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3.2 - Residuals and Least Squares Regression Line.

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Presentation on theme: "3.2 - Residuals and Least Squares Regression Line."— Presentation transcript:

1 3.2 - Residuals and Least Squares Regression Line

2 Residuals the difference between an observed value of the response variable and the value predicted by the regression line. residual = y -

3 predicted long jump distance = 304.56 - 27.63(sprint time) Find and interpret the residual for a sprint time of 8.09 seconds. (FYI - the data gathered showed a long jump distance of 151 in for a sprint time of 8.09 seconds) First, find the predicted value Second, find the residual. Third, determine if it is above or below the predicted value. Fourth, write an interpretive sentence!

4 Least Squares Regression Line the line that makes the sum of the square of the residuals as small as possible. Web Applet #1: http://hspm.sph.sc.edu/courses/J716/demos/LeastSquares/LeastSqu aresDemo.html http://hspm.sph.sc.edu/courses/J716/demos/LeastSquares/LeastSqu aresDemo.html Web Applet #2: http://bcs.whfreeman.com/tps4e/#628644__666392__

5 Calculating the Least-Squares Regression Line * These are on your formula sheet, just with different notation instead of a and b*

6 What does the slope of the least-squares regression line tell us? a change in 1 standard deviation in x corresponds to a change of r standard deviations in y. There is a close relationship between correlation and slope!

7 The number of miles (in thousands) for 11 used Hondas has a mean of 50.5 and a standard deviation of 19.3. The advertised prices had a mean of $14,425 and a standard deviation of $1899. The correlation for these variables is r = - 0.874. Find the equation of the least-squares regression line and explain what the slope represents. Slope: Intercept: LSRL: For each additional 19.3 thousand miles we expect the cost to decrease $1660.


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