Ppt on sea level rise simulation

1.Abrupt climate change 2.Greenhouse gases in the past 3.Climate change simulation Atlas Week 2008 Climate Change: How Physics Lays the Basis.

injects CO 2 into the atmosphere and it has increased dramatically since last century. Remember this chart? CO 2 : higher levels and faster rise (IPCC, 2007, Fig. SPM-1) Greenhouse gases over the past 800,000 years (Lüthi et al., 2008;/natural variability ? Arctic sea ice reduces rapidly (Stroeve et al., 2007) Simulated reductions of Arctic summer sea ice (Holland et al., 2006) Decade-long rapid decrease of summer sea ice „4 times larger than comparable observed trends“ Arctic sea ice reduces rapidly (/


Global Study: Rising Sea Levels NZ 1.8mm pa mean sea level rise over the last 40yrs and 0.17m over the last century. Global temperatures have risen by.

have to try and prepare. Researchers led by Gerald Meehl of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) found that sea level will continue to rise substantially, even if the global community takes aggressive action to slow climate change. The researchers ran simulations for four greenhouse gas mitigation scenarios Under the most aggressive approach, the global average temperature would actually cool, but thermal expansion/


Dangerous Climate Change Addendum to McGuire, B (2007). Dangerous Climate Change: Rising Sea-levels and Ocean Circulation Changes. Issues in Risk Science,

temperature increase be uniform across the globe? +10°F Differential Temp Change The results are based on climate change simulations made with the Coupled Global Climate Model developed by Environment Canada. From Atlas of Canada http://atlas.gc.ca/site/D, 2003. From Stocker, T. F., 1996. Future CO 2 vs NADW Formation What Has Sea Level Been Doing? Sea Level Rise – “Non-Catastrophic” People at Risk from Sea-level Rise In 1990, it was estimated that around 1.2 billion people (~ 23 percent of the global /


World Climate: Negotiating a Global Climate Agreement using the C-ROADS Climate Policy Simulation.

and recommend that it be considered as an official United Nations tool.” Full report: http://climateinteractive.org/simulations/C-ROADS/technical/scientific-review/C-ROADS%20Scientific%20Review%20Summary-1.pdf Proposal Summary Emissions Growth Stop Year / Indus River Delta, Border of India and Pakistan http://flood.firetree.net/ + 1 Meter Sea Level Rise http://flood.firetree.net/ + 2 Meters Sea Level Rise http://flood.firetree.net/ Policymaker Mental Models “Currently, in the UNFCCC negotiation process, the/


Evaluation of Analytical Techniques for Production of a Sea Level Rise Advisory Mapping Layer for the NFIP Jerry W. Sparks, P.E., CFM ASFPM Annual National.

Surge ADCIRC Baseline SLOSH X Linear Superposition X X X Process: Methods: Storm Surge Modeling - ADCIRC  ADCIRC Simulations  Approach o Re-use FIS model, input files, storm suite o Impose SLR condition at boundaries, wait / Recommendations Program Implementation  Proposed plan for phased approach over FY10-12 Evaluation of Analytical Techniques for Production of a Sea Level Rise Advisory Mapping Layer for the NFIP QUESTIONS? Overview  Background  Vision  Study Purpose and Results  Next Steps/


PROJECT TO INTERCOMPARE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATIONS Climate Change: Use of Climate Science in Decision-making Eugene S. Takle, PhD, CCM Professor of Atmospheric.

Cambridge University Press (www.cambridge.org).www.acia.uaf.edu Projected sea-level rise In 21st century: 0.5 to 1.0 m PROJECT TO INTERCOMPARE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATIONS Hansen, Scientific American, March 2004 Climate Cold Warm Ice Volume 0/Assessments teams Proposed new Midwest Consortium for Climate Assessment (MiCCA) Tin and Seager PROJECT TO INTERCOMPARE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATIONS Midwest Consortium for Climate Change (MiCCA) Mission To translate NOAA seasonal to inter- annual climate forecasts into /


An evaluation of satellite derived air-sea fluxes through use in ocean general circulation model Vijay K Agarwal, Rashmi Sharma, Neeraj Agarwal Meteorology.

