 2014 time period? What may be reasons for these changes? ​ * Note: Regional Median Household income is the population-weighted average of median household income values across the Crossing Borders Region counties.

Human Capital

20 Human capital section 03 Educational Attainment, 2014 Crossing Borders Region Rest of Oklahoma Associate’s degree Bachelor’s degree Graduate degree No high school Some high school High school diploma Some college ​ Source: American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates Questions: What proportion of the adult population in the region has only a high school education? How many are college graduates (bachelors degree or higher)? How does the educational profile of the region compare to that of the rest of the state? What are the implications of the educational profile of the region in terms of the region’s economic opportunities or workforce challenges?

21 section 03 Patents Patenting trends are an important indicator of innovation in a region. Commercializing this innovation can lead to long-term growth for regional economies. Questions: How does the region’s patent rate compare to that of the rest of the state? How have rates changed over time? What might this data suggest for the future of the region? ​ Source: U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, Census, BEA Patents per 10,000 Jobs From 2001 to 2013, Crossing Borders Region counties were issued patents at a rate of 0.60 per 10,000 jobs, while the remaining Oklahoma counties garnered 2.35 patents per 10,000 jobs. Patents per 10,000 residents From 2001 to 2013, 0.24 patents per 10,000 residents were issued in Crossing Borders Region counties. The rest of Oklahoma amassed 1.37 patents per 10,000 residents. Human capital ​ *Note: Patent origin is determined by the residence of the first-named inventor. Since a number of workers commute into the region, the number of patents produced in the CBR Region could be high. However, among residents of the region, patent production is relatively low.

Labor Force

23 Labor force section 04 Unemployment Rates Questions: How does the region’s unemployment rate compare to the rest of the state and nation? How does the region’s unemployment peak and post-2009 recovery compare to the state and nation? What might this suggest for the region’s economic future? ​ Source: LAUS, BLS Crossing Borders Region US Total Rest of Oklahoma

24 Labor force section 04 Earnings per Worker in 2014 Questions: How does the region’s average earnings compare to that of the rest of the state? What might be some driving factors for the differences? Do these represent potential strengths or challenges for the region? ​ Source: EMSI Class of Worker (QCEW, non-QCEW, self-employed and extended proprietors) Crossing Borders Region Rest of State Average earnings NOTE: Earnings include wages, salaries, supplements and earnings from partnerships and proprietorships

25 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OTM, LEHD, PCRD 2014 CountProportion Employed in FCR 106,276100% Both employed and living in the region 73, % Employed in the region but living outside 32, % Living in FCR 136,952100% Both living and employed in the region 73, % Living in the region but employed outside 63, % Journey to Work 32,732 73,544 63,048 In-Commuters Same Work/ Home Out-Commuters Questions: How many people employed in the region actually reside outside the region? How many who live in the region commute to jobs outside the region? What might be done to reduce the flow of labor to jobs located outside the region? section 04 Labor force

Round 3: Examining Key Data on Your Region Table Responses StrengthsChallenges

Walking Break What opportunities might exist in the region for enhancing our strengths or addressing our challenges?

Round 4: Regional Opportunities Consider the opportunities that could help make this a vibrant region (15 min.). What regional challenges might this opportunity help address? What regional strengths might be enhanced through this opportunity?

Round 4: Regional Opportunities Prioritized Given these opportunities: What could we do? (15 minutes) What is feasible? What has the greatest support and/or resources? What should we do? (15 minutes) What is most pressing? What is most urgent?

Forum Wrap-Up What happens next? How can I get involved? Final comments or questions?