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Meteorology 415 Fall 2012 Contest 2 City 1 – INL October 4, 2012.

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Presentation on theme: "Meteorology 415 Fall 2012 Contest 2 City 1 – INL October 4, 2012."— Presentation transcript:

1 Meteorology 415 Fall 2012 Contest 2 City 1 – INL October 4, 2012

2 Watertown, SD Survey Scores

3 Watertown, SD Career Scores

4 International Falls, MN FAA Identifier: INL Lat/Long: 48-33- 56.1000N / 093-24-07.8000W 48-33.935000N / 093-24.130000W 48.5655833 / -93.4021667 (estimated) Elevation: 1185 ft. / 361.2 m (surveyed) Variation: 03E (1985) Time zone: UTC -5 (UTC -6 during Standard Time) Zip code: 56649 Population (2010) [1] 2010 [1] Total 6,424 Density 1,069.3/sq mi (412.8/km 2 )

5 International Falls, MN - Observations KINL 041755Z AUTO 15008KT 10SM OVC022 09/06 A2951 RMK AO2 RAE13 SLP000 P0000 60000 T00940056 10100 20072 56031= KINL 041831Z AUTO 15004KT 4SM -RA BR BKN014 OVC020 08/07 A2950 RMK AO2 VIS 2 1/2 RWY 31 RAB1759 P0001= KINL 041842Z AUTO 15004KT 3SM -RA BR SCT008 OVC012 08/07 A2950 RMK AO2 RAB1759 P0001= KINL 041850Z AUTO 00000KT 2 1/2SM -RA BR BKN006 OVC012 08/08 A2949 RMK AO2 VIS 1 3/4 RWY 31 RAB1759 CIG 004V008 P0002= KINL 041855Z AUTO VRB03KT 2SM -RA BR BKN008 OVC012 08/08 A2949 RMK AO2 RAB1759 CIG 004V011 SLP995 P0002 T00830078= KINL 041917Z AUTO 26009KT 4SM -RA BR BKN006 OVC010 08/07 A2949 RMK AO2 VIS 2 RWY 31 CIG 004V009 P0002= KINL 041955Z AUTO 27012G21KT 4SM -RA BR OVC006 06/04 A2952 RMK AO2 SLP004 P0005 T00560044= KINL 042007Z AUTO 27018G25KT 2 1/2SM RA BR OVC006 04/03 A2953 RMK AO2 P0003= KINL 042015Z AUTO 27014G29KT 6SM -RA BR OVC006 03/03 A2954 RMK AO2 PK WND 27029/2013 P0004= KINL 042055Z AUTO 26014G26KT 5SM RA BR OVC008 02/01 A2958 RMK AO2 PK WND

6 International Falls, MN - Observations 27029/2013 SLP026 P0006 60013 T00220011 53022= KINL 042108Z AUTO 26015G27KT 4SM -SN BR OVC010 02/01 A2959 RMK AO2 PK WND 28027/2104 RAE2059SNB2059 P0001= KINL 042119Z AUTO 27014G21KT 1 3/4SM -SN BR OVC010 02/01 A2959 RMK AO2 PK WND 28027/2104 RAE2059SNB2059 P0003= KINL 042136Z AUTO 27013G25KT 3SM -SN BR OVC010 01/00 A2961 RMK AO2 PK WND 27027/2121 VIS 1 1/2 RWY 31 RAE2059SNB2059 P0004= KINL 042155Z AUTO 26015G28KT 10SM -RA OVC010 02/01 A2962 RMK AO2 PK WND 26028/2146 RAE2059B46SNB2059E46 SLP043 P0004 T00170006= KINL 042220Z AUTO 27017G26KT 2SM -SN BR OVC010 01/01 A2964= KINL 042220Z AUTO 27017G26KT 2SM -SN BR OVC010 01/01 A2964 RMK AO2 PK WND 27026/2220 VIS 1 3/4V2 1/2 RAE2157SNB2157 P0000= KINL 042242Z AUTO 27016G25KT 1SM -SN BR VV009 01/00 A2966 RMK AO2 PK WND 27028/2232 RAE2157SNB2157 P0002= KINL 042255Z AUTO 27017G24KT 1SM -SN BR VV009 01/00 A2967 RMK AO2 PK WND 27028/2232 RAE2157SNB2157 SLP059 P0004 T00060000= KINL 042320Z AUTO 27013G24KT 2 1/2SM -SN BR OVC009 01/00 A2967 RMK AO2 PK WND 26026/2307 P0001= KINL 042336Z AUTO 27016G23KT 3SM -SN BR OVC011 01/00 A2968 RMK AO2 PK WND 26026/2307 P0002= KINL 042355Z AUTO 26014G24KT 6SM -SN BR OVC011 01/00 A2969 RMK AO2 PK WND 26026/2307 SLP064 P0003 60024 T00110000 10094 20006 51036=