8-16 day ISO signal can be seen in buoy and model simulations. ISO signal is relatively weak in NCEP wind driven solution BuoyLY NCEP Experiment 3: Impact of Fresh Water Flux Exp (#3.1) Model forced with GPCP precipitation, model evaporation and climatological river discharge was used. Salient results: Sea level rise was abnormally large Reason: Physical inconsistency in the fresh water flux/


PROJECT TO INTERCOMPARE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATIONS Global Climate Change: Recent Trends and Future Projections Eugene S. Takle, PhD, CCM Professor of.

Assessment (www.acia.uaf.edu) Cambridge University Press (www.cambridge.org).www.acia.uaf.edu Projected sea-level rise In 21st century: 0.5 to 1.0 m PROJECT TO INTERCOMPARE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATIONS Climate Cold Warm Ice Volume 0 Antarctica Greenland PROJECT TO INTERCOMPARE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATIONS Hansen, Scientific American, March 2004 An exhibition of old and new photographs at the Swiss Alpine Museum/


16 Global Climate Change CHAPTER. Rising Seas May Flood the Maldive Islands Sea levels are rising worldwide. Scientists link this to global climate change.

Glacier in Montana’s Glacier National Park Bottom: 2008 Land subsidence plays a role in sea level. Notice Alaska….as glaciers melt land rises due to the loss of the weight Notice Texas…as we extract oil the land subsides and sea level increases Hyperlink to sea level rise model simulation Video about sea level rise in Maryland Studying Climate Change Direct measurement is used to study today’s climate. CO 2/


North Carolina Sea Level Rise Risk Management Study

Impacts of inland rainfall flooding (limited to historical event simulations) Wind (as a separate hazard) Other natural hazards (e.g., drought, heat waves) Community-level action plans 6 Risk Assessment Approach Source-Pathway-Receptor / sector, other stakeholders Build consensus and acceptance through Advisory Committee Scenario-Based Approach Scenarios of combined potential sea level rise, storminess, resultant flooding, development and socioeconomic conditions for 4 “time slices” through 2100: 2025, 2050/


Extreme sea level drops in the western tropical Pacific—

)… warming Aragonite saturation state (arag)… ocean acidification Water depth above coral (d – h)… tides, El Niño, & sea level rise Non-branching coral (Porites) Species specific parameters: Growth rate constant (0) Height dependent growth function (f) Decay rate of exposed coral () Collaborate with coral experts to simulate future reef vulnerability caused by climate extremes & communicate “Taimasa threat index” Thank you Matthew Widlansky mwidlans@hawaii/


Mid-latitude and Tropical Storms Simulated Changes in Atmospheric Drivers of Extreme Sea Levels Ruth McDonald Hadley Centre, Met Office Understanding Sea-level.

Mid-latitude and Tropical Storms Simulated Changes in Atmospheric Drivers of Extreme Sea Levels Ruth McDonald Hadley Centre, Met Office Understanding Sea-level Rise and Variability WCRP Workshop, Paris, June 2006 Ruth.McDonald@metoffice.gov.uk formerly Ruth Carnell Page 2© Crown copyright 2005 Outline  Introduction  Model predictions of future changes in the frequency /


Sea Level Rise 2006 Model Results of change in Land Water Storage and Effects on Sea-Level Katia Laval Université Pierre et Marie Curie. Paris LMD/IPSL.

Sea Level Rise 2006 Model Results of change in Land Water Storage and Effects on Sea-Level Katia Laval Université Pierre et Marie Curie. Paris LMD/IPSL Global Mean Sea Level Variations from Altimetry in mm Causes of sea level variations Steric effect: thermal expansion of the oceans water mass exchanged with other reservoirs: atmospheric water vapor and land water Sea level/ LMD AGCM Simulations (+Orchidee): AMIP Simulation (79-99 SST) Contribution of continental water to sea level variations Precipitations /


Image courtesy of NASA/GSFC. PROJECT TO INTERCOMPARE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATIONS Climate Change: Use of Climate Science in Decision-making Eugene S.

edu) Cambridge University Press (www.cambridge.org).www.acia.uaf.edu Projected sea-level rise In 21st century: 0.5 to 1.0 m PROJECT TO INTERCOMPARE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATIONS Hansen, Scientific American, March 2004 An exhibition of old and new /al., 2004). Observed values from Jones and Moberg 2001. Grey bands indicate 68% and 95% range derived from multiple simulations. Natural cycles Natural and anthropogenic contributions to global temperature change (Meehl et al., 2004). Observed values from Jones and /


Evidence for Climate Change A large body of evidence from direct weather and climate observation, and from computer simulation, supports the hypothesis.

