NOTE: To change the image on this slide, select the picture and delete it. Then click the Pictures icon in the placeholder to insert your own image. MACRO ECONOMICS What is the state of the US economy? Good? Bad? How do you know?

Sing Along! The study of the whole economy is called …..MA-CRO The study of the whole economy is called……MA-CRO Oh I love to study it everyday And if you ask me why I’ll say… Because MACRO econ Is better than B_o_l_o_g_n_a

the study of the large economy as a whole. It is the study of the big picture. Instead of analyzing one consumer, we analyze everyone. Instead of one business we study all businesses. What is Macroeconomics? 3

Why study the whole economy? The field of macroeconomics was born during the Great Depression. Government didn’t understand how to fix a depressed economy with 25% unemployment. Macro was created to: 1.Measure the health of the whole economy. 2.Guide government policies to fix problems.

AGGREGATE The sum total of

TOTAL SUPPLY TOTAL DEMAND AGGREGATE

SUPPLY AGGREGATE DEMAND AGGREGATE

SUPPLY The total amount of goods & services in the economy available at all possible price levels AGGREGATE DEMAND The amount of goods & services in the economy that will be purchased at all possible price levels

Real GDP Price Level AD Price Level Real GDP

MACROECONOMIC MODEL Real GDP Price Level AD AS long term short term S P

Macroeconomic Concepts GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT & GROWTH

VOCABULARY gross domestic product gross national product macroeconomics business cycle expansion peak contraction trough recession depression

1.Promote Economic Growth 2.Limit Unemployment 3.Keep Prices Stable (Limit inflation) All countries have 3 Major Economic Goals:

Goal #1 Promote Economic Growth How does a country measure economic growth? 14

How do we know how well the economy is doing? National Income Accounting - Economists collect statistics on production, income, investment, and savings. The most important measure of growth is GDP. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) - the dollar value of all final goods and services produced within a country’s borders in one year. Dollar value- GDP is measured in dollars. Final Goods-GDP does not include the value of intermediate goods. One Year-GDP measures annual economic performance.

What does GDP tell us?  GDP measures how well the U.S. is doing financially.  How do you use GDP?  Compare to previous years (Is there growth?)  Compare policy changes (Did a new policy work?)  Compare to other countries (Are we better off?)  Which 15 countries have the highest GDP?

Country - GDP (PURCHASING POWER PARITY) China $17,630,000,000,000 2 European Union $17,610,000,000,000 3 United States $17,460,000,000,000 4 India $7,277,000,000,000 5 Japan $4,807,000,000,000 6 Germany $3,621,000,000,000 7 Russia$3,568,000,000,000 8 Brazil $3,073,000,000,000 9 France $2,587,000,000, Indonesia $2,554,000,000, United Kingdom $2,435,000,000, Mexico $2,143,000,000, Italy $2,066,000,000,000

World GDP Distribution WHAT DOES THIS MAP TELL YOU?

19 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015

How can you measure growth from year to year? % Change in GDP = Year 2 - Year 1 Year 1 X 100 Mordor’s GDP in 2014 was $4000 Mordor’s GDP in 2015 was $5000 What is the % Change in GDP? Transylvania’s GDP in 2014 was $2,000 Transylvania’s GDP in 2015 was $2,100 What is the % Change in GDP? 20

Does GDP accurately measure standard of living?  Standard of living can be measured, in part, by how well the economy is doing…But it needs to be adjusted to reflect the size of the nation’s population.  GDP Per Capita (per person)  GDP divided by the population. It identifies on average how many products each person makes.  GDP per capita is the best measure of a nation’s standard of living.

What are the top 10 most populated countries? 22 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015

GDP Per Capita 23 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015

Why do some countries have higher GDPs than others?....PRODUCTIVITY 1. Economic System Example#1: Capitalist countries have historically had more economic growth. Capital (like robots) can produce more than people Countries with more capital, can produce more products than countries without a lot of capital. 2. Property Rights 3. Capital Capital stock is machinery, tools, and man-made resources. India has over a billion people (human resources) but relatively few capital resources and therefore a lower GDP than the U.S. Japan has few natural resources but a high GDP 4. Human Capital (Knowledge) 5. Natural Resources Syria has a lower GDP because it is mostly desert.

2. Nonproduction Transactions Financial Transactions (nothing produced) - Ex: Stocks, bonds, Real estate Used Goods - Ex: Old cars, used clothes What is NOT included in GDP? 1.Intermediate Goods Goods inside the final goods don’t count. EX: Price of finished car, not the stock radio or tires. 3. Non-Market and Illegal Activities Things made at home- household production Ex: Unpaid work, black markets, drugs 25

Calculating GDP Two Ways of calculating GDP: 1. Expenditures Approach -Add up all the spending on final goods and services produced in a given year. 2. Income Approach -Add up all the income that resulted from selling all final goods and services produced in a given year. Adding up how much was spent on goods and services and how much income was earned should generate the same number 26

Four components of GDP: 1.Consumer Spending- 70% of U.S. GDP Purchases of final goods by private individuals. Ex: $5 Sandwich at Subway 2.Investment- 15% of U.S. GDP Businesses spending tools and equipment. Ex: Walmart buys self checkout machines 3. Government Spending- 20% of U.S. GDP Ex: School, tanks, but NOT transfer payments 4. Net Exports- Exports ( X ) – Imports ( M ) Ex: Value of 3 Ford Focuses minus 2 Hondas Expenditures Approach

