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January – June 2015 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey 1.

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Presentation on theme: "January – June 2015 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey 1."— Presentation transcript:

1 January – June 2015 Biannual Economic and Capacity Survey 1

2 Firm distribution based on Annual Turnover (based on responses received) Category by gross annual income % of firms 0 – R1,5m 2% R1,5m – R11,5m 38% > R11,5m 60% Total 100.0% Category by gross annual income % of firms 0 – R1,5m 10% R1,5m – R11,5m 51% > R11,5m 39% Total 100.0% January – June 2015 Full survey July – December 2014 2 Source: CESA BECS

3 Profile of respondents – by firm size Based on full and part time employment 3 Source: CESA BECS

4 Fee earnings vs Gross Fixed Capital Formation (Res, Non-Res, Construction works) | Rbn, Constant 2005 prices Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight 4

5 Consulting Engineering Earnings Percentage of GDP / GFCF construction 5 Source: RBQN, CESA BECS, Industry Insight

6 Fee income, R billions Real 2000 prices Annualised | Deflator = CPI Source: CESA BECS 6

7 Real Fee income, Real prices Annual Change | Deflator = CPI Source: CESA BECS 7

8 CESA Confidence Index Source: CESA BECS 8

9 CESA Labour Cost Indicator vs CPI Year on Year percentage change Source: CESA BECS 9

10 Employment vs REAL fee income (Rbn) (Deflated using the CPI & LCI) Source: CESA BECS CPI: Consumer price index LCI : Labour Cost Indicator 10

11 Salary and wage vs Employment Source: CESA BECS 11

12 Salary and wage bill | Percentage of gross fee earnings Source: CESA BECS 12

13 Average Discounting rate Source: CESA BECS 13

14 Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % Share Source: CESA BECS 14

15 Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % Share Change in market share in the last 6 months Source: CESA BECS 15

16 Fee income earned by TOP THREE disciplines: R bn Real 2000 prices Moving average (2 survey period): 2002 – June 2015 Source: CESA BECS 16

17 Fee income earned by economic sector Percentage market share Source: CESA BECS 17

18 Profile of earnings by sector 18

19 Fee earnings by selected sector R billions, Real 2000 prices | Smoothed |2 survey average 19 Source: CESA BECS

20 Fee income (Rm annualised, Real prices) earned by key economic sectors Source: CESA BECS 20

21 Provincial Market Share Source: CESA BECS 21

22 Fee income earned by province (Rbn, real prices) High Capacity economies |TREND Annualised smoothed, average over 2 past surveys Source: CESA BECS 22

23 Fee income earned by province June 1999– December 2014| Rm real prices Source: CESA BECS 23

24 Fee income earned by province June 1999– June 2015| Rm real prices Source: CESA BECS 24

25 Provincial profile by economic sector where fee earnings >50% of total earnings Source: CESA BECS 25

26 Fee income earned (Real 2000 prices) High Capacity vs lower capacity provincial economies |Smoothed 81% of fees were earned in high capacity provinces Source: CESA BECS 26

27 Fee income earned : RSA vs EX-RSA R mill, Real 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed 76% of fees were earned in South Africa Source: CESA BECS 27

28 Fee income earned by type of client Percentage share as at June 2015 Source: CESA BECS 28

29 Fee income earned by type of client Percentage share Source: CESA BECS 29

30 Fee income earned by type of client R billion Real 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - avg over 2 survey periods Source: CESA BECS 30

31 Fee income earned by type of client R billions Real 2000 prices | Annualised, smoothed - average over 2 survey periods Source: CESA BECS 31

32 Competition in tendering Percentage of respondents that reported “Fierce” competition Source: CESA BECS 32

33 % of Firms wanting to increase staff Source: CESA BECS 33

34 % of Firms wanting to increase staff Source: CESA BECS 34

35 Engineering Skills Shortfall Source: CESA BECS 35

36 % of firms that reported experiencing problems recruiting the right people Source: CESA BECS 36

37 Bursaries % of Salary / Wage bill Source: CESA BECS Trend line – 2 year average 37

38 Bursaries R mill Real 2000 prices (Annualised) Source: CESA BECS 38

39 Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Percentage of Salaries/Wages Data not available Source: CESA BECS Trend line – 2 year average 39

40 Training (Salaries and Direct Training Costs) Rbn, Real 2000 prices Data not available Source: CESA BECS Trend line – 2 year average 40

41 Training (Direct costs) % of Salary/Wage bill Source: CESA BECS Trend line – 2 year average 41

42 Training (Direct costs) Rand millions, Real 2000 prices Source: CESA BECS Trend line – 2 year average 42

43 Industry Capacity Utilisation Of existing technical staff Source: CESA BECS 43

44 Total fee income outstanding for longer than 90 days Percentage of total fee income earned Source: CESA BECS Trend line – 2 year average 44

45 Escalation trends: CPI Year-on-Year Percentage Change CPI Basket Revised in January 2013 Forecasts based on latest Treasury estimates (Budget 2015) Source: Treasury estimates Budget 2015 45

46 Labour unit cost indicator Year-on-Year % Change (Smoothed) Source: CESA BECS 46

47 Labour unit cost indicator Annual Average Year-on-Year Percentage Change Source: CESA BECS 47

48 CESA labour costs outpace CPI 48 Source: CESA BECS, Statistics South Africa

49 Profile by Race 49 Source: CESA BECS

50 Profile of Professional Engineers by Race 50 Source: CESA BECS

51 Typical Employment Breakdown January – June 2015 Source: CESA BECS 51

52 Overall Employment Breakdown, by race December 2007– December 2014 Source: CESA BECS 52 46.7%

53 53 Employment profile Black only (excluding Asian / Coloured) representation of total employment % Share of total employment Source: CESA BECS

54 Changing profile of female engineers 54 Source: CESA BECS

55 Executive Staff: % Share of total employment PTY, CC & Partnerships Source: CESA BECS 55

56 Black Executive Staff : (including Asian and Coloured) % Share of total Executive Staff Source: CESA BECS 56

57 Black (including Asian and Coloured) Executive Staff as % of total Executive | December 2008 – June 2015 57 Source: CESA BECS

58 Quality Management System Source: CESA BECS 58

59 ISO 9001:2008 Certificate Source: CESA BECS 59

60 Thank you www.cesa.co.za Tel: 011 463 2022 60


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