Change A large body of evidence from direct weather and climate observation, and from computer simulation, supports the hypothesis that human activity is one of the causal factors in the climate changes/nasa.gov/IOT D/view.php?id=228 8 Rising Sea Level Global sea level has risen significantly over the past 120 years. Even small increases can result in devastating floods. Glacier and sea ice melt can cause sea levels to rise. May explain why sea level rise is accelerating. Thermal expansion is also an issue/


PAGE 1 Using millennial AOGCM simulation as a laboratory to derive and test hypotheses Hans von Storch 12, E. Zorita 1 and F. González-Rouco 3 1 Institute.

estimates for sea level rise) PAGE 26 Overall conclusions 1)Millennial (and longer) AOGCMs are good laboratories to test hypotheses, - which are sensitive to too short observational records, or – which are based on data with heavy overload of interpretation with respect to physical properties, timing, inhomogeneities (in particular proxies). 2)First order hypothesis on dynamical links may be derived from AOGCM simulations, and then/


Extreme value analysis of storm surges along the US coast and the role of rising sea level Claudia Tebaldi ASP Summer Colloquium, June 2011 Statistical.

model climate sensitivity, carbon cycle, scenarios. We use 342 simulations of global average temperature change (19 model configurations reproducing CMIP3 GCMs, 3 strengths of carbon cycle response and 6 SRES scenarios): For each of the MAGICC trajectories of global average temperature change we determine a corresponding trajectory for the rate of sea level rise during the 1959-2008 period, whose average rate, G, we/


Www.pol.ac.uk Physical oceanography, tides and coastal flooding – the science behind it all Dr Kevin Horsburgh Head of the National Tidal and Sea Level.

ice flow, advise a MSL rise of 20-60cm These rates will be regionally different due to ocean circulations and regional land movements Ensemble projections of change in extreme sea levels Downscale to get uncertainty in Regional scale atmospheric forcing Uncertainty in large scale patterns of time average sea level change Add in ice melt uncertainty ? Run surge model simulations to estimate uncertainty range in local/


Facing Higher Sea Levels and Increased Coastal Flooding in New York City Vivien Gornitz, Radley M. Horton, Daniel Bader, Cynthia Rosenzweig, and Philip.

, and ice sheets Latest GIA and gravitational/rotational corrections Land water storage contributions to sea level rise Coupled sea level rise and FEMA ADCIRC/SWAN model simulations of tropical and extra-tropical cyclones for 100-year flood zones. 10 Models and/1 m SLR from Antarctica = ~1.2m SLR GreenlandAntarctica DRAFT – DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE 12 Sea Level Rise Methodology Sea level rise projections are the sum of seven components: Thermal expansion (global)--CMIP5 data Changes in dynamic ocean height /


Muon Flux Measurements and Simulation at CJPL Zhi ZENG CDEX Collaboration Symposium of the Sino-German GDT Cooperation Tübingen, Apr. 2013.

in PSD Test result on the ground 2016-6-13 第 11 页 (2) The rise/fall time distribution in PSD rise time distribution fall time distribution The acceptance regions for rise time and fall time are 20 - 60ns and 420- 600ns respectively. Noise events that /2016-6-13 第 18 页 3. MUON FLUX SIMULATION Muon Flux Measurements and Simulation at CJPL 2016-6-13 第 19 页 Incident Muon Energy Spectrum Assumption : muon energy spectrum on the top of Jinping mountain (~4000 m) like that at sea level 2016-6-13 第 20 页 Fig.1 Muon /


Dr Katie Szkornik, Keele University, C-Change in GEES: Changing Coastal Environments – Predicting Future Sea Level Dr Katie.

keele.ac.uk C-Change in GEES: Changing Coastal Environments – Predicting Future Sea Level Atmosphere General Circulation Models Mathematical simulation of climate systems Inputs of temperature, pressure and water vapour in cells (horizontal/: Changing Coastal Environments – Predicting Future Sea Level Lag Times and Uncertainties Dispute over long term relationship between GHGs, temperature change and sea-level rise: Sea levels likely to continue to rise even after atmospheric temperature increase has stopped/


TOPO-EUROPE: 4D Topography Evolution in Europe: Uplift, Subsidence and Sea Level Rise Exploratory workshop Budapest, Hungary 17-18 March, 2005 ESF ILP.

