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HAWAII KAI TSUNAMI HAZARD 2 Zone Evacuation Zone October 2015.

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Presentation on theme: "HAWAII KAI TSUNAMI HAZARD 2 Zone Evacuation Zone October 2015."— Presentation transcript:

1 HAWAII KAI TSUNAMI HAZARD 2 Zone Evacuation Zone October 2015

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8 SWAN Model for Hawaii Kai Click above for Movie SWAN Model for Hawaii Kai Click above for MovieSWAN Model for Hawaii KaiSWAN Model for Hawaii Kai On CD-ROM in Numerical Modeling of Water Waves – CRC Press (2004) On CD-ROM in Numerical Modeling of Water Waves – CRC Press (2004) A train of 3 meter high, 1500 second tsunami waves. 30 DeChezy Friction. A train of 3 meter high, 1500 second tsunami waves. 30 DeChezy Friction. Modeled 15 years ago. Modeled 15 years ago. Topography of bay from Sea Engineering depth measurements for Ferry Feasibility Study. Topography of bay from Sea Engineering depth measurements for Ferry Feasibility Study. Floods up to 5 meters inside front of bay and a min of 2 meters in back of bay by third wave. Floods up to 5 meters inside front of bay and a min of 2 meters in back of bay by third wave.

9 Hambantota, Sri Lanka Dr. Hermann Fritz surveyed after December 26, 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami Dr. Hermann Fritz surveyed after December 26, 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami Noted that it was similar to Hawaii Kai with reef outside with a channel under a road along the sea shore into a large shallow lake. Noted that it was similar to Hawaii Kai with reef outside with a channel under a road along the sea shore into a large shallow lake.

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12 Hambantota Tsunami Wave arrived a little over 2 hours after earthquake. The first wave was about 1 meter high and the second wave was up to 10 meters high about 10 minutes later. Wave arrived a little over 2 hours after earthquake. The first wave was about 1 meter high and the second wave was up to 10 meters high about 10 minutes later. Houses over 1 kilometer inland were demolished. Houses over 1 kilometer inland were demolished.

13 Tsunami Effects Little of the town was left standing with no water, electricity or communications. Little of the town was left standing with no water, electricity or communications. One thousand houses along the Hambantota-Tissa road, town-council residences, shops and other buildings destroyed. Many homes located near the Hambantona harbor were completely washed away. One thousand houses along the Hambantota-Tissa road, town-council residences, shops and other buildings destroyed. Many homes located near the Hambantona harbor were completely washed away.

14 Loss of Life When the tsunami hit, hundreds of local people were visiting Sunday markets. When the tsunami hit, hundreds of local people were visiting Sunday markets. Two to three thousand people were promenading along Hambantota harbor when the tsunami wave struck. Two to three thousand people were promenading along Hambantota harbor when the tsunami wave struck. The overwhelming majority of these died. The overwhelming majority of these died. Over 4500 died in low-lying coastal strip Over 4500 died in low-lying coastal strip

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29 HAMBANTOTA, SRI LANKA December 26, 2006 Tsunami DEATH ZONE WAS AREA BELOW 10 METERS and LESS THAN 1 KILOMETER FROM SHORE. DEATH ZONE WAS AREA BELOW 10 METERS and LESS THAN 1 KILOMETER FROM SHORE.

30 Multiple Tsunami Waves Often populated areas along coasts are located in low-lying and flat regions that together with natural and man made obstacles make retreat of the flood caused by first tsunami wave to be slow. Subsequent waves ride over a region already flooded resulting in higher and faster waves. Often populated areas along coasts are located in low-lying and flat regions that together with natural and man made obstacles make retreat of the flood caused by first tsunami wave to be slow. Subsequent waves ride over a region already flooded resulting in higher and faster waves.

31 Sri Lanka Multiple Tsunami Waves The multiple wave phenomenon was observed throughout the Sri Lanka coast. The multiple wave phenomenon was observed throughout the Sri Lanka coast. http://www.asce.org/page/?id=53 http://www.asce.org/page/?id=53 “It wasn’t one wave, it came in great surges, each one deeper than the last and pushing the water that had come in before it in front of it. “It wasn’t one wave, it came in great surges, each one deeper than the last and pushing the water that had come in before it in front of it.