7 International Falls, MN - Observations KINL 042355Z AUTO 26014G24KT 6SM -SN BR OVC011 01/00 A2969 RMK AO2 PK WND 26026/2307 SLP064 P0003 60024 T00110000 10094 20006 51036= KINL 050055Z AUTO 26015G26KT 9SM UP OVC011 01/00 A2970 RMK AO2 PK WND 27026/0049 UPB38SNE38 SLP071 P0000 T00110000= KINL 050111Z AUTO 27012G25KT 8SM UP OVC009 01/00 A2971 RMK AO2 P0000= KINL 050155Z AUTO 27018G26KT 8SM UP OVC009 01/00 A2972 RMK AO2 PK WND 26027/0134 UPE29B53SNB29E53 SLP074 P0000 T00110000= KINL 050202Z AUTO 27013G23KT 10SM -RA OVC012 01/00 A2971 RMK AO2 UPE0157RAB0157 P0000= KINL 050155Z AUTO 27018G26KT 8SM UP OVC009 01/00 A2972= KINL 050255Z AUTO 27014G23KT 6SM -RA BR SCT009 OVC012 01/00 A2973 RMK AO2 PK WND 28027/0243 UPE24RAB0157SNB46E55 SLP080 P0000 60000 T00110000 51015= KINL 050355Z AUTO 27017G26KT 8SM UP OVC012 01/00 A2974 RMK AO2 PK WND 26026/0354 RAE0257UPB17SNB0257E17B28E33 SLP081 P0000 T00110000= KINL 050455Z AUTO 28016G24KT 6SM -SN BR OVC012 01/00 A2975 RMK AO2 PK WND 27026/0356 UPE13SNB13 SLP084 P0000 T00060000= KINL 050555Z AUTO 27016G23KT 7SM UP OVC012 01/00 A2976 RMK AO2 PK WND 27027/0510 UPB43SNE43 SLP088 P0000 60000 T00060000 10011 20006 401000006 53008=

8 International Falls, MN - Observations KINL 050555Z AUTO 27016G23KT 7SM UP OVC012 01/00 A2976 RMK AO2 PK WND 27027/0510 UPB43SNE43 SLP088 P0000 60000 T00060000 10011 20006 401000006 53008= KINL 050655Z AUTO 28013G23KT 6SM -SN BR OVC012 01/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 PK WND 27030/0640 UPE44SNB0558E07B44 SLP091 P0000 T00061006= KINL 050738Z AUTO 27015G24KT 4SM -SN BR SCT013 OVC018 01/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 PK WND 27027/0710 P0000= KINL 050741Z AUTO 27013G24KT 4SM -SN BR FEW009 BKN014 OVC019 01/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 PK WND 27027/0710 P0000= KINL 050741Z AUTO 27013G24KT 4SM -SN BR FEW009 BKN014 OVC01901/M01 A2977= KINL 050748Z AUTO 27015G22KT 5SM -SN BR FEW009 SCT014 OVC021 01/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 PK WND 27027/0710 P0000= KINL 050748Z AUTO 27015G22KT 5SM -SN BR FEW009 SCT014 OVC02101/M01 A2977= KINL 050755Z AUTO 27016G24KT 5SM -SN BR SCT012 OVC019 01/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 PK WND 27027/0710 SLP093 P0000 T00061006= KINL 050807Z AUTO 27013G21KT 5SM -SN BR SCT009 OVC017 01/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 UPB0758E03SNE0758B03 P0000= KINL 050855Z AUTO 27015G19KT 5SM -SN BR OVC016 01/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 PK WND 26026/0818 UPB0758E03SNE0758B03 SLP096 P0000 60000 T00061006 51004=