with the vulnerability of natural and human habitats Know-how base on geo-motion modelling and simulation, as well as on risk and impact assessment TOPO-EUROPE aims to integrate distributed facilities and know-how TOPO-EUROPE: 4D Topography Evolution in Europe: Uplift, Subsidence and Sea Level Rise EXAMPLES Within the orogen: Alps/Carpathians – Pannonian basin system In front of the orogen: North European/


Arab Climate Resilience Initiative “ Climate Change Impacts in the Arab Region: Sea Level Rise, Coastal Erosion, and Human Development” Adaptation of Agriculture.

landforms most susceptible to inundation include deltas, estuaries, beaches and barrier islands and coral reefs. Scenarios of Sea Level RiseSea level rise is a big risk in the Arab countries, since the region’s economic activity, agriculture and population centers/crop production (horticultural crops).  Simulation carried out by AFED revealed that a sea level rise of only 1 m would directly impact 41,500 km2 of the Arab coastal lands. The most serious impacts of sea level rise would be in Egypt, Tunisia,/


Arctic snow in a changing cryosphere: What have we learned from observations and CMIP5 simulations? Chris Derksen and Ross Brown Climate Research Division.

by January 2013. Sharp et al., 2013 NOAA Arctic Report Card Cryosphere Contribution to Sea Level Rise Rate of ice sheet loss in sea level equivalent averaged over 5-year periods. IPCC AR5 WG1 Figure 4.17 Arctic Terrestrial Snow/) Understanding CMIP5 SCE Projections Projected changes in snow cover for individual models are predictable based on the characteristics of historical simulations. Consistent with a priori expectations, models project greater  SCE with: -greater standard deviation (  ) -greater /


Gdansk Conference October 26-27 th, 2006 1 Regional assessments of sea level rise and river floods by computer based expert systems:

Institute for Climate Impact Research Structure 1.How to deal with uncertainty in the adaptation discussion? 2.Adaptation to sea level rise: Regional assessments via DIVA 3.River floods assessment, limitations and Chances: The Vistula example 4.Consequences for local / for sand nourishment.... Typical expert system which means that usage by stakeholders Needs involvement of experts for simulation runs and interpretation Gdansk Conference October 26-27 th, 2006 kropp@pik-potsdam.de Improved Flood Risk /


The melting ice in Greenland - from local to regional scale Sebastian H. Mernild Climate, Ocean, and Sea Ice Modeling Group (COSIM) Los Alamos National.

η = error. Runoff Satellite-derived GrIS surface melt extent, 1979-2008 Source: K. Steffen, University of Colorado. Simulated GrIS surface melt extent Source: Mernild et al. 2009 (HYP) Simulated GrIS surface melt extent and summer mean temperature Maximum surface melt extent Source: Mernild et al. in review (GRL)/up to 25%, volume up to 20%, GrIS contributes to the global sea level rise by up to 1.25 m. The thermal expansion will be another ~1.25 m. The total rise is expected to be up to 2.5 m from the GrIS./


Global warming and sea level rise: Public discourse vs. the science of climate change Dr Harun Rashid Emeritus Professor Department of Geography and Earth.

CFCs Ozone (Ground level ) SCIENTIFIC ELEMENTS: Sunspot activities SCIENTIFIC ELEMENTS: Solar flares SCIENTIFIC ELEMENTS: Computer simulations SCIENTIFIC ELEMENTS: /sea level rise  IPCC FIRST ASSESSMENT (1990): Sea level rise by 2100:  Conservative estimate: 1 m rise (+3 C)  Extreme scenario: 3 m rise (+5.5 C)  IPCC 4 th ASSESSMENT (2007): Sea level rise by 2100:  Conservative estimates: 0.18 to 0.59 m rise  Thermal expansion contributes 75% of sea level rise PHYSICAL IMPACTS: Impacts of sea-level rise/


THE SCIENCE science the. emissions rise Emissions of CO 2 from fossil-fuel burning; rapid rise since 1950.

rise between 1.1 o C and 6.4 o C. Projected changes in annual temperatures for the 2050s not volcanoes or sun spots Natural factors cannot explain recent warming The MetOffice. Hadley Center for Climate Prediction and Research. human emissions Recent warming can be simulated/increase small- and medium-scale disasters  more uncertainties Extinctions Increased species extinctions Rising Sea Levels Sea level rise sea level rise will bring large coastal areas at risk salt water intrusion threatens water supply /