Calculating GDP 28 GDP = C + I + G + X n

Included or not Included in GDP? For each situation, identify if it is included in GDP the identify the category C, I, G, or X n 1.$10.00 for movie tickets 2.$5M Increase in defense expenditures 3.$45 for used economics textbook 4.Ford makes new $2M factory 5.$20K Toyota made and sold in Mexico 6.$10K Profit from selling stocks 7.$15K car made in US, sold in Canada 8.$10K Tuition to attend college 9.$120 Social Security payment to Bob 10.Farmer purchases new $100K tractor 29

1.$10.00 for movie tickets 2.$5M Increase in defense expenditures X $45 for used economics textbook 4.Ford makes new $2M factory X $20K Toyota made and sold in Mexico X $10K Profit from selling stocks 7.$15K car made in US, sold in Canada 8.$10K Tuition to attend college X $120 Social Security payment to Bob 10.Farmer purchases new $100K tractor GDP=$7,125, Included or not Included in GDP?

2008 Audit Exam

The income approach adds up all the income earned from producing goods and services 1.Labor Income - Purchases of final goods by private individuals. Ex: $5 Sandwich at Subway 2.Rental Income - Income earned from property owned by individuals 3. Interest Income- Interest earned from loaning money to businesses 4. Profit - Money businesses have after paying all their costs These are called FACTOR PAYMENTS. Labor earns wages, land earns rent, capital earns interest, and entrepreneurship earns profit. Income Approach

34 What are some problems with using GDP to measure the nation’s standard of living?

Nominal GDP vs. Real GDP 35

How can you figure out which is the most popular movie of all time? What is the problem with this method? Nominal Box Office Receipts 36 Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015

How can you figure out which is the most popular movie of all time? REAL Box Office Receipts (adjusted for inflation) Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015

The Problem with GDP If a country’s GDP increased from $4 Billion to $5 Billion in one year, is the country experiencing economic growth? Did the country definitely produce 25% more products? What is Inflation? - A rising general level of prices EX: If apples are the only thing being produced $10 Year 1: 10 apples at $1 each; GDP = $10 $12.50 Year 2: 10 apples x $1.25; GDP = $12.50 GDP is rising, but country is worse off! 38

Real vs. Nominal GDP Nominal GDP - GDP measured in current prices. It does not account for inflation from year to year. Real GDP - GDP expressed in constant, or unchanging, dollars. Real GDP adjusts for inflation. REAL GDP IS THE BEST MEASURE OF ECONOMIC GROWTH! 39

Real vs. Nominal GDP Example cars at $15,000 each = $150, trucks at $20,000 each = $200,000 Nominal GDP = $350, cars at $16,000 each = $160, trucks at $21,000 each= $210,000 Nominal GDP = $370,000 The GDP in year 2008 shows the dollar value of all final goods produced. The nominal GDP in year 2009 is higher which suggests that the economy is improving. But how much is the REAL GDP? How do you get it? Use 2008 Prices. The Real GDP for 2009 is the same as 2008 after we adjust for inflation cars at $15,000 each = $150, trucks at $20,000 each= $200,000 REAL GDP = $350, Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015

Real GDP “deflates” nominal GDP by adjusting for inflation in terms of a base year prices.

20012 Exam

Econmovies Episode 5: Cars

1.Define Macroeconomics 2.What are the 3 economic goals that all countries have 3.Identify the 3 key parts of the definition of GDP 4.How do we use GDP 5.Identify what is NOT included in GDP 6.List the 4 components of GDP 7.Define Inflation 8.Explain the difference between Nominal and Real GDP 9.Explain Real GDP per Capita 10.Name 3 Disney Movies QUICK QUIZ – Answer and turn in

The Business Cycle 45 NOT A BUSINESS CYCLE

The national economy goes up and down like a roller coaster over time A recession is 6 month period of decline in Real GDP. (If really bad…then depression) Inflation Unemployment Full Employment 46 Time Real GDP Recession (Contraction) The Business Cycle Recovery (Expansion) Peak Trough Real GDP Copyright ACDC Leadership 2015

The Business Cycle

The business cycle charts the ups and downs of the economy

A period of macroeconomic expansion followed by a period of contraction BUSINESS CYCLE

4 PHASES BUSINESS CYCLE

Peak Trough Contraction Expansion Parts of the Business Cycle

Expansion A period of economic growth as measured by a rise in real GDP

Peak Trough Contraction Expansion Parts of the Business Cycle

PEAK When real GDP stops rising….

Peak Trough Contraction Expansion Parts of the Business Cycle

Contraction Real GDP falls

Peak Trough Contraction Expansion Parts of the Business Cycle

Trough The contraction’s lowest point

Peak Trough Recession Expansion Parts of the Business Cycle

Recession A contraction that last for at least 6 months ( Two Quarters)

Depression = A long and severe recession

Peak Trough Contraction Expansion Parts of the Business Cycle

THE BUSINESS CYCLE – affected by 1.Business Investment = expectations 2.Interest Rates & Credit = high interest rates = low investment & low consumer borrowing 3.Consumer Expectations 4.External Shocks

TICKET OUT OF THE DOOR How do the key indicators of economic performance measure the general condition and direction of the economy?

ANSWER TO TOTD: By using key indicators such as GDP and GNP, we are able to measure the general condition and direction of the economy.