9 International Falls, MN - Observations KINL 050855Z AUTO 27015G19KT 5SM -SN BR OVC016 01/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 PK WND 26026/0818 UPB0758E03SNE0758B03 SLP096 P0000 60000 T00061006 51004= KINL 050914Z AUTO 27016G22KT 4SM -SN BR OVC014 01/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 P0000= KINL 050930Z AUTO 27017G23KT 4SM -SN BR OVC015 01/M01 A2977= KINL 050930Z AUTO 27017G23KT 4SM -SN BR OVC015 01/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 P0000= KINL 050955Z AUTO 27012G21KT 3SM -SN BR SCT013 OVC022 01/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 UPB42E50SNE42B50 SLP097 P0000 T00061006= KINL 051003Z AUTO 27011G20KT 1 3/4SM -SN BR FEW010 OVC020 01/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 P0000= KINL 050955Z AUTO 27012G21KT 3SM -SN BR SCT013 OVC022 01/M01 A2977= KINL 051003Z AUTO 27011G20KT 1 3/4SM -SN BR FEW010 OVC020 01/M01A2977= KINL 051018Z AUTO 27015G21KT 2SM -SN BR OVC014 00/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 P0001= KINL 051030Z AUTO 27015G21KT 1 1/2SM -SN BR OVC012 00/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 P0001= KINL 051045Z AUTO 28013G19KT 3/4SM -SN BR 00/M01 A2978 RMK AO2 SNB35 P0001 $= KINL 051055Z AUTO 27012G19KT 3/4SM -SN BR 00/M01 A2978 RMK AO2 SNB35 SLP099 P0003 T00001006 $= KINL 051109Z AUTO 27013G24KT 1SM -SN BR VV009 00/M01 A2978 RMK AO2 P0002 $= KINL 051145Z AUTO 27012G20KT 1SM -SN BR VV010 00/M01 A2978 RMK AO2 P0005 $= KINL 051155Z AUTO 28015G22KT 1 1/4SM -SN BR OVC010 00/M01 A2978 RMK AO2 SLP101 P0006 60009 70033 T00001006 10006 20000=

10 International Falls, MN – Surface Map

11 International Falls, MN – Upper Air Pattern

12 International Falls, MN – Satellite

13 International Falls, MN – Radar KINL 051003Z AUTO 27011G20KT 1 3/4SM -SN BR FEW010 OVC020 01/M01 A2977 RMK AO2 P0000=

14 International Falls, MN – Guidance

15 Verification

16 Survey Path Scores

17 Career Path Scores

18 Up Close and Personal

19 Lessons Learned: INL Accumulating snow requires several hours of snow falling to cool the ground..if it had been warm. After all, the Tmax of 49F was a very good number to focus on! A quickly deepening cyclone with a developing moisture feed will form a cold conveyor circulation that can produce snow!

