Directional Bias & Confluence www.goldenzonetrading.com VelocityMomoDIV.

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Presentation transcript:

Directional Bias & Confluence VelocityMomoDIV

Disclaimer  Golden Zone Trading has no financial interest in the outcome of any trades mentioned herein. There is a substantial risk of loss when trading securities. You need to determine your own suitability to trade them. There may be tax consequences for short term profits or losses on trades. Consult your tax professional or advisor for details on these if applicable. Neither Golden Zone Trading, nor its principles or employees are licensed brokers or advisors. Becoming a subscriber and/or trading any of these lessons or strategies presumes you have fully read and understood the risk involved in trading as set forth below:  Golden Zone Trading offers services and products for educational purposes only. The generic market recommendations provided by us are based solely on the judgment of our personnel and should be considered as such. You acknowledge that you enter into any transactions relying on your own judgment. Any market recommendations provided by us are generic only and may or may not be consistent with the market positions or intentions of our firm and/or our affiliates. Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained on our website or by presentation of our material is provided as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice.  CFTC RULE 4.41 – Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

VelocityMomoDIV – Hybrid Momentum The “VelocityMomoDIV” is a hybrid indicator that measures dual momentum & divergence 1.Velocity Histogram – MTF velocity cycles which measures fast momentum 2.MACD BB’s – MACD & Bollinger Bands which measure slow momentum

VelocityMomoDIV – Usage & Purpose The 4 Main Components Are: 1.Momentum Analysis (Confluence & Non-Confluence) 2.Divergence (Automated/Filters & Signals) 3.Fake-Outs (False Moves) 4.Price Exhaustion (Overbought & Oversold)

LONG BIAS

SHORT BIAS

Indicator Confluence  When using the VelocityMomoDIV we can look for strong vs weak signals of momentum between the MACD BB’s & the Histogram. (NON-CONFLUENCE) When the BB’s are far from the zeroline and the histogram changes direction be cautious of a weak move in momentum and directional change as this often signals a zeroline reject or fake-out. (CONFLUENCE) When the BB’s follow suit with the histogram, look for a continued move in momentum and change in directional strength

Confluence – Strong Long Momentum

Confluence – Strong Short Momentum

Non Confluence

Non Confluence – Fake-Out

Non Confluence

Non Confluence – Fake-Out

Automated Divergence The Velocity Histogram and the MACD BB’s are used to calculate divergence. The indicator detects both potential and confirmed signals. When price and momentum move in the opposite direction this signals Divergence. Bearish Divergence is when price makes HH’s and momentum makes LH’s. Bullish Divergence is when price makes LL’s and momentum makes HL’s.

Bearish Divergence

Bullish Divergence

Price Exhaustion Price exhaustion is identified by measured moves on the Velocity Histogram and is calculated from multiple timeframe velocity cycles. This indicator separates upper levels (Overbought) and lower levels (Oversold) which signal price exhaustion. This can be used for trade filters with directional trading or for identifying price reversal areas.

Price Exhaustion – Overbought & Oversold