1 Hans von Storch: Recent climate change in the Baltic Sea region - manifestation, detection and attribution Based upon: Work done with Klaus Hasselmann,

simulation (Gómez-Navarro et al, 2013) is used to estimate natural (internal + external) variability. Baltic Sea region Difference betwenn peak heights of storm surges in Cuxhaven and Hamburg Main cause for recently elevated storm surges in Hamburg is the modification of the river Elbe – (coastal defense and shipping channel deepening) and less so because of changing storms or sea level/von Storch, HZG Climate Change in the Baltic Sea Region Temperature is rising since some decades. This increase is beyond /


Sea level, meltwater pulses, the overturning circulation, and climate Eelco J Rohling With thanks to Jenny Stanford, Mark Siddall, Bob Marsh.

as a stimulator of abrupt climate change, Russ. J. Earth Sci., 9, ES3002, Seager & Battista (2006) review data and simulations from coupled GCMs (GFDL, Hadley Centre), and find: “In the North Atlantic region, therefore, there is sufficient agreement... that changes /that THC collapses of H events (negative benthic  13 C spikes) occupy final phase of sea-level rise (shifts to light benthic  18 O) But: was there sea-level rise before H1 as well? Looks like it: roughly 20m in roughly 2 kyr Reprinted by /


Atlantic Hurricanes and Climate Change

gfdl.noaa.gov/~tk Outline: Observations (Historical Trends?) Model Projections (with climate warming) Conclusions GFDL model simulation of Atlantic hurricane activity 1 Climate Change Attribution Observations are observed changes consistent with expected responses to forcings/ yr. Models project substantial further warming over the 21st century, including in the tropical Atlantic. Sea level rise is expected to exacerbate storm surge impacts even assuming storms themselves do not change. Models project /


C-Learn and C-ROADS Philip Rice April 9, 2013 ENVS 295 visiting lecture How can a system dynamics simulation help evolve our thinking before our thinking.

a reference and 4 experimental runs. Produce comparative graphs showing CO2 emissions, CO2 in the atmosphere, temperature and sea level rise. For experiment #2, for each experimental run in the set, include the graph showing Emissions and Removals./a two-stock system The C-Learn climate change simulation can be thought of as a two stock system representing – Heat content of Earth which influences climate Climate influences sea level, average temperature, local temperature, precipitation patterns and amounts/


Extremes and marine storms in the Mediterranean Sea P.Lionello, Univ. of Lecce, Italy 1 Intro: GEV and generalities examples from RON and sea level in.

) A regional wind field is derived from the sea level pressure field (available every 6 hours) by CCA of the PCA prefiltered fields PREDICTOR: SLP PREDICTAND: U 10 SIMULATED PREDICTAND: U 10 downscaling T106 Observations downscaling T106 / global processes? Source: Report by P.Canestrelli Surges above 110cm level (reference: fixed reference level) Sea level rise Surges above 110cm level (reference: annual mean sea level) 1865 2000 Trend in frequency/intensity of storm surges? The observed trend is/


Modeling of present-day monsoon and ENSO

this rainbelt gives rise to fluctuations in ISMR ,i.e., active and weak spells (eventually results in dry and wet seasons). A realistic simulation of rainbelt I/ radiation - Shibata and Uchiyama (1992) Cumulus - Prognostic Arakawa-Schubert type PBL - Mellor and Yamada level 2 (1974) Land Surface - L3SiB or MRI/JMA_SiB OGCM Resolution : 2.5x(0.5-2./East Asia. Simulation close to observation. CRD MRI/JMA The Role of Air-Sea Interaction: Local Coupled Feedbacks CRD MRI/JMA The role of air-sea interaction: Local /


Engineering-economic simulations of sustainable transport policies Theodoros Zachariadis Economics Research Centre, University of Cyprus P.O. Box 20537,

variables (vehicle population, distance travelled per vehicle, average driving speed) are simulated phenomenologically Evaluation of future technologies on the basis of research results & engineering knowledge/EU 15 country  for all transport sectors (passenger/freight, road/rail/air/sea) - Runs year by year up to 2030 -Is calibrated so as to /in noise levels Impact of policy exercise 5 (subsidies for public transport fares) Public transport use becomes much more attractive, with bus/rail pkm rising by /


PROJECT TO INTERCOMPARE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATIONS Agriculture and Climate Change Eugene S. Takle Agronomy Department Geological and Atmospheric Science.

