2. 1 Taxes, Incentives and Economic Development © Allen C. Goodman 2014

3. 2 Taxes are a Cost of Doing Business Let’s start with a spreadsheet.spreadsheet Simple Firm Could locate at A or at B. Only difference is property tax rate.

4. 3 Taxes are a Cost of Doing Business What are the net impacts? What do these tell us?

5. 4 This leads to lots of questions Are local taxes the only determinants? Do they impact current residents? Do they impact movers? What do the taxes buy?

6. 5 In the early 1980s GM Built Saturn Plant They could locate anywhere. Why did they locate in Spring Hill TN? Bartik and colleagues looked at –transport costs –labor costs for local suppliers –state and local taxes (before subsidy) –total costs

7. 6 Estimated Location related Cost ($/car) Transport 426 423 419 417 430 413 427 State, Loc Tx 118 106 134 162 116 168 169 Local Labor 159 186 172 202 244 209 219 Total 703 715 725 781 790 815 City Nashville, TN Lexington, KY St. Louis, MO B’ton, IL Kalamazoo, MI Terre H, IN Marysville, OH

8. 7 Estimated Cost ($/car) Transport 426 423 419 417 430 413 427 State, Loc Tx 118 106 134 162 116 168 169 Local Labor 159 186 172 202 244 209 219 Total 703 715 725 781 790 815 City Nashville, TN Lexington, KY St. Louis, MO B’ton, IL Kalamazoo, MI Terre H, IN Marysville, OH Kalamazoo – Nashville = 87 State and local taxes were LOWER in Kalamazoo than in Nashville Wages were considerably HIGHER!

9. 8 What Ec Dev Incentives are in US? General Idea: Reduce costs to business of locating in a certain place. One idea is property tax reduction – we’ve looked a little at that. Another idea is to subsidize borrowing of business who locate and/or expand in the locality. How do these work?

10. 9 What Ec Dev Incentives are in US? General Idea: State or local government issues bonds. Revenue stream from a private project pays the interest. Because interest from municipal bonds is not taxable (a conscious choice of our federal system), the private business can borrow at a lower interest rate. How does this work?

11. 10 Look at demand and supply of credit Consider a bunch of corporate borrowers. You have supply and demand for credit. Lenders are suppliers of credit! Suppose that owners of state and municipal bonds do not have to pay interest on their bonds. Interest Payments S D r = interest rate Volume of B r0r0 B0B0

12. 11 Lenders would love to get r 0 and not have to pay taxes. But, if they were willing to lend at r 0 and pay income taxes (e.g. 28%), they would be willing to accept r 1 which is slightly higher than 0.72 * r 0. Why? Because r 1 > 0.72 r 0. S D r Volume of B r0r0 B0B0 S' r1r1 B1B1 Look at demand and supply of credit

13. 12 Who buys these bonds? Suppose you have rich and poor lenders –Rich are in 28% tax bracket –Poor are in 15% tax bracket Consider a $10,000 bond that would pay 6% taxable interest. Annual interest payment to lender is $600. After-tax payment for –Rich = 0.72* 600 = $432. –Poor = 0.85* 600 = $510 S D r Volume of B r0r0 B0B0 S' r1r1 B1B1

14. 13 Who buys these bonds? If the interest rate fell to 5.10%, this would be the equivalent of 5.10/0.72 for the rich, or 7.083%. Since this is bigger than 6%, more money would come in S D r Volume of B r0r0 B0B0 S' r1r1 B1B1 5.10 4.32 S ' '

15. 14 Who buys these bonds? We saw that the rich are better off buying the bond if the yield is very slightly more than 0.72 * r 0, or 0.72 * 6% = 4.32% They are the MARGINAL borrowers, and they determine the differential return. Any poor person who buys this tax-free bond would be better off buying a taxable bond and paying the taxes. S D r Volume of B B0B0 S' r 0 = 6.00% r 1 = 4.32% B1B1

16. 15 Who buys these bonds? Any poor person who buys this tax-free bond would be better off buying a taxable bond and paying the taxes. Why? Because s/he is earning 4.32% If s/he bought a taxable 6% bond .85*6% = 5.10% S D r Volume of B B0B0 S' r 0 = 6.00% r 1 = 4.32% B1B1

17. 16 What does this have to do w/ ED, It allows firms to borrow money at lower costs. Tax breaks only help activities that pay taxes. Just about everyone borrows money. If a firm can borrow at a lower interest rate, the firm will increase its profits. that is Economic Development?