20 Meteorology 415 Fall 2012 Contest 2 City 2 – AOO October 4, 2012

21 Altoona, PA Population (2010) City 46,320 2010 Density 5,069/sq mi (1,957.1/km 2 ) Urban 100,000 (est) Metro 127,089 UrbanMetro Demonym Altoonian, AltoidDemonym

22 Altoona- Observations KAOO 061153Z AUTO 31010KT 10SM BKN023 OVC034 16/12 A2986 RMK AO2 RAE03 SLP106 P0000 60000 T01610117 10167 20139 53003= KAOO 061253Z AUTO 31010KT 10SM OVC020 14/11 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP115 T01390106= KAOO 061353Z AUTO 32012KT 10SM OVC013 12/09 A2992 RMK AO2 RAB44E53 SLP131 P0000 T01170089 TSNO= KAOO 061425Z AUTO 32015G21KT 10SM SCT011 OVC018 12/08 A2993 RMK AO2= KAOO 061453Z AUTO 31015G20KT 10SM BKN020 OVC048 11/07 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP139 60000 T01110072 51028= KAOO 061553Z AUTO 31018G24KT 10SM SCT020 OVC044 11/06 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP147 T01110061= KAOO 061653Z AUTO 30015G21KT 10SM BKN023 BKN029 OVC034 11/06 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP154 T01060056= KAOO 061753Z AUTO 28012KT 10SM BKN022 BKN028 OVC034 11/06 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP154 60000 T01060056 10156 20100 51014= KAOO 061823Z AUTO 30010G17KT 10SM SCT022 BKN030 BKN038 11/06 A2998 RMK AO2= KAOO 061853Z AUTO 29014KT 10SM SCT036 13/04 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP151 T01280044= KAOO 061953Z AUTO 29012G20KT 10SM CLR 13/02 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP149 T01330022= KAOO 062053Z AUTO 28010KT 10SM CLR 13/03 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP150 T01330028 56003= KAOO 062153Z AUTO 29009G14KT 10SM CLR 12/02 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP152 T01220017= KAOO 062253Z AUTO 29005KT 10SM CLR 10/03 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP163 T01000028= KAOO 062353Z AUTO 30004KT 10SM CLR 08/02 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP168 T00830022 10133 20083 53015=

23 Altoona - Observations KAOO 070053Z AUTO 29004KT 10SM CLR 08/02 A3005 RMK AO2 SLP179 T00780022= KAOO 070153Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 07/03 A3007 RMK AO2 SLP186 T00720028= KAOO 070253Z AUTO 34003KT 10SM CLR 08/02 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP193 T00830017 51021= KAOO 070353Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 07/01 A3010 RMK AO2 SLP196 T00720011= KAOO 070453Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 06/01 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP194 T00610011 401670061= KAOO 070553Z AUTO 30003KT 10SM CLR 06/01 A3008 RMK AO2 SLP193 T00610011 10089 20056 58002= KAOO 070653Z AUTO 32005KT 10SM CLR 07/02 A3007 RMK AO2 SLP185 T00670017= KAOO 070753Z AUTO 03004KT 10SM SCT110 07/02 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP175 T00720022= KAOO 070853Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM BKN110 07/02 A3005 RMK AO2 SLP180 T00720022 55010= KAOO 070953Z AUTO 19004KT 10SM OVC095 07/03 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP185 T00670033= KAOO 071053Z AUTO 25004KT 10SM BKN065 OVC100 07/03 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP194 T00670033= KAOO 071153Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM BKN055 OVC095 07/04 A3008 RMK AO2 SLP192 T00720039 10078 20061 50008=

24 Altoona – Surface Map

25 Altoona – Upper Air Pattern

26 Altoona – Satellite

27 Altoona – Radar

28 Verification

29 Career Path Scores

30 Up Close and Personal

31 Lessons Learned: AOO A full latitude trough tends to move slower than the mesoscale models predict and will have fewer waves than expected. The classic ‘fools clearing’ will have a big effect on cloud cover and temperature predictions. Surface winds, when not aligned with a large trough, will be weaker than forecast.

32 Weekly Winners Survey PathCareer Path

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