at 550 ppm Carbon Dioxide and Temperature “Business as Usual” (fossil intensive) 2100 PROJECT TO INTERCOMPARE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATIONS Associated Climate Changes  Global sea-level has increased 1-2 mm/yr  Duration of ice cover of rivers and lakes decreased by 2 weeks in / be greater for winter than summer  Warming will be greater at night than during the day  A 3 o F rise in summer daytime temperature triples the probability of a heat wave  Growing season will be longer (8-9 days longer now/


Detailed projections of coastal climate change until 2100 in N Europe ESSP conference, Beijing, 12. November 2006 Parallel 37: Sea level rise, vulnerability.

of the North Sea. Maximum wind speeds may increase by about 10% accordingly, storm surge heights may rise by some 20 cm in the German Bight. Adding these increases to the expected mean sea level rise, higher storm water levels in Hamburg of 60/Husum, FSK Norderney, Hamburg Port Authority u.a. Aber wie sieht es regional und lokal aus? Extreme wind speeds over seasimulated and recorded simuliert Beobachtet Trends of annual percentiles of surge heights Weisse & Plüß, 2005 50%iles 90%iles 1958-2002 Changing/


INGV Mediterranean Sea Level Rise Scenarios from CIRCE S. Dobricic on behalf of the CIRCE project team: M. Adani, S. Gualdi, S. Somot, W. May, S. Castellari,

Sea mask and Mediterranean Sea bathymetry in a CMIP3 (IPCC-AR4) model with horizontal resolution of ~300 Km ~300 Km m 1° m State of the art before CIRCE INGV High-resolution and coupled atmosphere-ocean in the Mediterranean region CIRCE models INGV CIRCE models INGV CIRCE simulations/expansion of water due to the sea temperature rise is suppressed by the contraction due to the rise of the salinity. The total steric height trend is negative and it balances the global sea level rise due to the ice melting. The/


Title slide Volcanic eruptions: their impact on sea level and oceanic heat content John A. Church 1,2 *, Neil J. White 1,2 and Julie M. Arblaster 3,4 1.

may be difficult to detect signal Differences in global ocean heat content between simulations with/without volcanic forcing1960-2000 Modelled and observed ocean heat content changes are correlated but the observed signal is larger/ changes – same order as interannual variations in global land precipitation Small deceleration of heat-content increase and sea-level rise Post Pinatubo recovery in sea level occurs during modern satellite record Longer term impacts (deeper signals) T/S signals in ocean and their /


Can we control The Baltic Sea? The Baltic Master Project.

sustainable metodology Develop the three fishing harbours within a sustainable metodology Evaluation of treatment of excessive algae as biogas component Evaluation of treatment of excessive algae as biogas component Simulations of sea level rise Simulations of sea level rise Risk assesment studies of chemical accident from shipping Risk assesment studies of chemical accident from shipping Geographical analyses of the coastal zone and territorial waters Geographical analyses of the/


Adélie Penguins Confront Climate Change in the Ross Sea Grant Ballard, Viola Toniolo, David Ainley, Claire Parkinson (Code 614.1, NASA GSFC), Kevin Arrigo,

Relevance for future science : The increased Nordic Seas inflow salinity will help to maintain Atlantic meridional /availability as consumption demands increase due to biofuels and rising living standards. Hydrospheric and Biospheric Sciences Laboratory Soil moisture/in terms of the diurnal temperature and humidity evolution simulated by each. In addition, surface meteorological observations of/ emissions in dry years as compared to background levels during wet years. Record forest burning extent in/


Contributions of the Greenland Ice Sheet to Rising Sea Level Robert H Thomas (SIGMA/NASA Wallops, VA) NASA Sea-Level Workshop, 2-4 Nov., 2009 Austin, Texas.

retreat will be limited by the fringe of coastal mountains. A preliminary, very approximate estimate of total resulting sea-level rise is 15-25 cm. But large parts of the Antarctic Ice Sheet lack such a protective fringe of coastal/ ICESat; passive/active microwave; Automatic Weather Stations Volume change at higher elevations: ICESat, Model simulations of surface mass balance Focused high-resolution surveys of regions undergoing change: Aircraft laser altimeter and ice- sounding radars, photogrammetry/


A72B-0168 Simulation of the Climate of South-West Asia with a Regional Model J.P. Evans R. Smith Yale University,

