Planning for the Future Projections for Multnomah County ADSD’s Population, Multnomah County Aging & Disability Services Division

Headlines Big gains expected for 60+ population Slight drop projected for 85+ population Percent of older adults below Federal Poverty Level (FPL) to remain stable Mid, East, and West will likely show greatest increases in older residents Dramatic growth rates predicted for racial and ethnic minority elders Significant growth anticipated for 60+ population with a disability

60+ and 85+ projections

From 116,337 to 182,533 Greatest growth in the following service areas … 60+ population projected to increase (2010 – 2025) by 57%

West (73%) East (67%)

60+ residents as percentage of total population ( ) 57% increase in 60+ population

Percentage of 60+ population by race and ethnicity (2010 and 2025) Racial/Ethnic GroupChange White- 3% Asian+ 2% African American+.5% American Indian / NativeNo Change Other & Two or More+.5% Hispanic2.2%

85+ population projected to decrease by 3% (2010 – 2025) From 12,542 in 2010 to 12,139 in 2025 Substantial changes in three service areas:

East Up 21% Southeast Down 20% North/Northeast Down 33%

85+ residents as percentage of total population (2010 – 2025) 3% decrease in 85+ population

Percentage of 85+ by race, ethnicity (2010 and 2025) Racial/Ethnic GroupChange Hispanic1.8% Asian5% African American.5% American Indian / NativeNo change White-6% Other & Two or MoreNo change Am-Ind 1% Numbers do not sum to 100% due to rounding.

60+ by race and ethnicity

60+ Hispanic population projected to increase by 187% (2010 – 2025) From 2,999 in 2010 to 8,596 in 2025 Greatest increases are projected for...

East 257% Mid 256%

60+ Asian population projected to increase by 104% (2010 – 2025) From 7,099 in 2010 to 14,454 in 2025 Greatest increases are projected for...

East 174% Mid 140% West 110%

60+ other and two or more races population projected to increase by 88% From 2,578 in 2010 to 4,859 in 2025 Greatest increases are …

Mid 130% East 116%

60+ African American population projected to increase by 79% From 5,269 in 2010 to 9,450 in 2025 Greatest increases are projected for...

Mid 285% East 163% West 120%

60+ American Indian/AK Native population projected to increase by 79% From 693 in 2010 to 1,156 in 2025 Greatest increases are projected for...

East 114% Mid 101%

60+ white population projected to increase by 52% (2010 – 2025) From 100,698 in 2010 to 152,613 in 2025 Greatest increases are projected for...

West 72% East 59%

60+ and 85+ below Federal Poverty Level (FPL)

60+ below Federal Poverty Level (FPL) projected to increase by 28% 11% of 60+ population in both years

Projected increases for 60+ below FPL by race, ethnicity

85+ below Federal Poverty Level projected to decrease by 7% From 1,362 in 2010 to 1,269 in % of 85+ population in both years

18-59 and 60+ with a disability

18-59 years w/disability population projected to increase by 3% From 41,107 in 2010 to 42,239 in % of years population in both years

60+ w/disability population projected to increase by 27% From 39,895 in 2010 to 50,537 in % of 60+ population in both years

Questions, comments, and uses for the data

Additional information For service area-specific data, maps, and questions, please contact: David Hanson