Global Economic Prospects 2006: Economic Implications of Remittances and Migration www.worldbank.org/prospects/GEP2006 Türkiye Ekonomi Politikaları Araştırma.

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Presentation transcript:

Global Economic Prospects 2006: Economic Implications of Remittances and Migration Türkiye Ekonomi Politikaları Araştırma Vakfı

Some Stylized Facts Having grown rapidly since the 1970s, workers’ remittances have evolved into one of the largest sources of external financing. Having grown rapidly since the 1970s, workers’ remittances have evolved into one of the largest sources of external financing. Total funds repatriated by migrant workers from developing countries are estimated to reach 116 billion dollars in 2003 (more than 1.5% of their total GDP) and 126 billion dollars in Total funds repatriated by migrant workers from developing countries are estimated to reach 116 billion dollars in 2003 (more than 1.5% of their total GDP) and 126 billion dollars in As such, total amount of remittance flows exceed official development assistance and foreign direct investment received by developing countries. As such, total amount of remittance flows exceed official development assistance and foreign direct investment received by developing countries. The significance of this magnitude aside, remittances are generally considered a less volatile, hence more dependable, source of funding than private capital flows and FDI. The significance of this magnitude aside, remittances are generally considered a less volatile, hence more dependable, source of funding than private capital flows and FDI. They do not create any future liabilities such as debt servicing or profit transfers. They do not create any future liabilities such as debt servicing or profit transfers.

The share of low income countries (32 %) in total remittance receipts of developing countries is less than half the share of middle income countries (68 %) currently. The share of low income countries (32 %) in total remittance receipts of developing countries is less than half the share of middle income countries (68 %) currently.But Average annual growth rate of the receipts by low income countries (12.3 %) has been higher than middle income countries (9.9 %) since 1990, deviating even further in favor of low income countries more recently (15.9 % versus 10.8 % since 1999). Average annual growth rate of the receipts by low income countries (12.3 %) has been higher than middle income countries (9.9 %) since 1990, deviating even further in favor of low income countries more recently (15.9 % versus 10.8 % since 1999).

GEP 2006 The World Bank has reflected its awareness of the growing significance of workers’ remittances for development finance by leading increased research in this area. The World Bank has reflected its awareness of the growing significance of workers’ remittances for development finance by leading increased research in this area. Various reports, papers and volumes recently produced by the World Bank have contributed to the literature. Various reports, papers and volumes recently produced by the World Bank have contributed to the literature. The latest contribution came through the flagship publication of the Bank: Global Economic Prospects 2006 The latest contribution came through the flagship publication of the Bank: Global Economic Prospects 2006 The Bank has devoted its annual report on Global Economic Prospects to the documentation of the trends in migration and remittances and an extensive discussion of their economic implications. The Bank has devoted its annual report on Global Economic Prospects to the documentation of the trends in migration and remittances and an extensive discussion of their economic implications. GEP 2006 describes how remittances have emerged as a critical component of external financing for many developing countries. GEP 2006 describes how remittances have emerged as a critical component of external financing for many developing countries.

Dominique van der Mensbrugghe Lead Economist for the Development Prospects Group. Lead Economist for the Development Prospects Group. His main responsibilities include developing scenarios on long-term economic prospects for developing countries and undertaking detailed trade policy analysis. His main responsibilities include developing scenarios on long-term economic prospects for developing countries and undertaking detailed trade policy analysis. Before joining the World Bank, he worked for a decade at the OECD Development Centre. Before joining the World Bank, he worked for a decade at the OECD Development Centre. He holds a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley and an undergraduate degree in mathematics from Louvain University in Belgium. He holds a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of California, Berkeley and an undergraduate degree in mathematics from Louvain University in Belgium.

Global Economic Prospects 2006: Economic Implications of Remittances and Migration Türkiye Ekonomi Politikaları Araştırma Vakfı