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Introduction to Research Design Basic Concepts
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Bivariate Experimental Research
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Light Switch Experiment Experimental Units / Subjects = classrooms Manipulated IV = position of light switch Randomly assign to groups DV = brightness of room IV effect on DV = signal to be detected EV cause noise in DV
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Coin Size Experiment IV = size of coin tossed in pool DV = height of wave produced EV = rowdy youngsters in pool Noise may obscure the IV DV signal Confound: EV entangled with IV
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Tacker’s Educational Experiment IV = method of instruction, traditional or new DV = student performance on exams Two classes, no random assignment New method significantly > old method Confounding variable: Time of class
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Nonexperimental Research Observational research “Correlational” is a confusing term best avoided. No variable is manipulated. Best not to use the terms “independent variable” and “dependent variable” Better to use “grouping variable” and “criterion variable.”
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Alcohol and Reaction Time Observation Participants = folks randomly sampled in downtown Greenville in evening. Grouping variable = have been drinking or not. Criterion variable = score on reaction time task. Correlation (r, ) is statistically significant. Can we make a causal inference?
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Reanalyze the data with Independent Samples t or ANOVA F Groups are significantly different. Can we make a causal inference?
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Alcohol and Reaction Time Experiment Randomly assign participants to groups. One group drinks alcohol, the other not. IV = alcohol consumption DV = score on reaction time task Correlation (r, ) is statistically significant. Can we make a causal inference?
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Reanalyze the data with Independent Samples t or ANOVA F Groups are significantly different. Ind. Samples t and ANOVA F can be shown to be special cases of corr/regression analysis. Causal inference and how the data were collected, not how they were analyzed.
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Alcohol and Reaction Time Observation 2 Participants = persons downtown in evening. Predictor variable (IV) = blood alcohol level Criterion variable (DV) = reaction time Correlation/regression analysis. Can I make a causal inference?
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Third Variable Explanation
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Casual Inference To infer that X is a cause of Y Show that X precedes Y. Show that X and Y and correlated. Rule out noncausal explanations. –establish prior equivalence of treatment groups –treat groups differently (manipulate IV) –demonstrate that groups differ on DV
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X Causes But Not Correlated With Y This sounds impossible, but a case can be made. X has a direct causal effect on Y with magnitude.25. X has a direct causal effect on M with magintude.5 M has a direct causal effect on Y with magnitude -.5
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The indirect effect of X through M on Y is.5(-.5) = -.25. The total effect (correlation) of X on Y is the sum of its direct effect and its indirect effect..25 + (-.25) = 0.
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Design Notation N X O 1,2 N O 1,2 One group per row. Time flows from left to right. N for nonrandom assignment, R for random. X is an experimental treatment. O is an observation. –subscripts represent different variables.
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Internal Validity The degree to which the design allows you to determine whether or not the experimental treatment affected the dependent variable in this research: as the IV was manipulated here as the DV was measured here with the subjects employed here
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