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Scenario Comparison Which are the most effective scenarios for the BE-AWARE project regions? BE-AWARE II Final Conference, 18-19 November, Rönneby, Sweden.

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Presentation on theme: "Scenario Comparison Which are the most effective scenarios for the BE-AWARE project regions? BE-AWARE II Final Conference, 18-19 November, Rönneby, Sweden."— Presentation transcript:

1 Scenario Comparison Which are the most effective scenarios for the BE-AWARE project regions? BE-AWARE II Final Conference, 18-19 November, Rönneby, Sweden Co-financed by the EU – Civil Protection Financial Instrument

2 Concept for analytical scenario comparison Concept for analytical scenario comparison Costs are given as order of magnitudes and include investment cost, lifetime, maintenance and running costs

3 Concept for analytical scenario comparison Introducing two key terms: 1) Effectiveness (regarding damage for a given scenario compared to the 2020 reference scenario) In brief: "How much is the env. and soc.-eco. damage reduced in a sub- region by introducing a given scenario?" In brief brief: "How much does it help" 2) Cost-efficiency (regarding damage for a given scenario compared to the 2020 reference scenario) In brief: "How much reduction in env. and soc.-eco. damage is achieved per invested EUR in a sub-region by introducing a given scenario?" In brief brief : "How much do I get per EUR"

4 Concept for analytical scenario comparison Environmental and socio-economic damage Effectiveness expressed by env. and soc.eco damage is qualitatively confirmed by effectiveness expressed by thee independent parameters

5 BE-AWARE Sub-Regions

6 Sub-Region 1: Irish Sea and Atlantic Ireland and UK

7 Effectiveness in reducing damage impact Sub-Region 1: Irish Sea and Atlantic

8 Cost-efficiency in reducing damage impact

9 Cost-efficiency: Ranking of scenarios regarding reducing damage Sub-Region 1: Irish Sea and Atlantic

10 Summary Sub-region 1 (first 3 ranks are colored) Sub-Region 1: Irish Sea and Atlantic 3) VTS 4) TSS 5) AIS alarms 6) E-navigation 7) ETV in Ireland 8) Visibility 9) Dispersants 10) +50%, 1 ves. DK Effectivity6 *) 5213NA74 Cost-efficiencyNA3145 62 *) Spill-over effect from neighbouring sub-regions

11 Sub-Region 2: Northern North Sea Norway and UK

12 Effectiveness in reducing damage impact Sub-Region 2: Northern North Sea

13 Cost-efficiency in reducing damage impact

14 Sub-Region 2: Northern North Sea Cost-efficiency: Ranking of scenarios regarding reducing damage

15 Sub-Region 2: Northern North Sea Summary Sub-region 2 (first 3 ranks are colored) 3) VTS 4) TSS 5) AIS alarms 6) E-navigation 7) ETV in Ireland 8) Visibility 9) Dispersants 10) +50%, 1 ves. DK Effectivity2 *) 451NA673 Cost-efficiencyNA312 465 *) Spill-over effect from neighbouring sub-regions

16 Sub-Region 3: Eastern North Sea/Skagerrak Denmark, Germany, Norway and Sweden

17 Sub-Region 3: Eastern North Sea/Skagerrak Effectiveness in reducing damage impact

18 Sub-Region 3: Eastern North Sea/Skagerrak Cost-efficiency in reducing damage impact

19 Cost-efficiency: Ranking of scenarios regarding reducing damage Sub-Region 3: Eastern North Sea/Skagerrak

20 Summary Sub-region 3 (first 3 ranks are colored) 3) VTS 4) TSS 5) AIS alarms 6) E-navigation 7) ETV in Ireland 8) Visibility 9) Dispersants 10) +50%, 1 ves. DK Effectivity2153NA674 Cost-efficiency3124NA576

21 Sub-Region 4: Southern North Sea Belgium, France, Germany, Netherlands and UK

22 Sub-Region 4: Southern North Sea Effectiveness in reducing damage impact

23 Sub-Region 4: Southern North Sea Cost-efficiency in reducing damage impact

24 Sub-Region 4: Southern North Sea Cost-efficiency: Ranking of scenarios regarding reducing damage

25 Sub-Region 4: Southern North Sea Summary Sub-region 4 (first 3 ranks are colored) 3) VTS 4) TSS 5) AIS alarms 6) E-navigation 7) ETV in Ireland 8) Visibility 9) Dispersants 10) +50%, 1 ves. DK Effectivity2351NA674 Cost-efficiency5314NA276

26 Sub-Region 5: Channel France and UK

27 Sub-Region 5: Channel Effectiveness in reducing damage impact

28 Sub-Region 5: Channel Cost-efficiency: Ranking of scenarios regarding reducing damage

29 Sub-Region 5: Channel Summary Sub-region 5 (first 3 ranks are colored) 3) VTS 4) TSS 5) AIS alarms 6) E-navigation 7) ETV in Ireland 8) Visibility 9) Dispersants 10) +50%, 1 ves. DK Effectivity26 *) 51NA473 Cost-efficiency4NA15 263 *) Spill-over effect from neighbouring sub-regions

30 Concept for analytical scenario comparison Environmental values at stake: Sub-region 1: 2.500 (tonnes oil weighted) Sub-region 2: 2.500 (tonnes oil weighted) Sub-region 3: 18.000 (tonnes oil weighted) Sub-region 4: 80.000 (tonnes oil weighted) Sub-region 5: 6.000 (tonnes oil weighted)

31 Concept for analytical scenario comparison Concept for analytical scenario comparison Costs are given as order of magnitudes and include investment cost, lifetime, maintenance and running costs

32 Questions? Thank you beaware.bonnagreement.org


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