18. 17 Tax Abatements They take the form of credits (pay less), abatements (don’t pay), and special treatments. One way or another, they reduce the costs of doing business within the boundaries of the particular jurisdiction (either state or local). Issues –Do they work? –If taxes are lowered, and you need services, who pays the taxes?

19. 18 Excise effects Within a metropolitan area, property taxes are a cost of doing business. If the ABC Co. (currently located on the planet Venus) goes to Southfield and says, “we have a $10,000,000 project, and the property taxes in Southfield would be 2% of $10,000,000 or $200,000 per year. We’re indifferent between you and Warren. If you give us a 50% property tax abatement we’ll locate in Southfield. ” Suppose, now that they go to Warren and they say the same thing. What happens?

20. 19 Excise effects What are the things to ask? –Is ABC really indifferent between Southfield and Warren? Why or why not would they be? –What are the benefits and costs to Southfield and Warren of foregoing $100,000 per year in taxes? –What about the businesses that are already in Southfield (or Warren)? Are they being treated the same way? Should they be treated the same way? –Would it be better for Southfield and Warren to get together and stand firm against the tax competition?

21. Michigan Film Tax Credit Michigan's film incentives were used as "refundable tax credits." That means a production company awarded a credit got to write off all of its Michigan business tax, which is typically a tiny portion of the credit that can run into the millions of dollars. The state then cut a check for the balance and pays the filmmaker. Many other states competing for films also used refundable credits. California does not.business http://www.freep.com/article/20110306/BUSINESS06/110305028/Guide-How-Michigan-s-film-incentive-program-works

22. How companies get incentives 1.The Film Office and the Michigan Treasury Department reviewed the application of a company that intends to spend at least $50,000 in Michigan to qualify for the tax incentive. The review generally takes about four weeks. 2.The Film Office and Treasury approves or denies the application. Production-related spending in any of 136 core communities, such as Detroit, Grand Rapids and Flint, were eligible for a 42% tax credit. Spending in other communities, such as Plymouth, Grosse Pointe and Birmingham, were eligible for a 40% credit.

23. 3.The company wraps filming on the movie, usually after about three months in Michigan. 4.The company’s accountants compile all production- related spending in Michigan at restaurants, hotels, hardware stores, caterers, retailers, etc. They submit an audited copy of expenses to the Film Office. The company requests a postproduction certificate from the Film Office.

24. 5.The Film Office and Department of Treasury reviewed the expenses. The Film Office issues a postproduction certificate to the company. That certificate lists the tax credit owed to the company. 6.The company files a Michigan Business Tax return at the end of its tax year. The company uses the incentive to reduce its Michigan taxes, which are usually minimal. The state sends the company a check for the balance of the incentive. Giving Refunds on the Expenses!

25. So … why is this bad? Because it gives incentives for spending, not for profitability. Suppose a business, spends $100, and sells for $100. We turn around and write them a check for $42. More they spend, bigger the C H E C K. 24

26. Economics Would these firms come here otherwise? On net, are we bringing in more tax revenue than we are giving away? Is directing aid to these businesses better policy than directing the aid to others?

27. 26 Is it a prisoner’s dilemma? Do we give 50% tax abatement? In boxes we have total expected tax receipts for the municipalities. NoYes No Yes T S = 2M T W = 2M T S = 2.5M T W = 0.5M Warren T S = 1M T W = 1M T S = 0.5M T W = 2.5M Southfield

28. 27 Is it a prisoner’s dilemma Let’s look at dominant strategies. NoYes Southfield No Yes T S = 2M T W = 2M T S = 2.5M T W = 0.5M Warren T S = 1M T W = 1M T S = 0.5M T W = 2.5M Southfield? Abate! Why? Warren? Abate! Why?

29. 28 Is it a prisoner’s dilemma Under these circumstances, competition is certainly not optimal for particular cities. NoYes No Yes T S = 2M T W = 2M T S = 2.5M T W = 0.5M Warren T S = 1M T W = 1M T S = 0.5M T W = 2.5M Cooperation would be better. Why? All of this depends on what’s in the boxes. Southfield

30. 29 Effects of Taxes and Public Services Do property taxes and public services make a difference. Example: –Business wants to open. Has its choice between City D, with high property taxes, and –City E, with low property taxes. Do these taxes make a difference?

31. 30 Effects of Taxes and Public Services Solid evidence that, all else equal, local taxes have strong negative effects on local business growth. Why? What does the all else equal mean? A> It depends what the people who levy the taxes are doing with the money they raise.