Kristin M. Kuhlman (CIMMS/NSSL) Christopher Siewert (CIMMS/SPC) Geoffrey Stano (NASA/SPORT) Eric Bruning (TTU) GLM in the GOES-R Proving Ground and HWT.

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Presentation transcript:

Kristin M. Kuhlman (CIMMS/NSSL) Christopher Siewert (CIMMS/SPC) Geoffrey Stano (NASA/SPORT) Eric Bruning (TTU) GLM in the GOES-R Proving Ground and HWT Spring Experiment

Creation of the PGLM product  Flash sorting – real-time - WDSSII  Flash Extent Density – Flash Footprint

Creation of the PGLM product

Real-time display in AWIPS  For use in storm interrogation and warning decision making.  Forecaster chosen overlays and display methods

Archive Case Event  “The pseudo-GLM provided frequent updates to monitor updraft strength and character between scans.”  “The lightning data was helpful, yet confusing, because there were several lightning jumps as the updrafts cycled.”  “I felt that lightning data greatly aided me in the forecast process. I would reference it many times in the formation of my warning polygons and to make sure I was confident in my warnings.” 24 May 2008; UTC

Forecaster Feedback from 2010  “We saw several instances where the total lightning was picking up on storms before the AWIPS lightning [NLDN] program picked up on them. One could see the utility of this in the future, bringing with it a potential for lighting statements and potentially lightning based warnings.” -Pat Spoden (SOO, NWSFO Paducah, KY)  

Forecaster Feedback from 2010  “[GLM] will also prove very beneficial as we get more into decision support services, especially to support the safety of responders to incidents who are exposed to lightning hazards.” -- Frank Alsheimer (SOO, NWSFO Charleston, SC)  “lightning data provide a reassurance that I can see leading me to make a warning decision a little earlier due to having more confidence in imminent severe weather.”  “would be of great benefit to aviation forecasting in those situations where there is a developing shower or embedded thunderstorms in stratiform rain.”

Suggestions for future testing:  Additional Products:  Rate of change of flash rate (as a gridded product, not a line graph)  More Events:  Winter Weather (convective snow bands)  Landfalling tropical cyclones  Fire & Aviation Applications  Increased guidance from research  Flash rates expected with different convective modes and associated severe weather occurance  Relationship of flash density with radar signatures typical of severe weather

Products for 2011  Flash Initiations (First Group) - (similar to NLDN displays or density product)  Flash rate track product (similar to MESH/rotation track products also available)  Lightning Probability

2 sigma threshold reached