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Federal Election Poll Results Oct. 10, 2015. Éric Grenier's Poll Tracker (338 seats) Source: tracker/2015/index.html#pollshttp://www.cbc.ca/news2/interactives/poll-

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Presentation on theme: "Federal Election Poll Results Oct. 10, 2015. Éric Grenier's Poll Tracker (338 seats) Source: tracker/2015/index.html#pollshttp://www.cbc.ca/news2/interactives/poll-"— Presentation transcript:

1 Federal Election Poll Results Oct. 10, 2015

2 Éric Grenier's Poll Tracker (338 seats) Source: http://www.cbc.ca/news2/interactives/poll- tracker/2015/index.html#pollshttp://www.cbc.ca/news2/interactives/poll- tracker/2015/index.html#polls

3 Angus Reid Poll, Oct. 9/2015 ARI online poll of 1,083 eligible Canadian voters shows the Conservatives holding steady at 33 per cent of decided voters, just two points ahead of the Liberals (31%), and well ahead of the NDP, now standing at 25 per cent From http://angusreid.org/election-2015-race-narrows-to- conservative-liberal-contest/

4 Nanos Poll Oct. 7-9, 2015 Nightly tracking completed by Nanos has the Liberals at 34.8% followed by the Conservatives at 28.6%, the NDP at 24.9%, and the Greens at 5.4% nationally A national random telephone (land + cell) survey using live agents of 1,200 Canadians is conducted by Nanos Research throughout the campaign over a three day period (based on a three-day rolling sample comprised of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,200 respondents is ±2.8%, 19 times out of 20) Source: 20151009_Ballot_TrackingE.pdf

5 Frequency Polygon from Nanos

6 Forum Poll (the Star) Oct. 7 In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 1447 Canadian voters two weeks before the October 19 Federal election, more than one third will vote for the Liberals (35%), while about 3-in-10 will vote Conservative (31%). About one quarter will vote NDP (26%), and few will vote either Green (3%) or Bloc Quebecois (4%). Source: http://poll.forumresearch.com/post/2407/ndp-in- 3rd-nationwide-1st-in-quebec/http://poll.forumresearch.com/post/2407/ndp-in- 3rd-nationwide-1st-in-quebec/

7 EKOS Research Poll Poll conducted Oct. 6-8, n=1618, MOE =/-2.4%, 19 times out of 20 (see results, next 2 slides) However, “it is worth noting how Conservative support is heavily skewed towards seniors. Indeed, nearly one in two senior citizens now plans to vote for the Conservative Party. If voting were limited to those under the age of 65, the Conservative Party would stand virtually no chance of forming government” Source: http://www.ekospolitics.com/index.php/2015/10/liberals- and-conservative-in-dead-heat/

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