AL 35805 United States The ability of the regional model RegCM2 to simulate the climate of South-West Asia is examined. The climate of/grid spacing = 25 km time step = 90 s Black Sea Caspian Sea 3. Results 3.1 Surface temperature and precipitation While RegCM2/valley being dominated by rising motion during the winter months as the westerly winds are forced to rise over the mountains./ hPa level strongly restrains air from below this level from moving up into the convergence zone. Instead the low level air mass/


PROJECT TO INTERCOMPARE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATIONS Global Climate Change: What on Earth are we Doing?! Eugene S. Takle Agronomy Department Geological.

at 550 ppm Carbon Dioxide and Temperature “Business as Usual” (fossil intensive) 2100 PROJECT TO INTERCOMPARE REGIONAL CLIMATE SIMULATIONS Associated Climate Changes  Global sea-level has increased 1-2 mm/yr  Duration of ice cover of rivers and lakes decreased by 2 weeks in/will be greater for winter than summer  Warming will be greater at night than during the day  A 3 o F rise in summer daytime temperature triples the probability of a heat wave  Growing season will be longer (8-9 days longer now than/


Section 3: Global Warming Objectives The Greenhouse Effect Measuring Carbon Dioxide in the Atmosphere Rising Carbon Dioxide Levels Greenhouse Gases and.

, rainfall patterns, and sea level will be affected. Modeling Global Warming Computer modeling is complicated by the Earth’s feedback processes that sometimes make it necessary to use different equations under changing simulated environments. These feedback processes/ serious environmental problems. These problems range from the disruption of global weather patterns and a global rise in sea level to adverse impacts on human health, agriculture, and animal and plant populations. Other impacts on the/


Promoting Sustainable Local Development from Grassroot Level: A Case Study of Madhya Pradesh Dinoj Kumar Upadhyay Dinoj Kumar Upadhyay Kalki -Society for.

to displace populations in coastal zones, increase flooding in low-lying coastal areas, loss of crop yields from inundation and salinization.  Coastal zone: Simulations models show an increase in frequencies of tropical cyclones in the Bay of Bengal. Sea level rise is projected to displace populations in coastal zones, increase flooding in low-lying coastal areas, loss of crop yields from inundation and salinization/


A Numerical Simulation of the Hurricane Charley Storm Surge in the Light of Lessons Learned from Tampa Bay R.H. Weisberg and L. Zheng FWRI Marine Quest.

04/09/05 Submergence based on a 5-foot uniform sea level rise Submergence based on a 10-foot uniform sea level rise Submergence based on a 20-foot uniform sea level rise Hurricane Storm Surge Simulation Requirements 1) A high resolution numerical circulation model with / (10~20 km). 2) We account for the breach at North Captiva Island by the large across-barrier-island sea level gradient that occurred as the H. Charley passed by. Acknowledgments This work was supported by the Office of Naval Research/


Mark Bergland and Karen Klyczek, University of Wisconsin-River Falls

research application: HHMI SEA-PHAGES Case It Mobile as an alternative to the Case It simulation How to develop / Recent declines in honey bee populations have given rise to the syndrome named Colony Collapse Disorder (CCD/levels Northwestern Washington - low mite levels Southeast Florida - high mite levels Oahu, Hawaii - high mite levels Northern Arizona - moderate mite levels Southern British Columbia - moderate mite levels DNA sequence analysis Authentic research for first-year students: HHMI SEA/


Sea-Level Rise: Impacts and Responses Prof. Robert J. Nicholls Faculty of Engineering and the Environment and Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research.

Source: Wadey et al., 2012 Issues (1) Southern England vs. Tidewater Virginia –Understanding sea levels –Impacts of sea-level rise –Planning for sea-level rise –Integrated Assessment – linking to wider issues – risk management Issues (2) Strategic planning approaches/Manchester University, Fudan University Tyndall Coastal Simulator –Integrated Assessment of Coastal Systems How? (2) UK Government interest in promoting linkages and exchange? Link to EU 7 th Framework RISES –Responses To Coastal Climate Change:/


ALBEMARLE CLIMATE ADAPTATION PROJECT USING INNOVATIVE TECHNIQUES TO BUILD ECOSYSTEM RESILIENCE TO RISING SEAS.

Refuge The Albemarle Region is the portion of NC’s coast most vulnerable to sea level rise. Relative sea- level rise: 2 in/decade At the present rate, all the blue areas will be inundated in 200 years Over 1 million acres will be inundated as sea-level rises over the next few centuries SLR Simulation: 4 in increments up to 32 in Current rate = 200 years Best case = 150/


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