32 Sri Lanka Multiple Tsunami Waves Most witnesses described 3 main waves. Most witnesses described 3 main waves. The first knocked them off their feet, the second picked them up and carried them, often up to 50 km/hr, and the third bore them up to 15 meters high or sucked them under. The first knocked them off their feet, the second picked them up and carried them, often up to 50 km/hr, and the third bore them up to 15 meters high or sucked them under.

33 Fritz Indian Ocean Tsunami Survey Conclusions Evacuate all areas below 15 meters above sea level and within 0.25 mile of shoreline or along rivers. Evacuate all areas below 15 meters above sea level and within 0.25 mile of shoreline or along rivers. Evacuate all areas below 10 meters above sea level and within 1.0 mile of shoreline or along rivers. Evacuate all areas below 10 meters above sea level and within 1.0 mile of shoreline or along rivers. Evacuate all areas below 5 meters above sea level and within 3 miles of shoreline. Evacuate all areas below 5 meters above sea level and within 3 miles of shoreline.

34 "The Hawaii Kai evacuation zone should include all areas "The Hawaii Kai evacuation zone should include all areas below 5 meters above sea level" below 5 meters above sea level" Consider the 1946 historical observations as recorded in Consider the 1946 historical observations as recorded in United States Tsunamis - 1690-1988 (page 66) United States Tsunamis - 1690-1988 (page 66) Waipio Valley - 12 meter run-up amplitude Waipio Valley - 12 meter run-up amplitude Swept 1 mile into valley, pulled away homes and people Swept 1 mile into valley, pulled away homes and people and left only foundations and left only foundations Waikolu Valley, Molokai - 16.4 meter run-up amplitude Waikolu Valley, Molokai - 16.4 meter run-up amplitude Destroyed farms and buildings up entire valley. Destroyed farms and buildings up entire valley. Makapuu Point, Oahu - 11.1 meter run-up amplitude Makapuu Point, Oahu - 11.1 meter run-up amplitude Destroyed the nearby Ranch buildings with 3 waves (Helsley Destroyed the nearby Ranch buildings with 3 waves (Helsley from wave deposits) leaving only foundations. from wave deposits) leaving only foundations. Three wide valleys destroyed by the 1946 tsunami are Three wide valleys destroyed by the 1946 tsunami are historical evidence that Hawaii Kai is at risk. historical evidence that Hawaii Kai is at risk.

35 HAWAII KAI MINIMUM Evacuation zone should include all area below 5 meters above sea level. MINIMUM Evacuation zone should include all area below 5 meters above sea level. 3 Meter Tsunami Flooding Graphic 3 Meter Tsunami Flooding Graphic SWAN calculation Performed in 1990 SWAN calculation Performed in 1990

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37 Sandy Beach and Queens Gate 3 meter, 1500 sec Tsunami 3 meter, 1500 sec Tsunami 10 meter, 1500 sec Tsunami 10 meter, 1500 sec Tsunami From Numerical Modeling of Water Waves CD-ROM, CRC Press (2004). From Numerical Modeling of Water Waves CD-ROM, CRC Press (2004). All of Queens Gate up to Hawaii Kai Drive should be in evacuation zone. All of Queens Gate up to Hawaii Kai Drive should be in evacuation zone.

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40 NEW TWO Zone Tsunami Evacuation Zones-2015 Hawaii Department of Emergency Management http://www.honolulu.gov/cms-dem-menu/site- dem-sitearticles/2017-etz-maps-final.html

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42 Extreme Tsunami Evacuation Zones Map segments 1 through 12:Map segments 13 through 21:Map 1: WaikikiMap 13: (Inset 1) WaialuaMap 2: (Inset 1) Diamond HeadMap 13: (Inset 2) HaleiwaMap 2: (Inset 2) KahalaMap 14: (Inset 1) DillinghamMap 3: (Inset 1) WailupeMap 14: (Inset 2) MokuleiaMap 3: (Inset 2) Hawaii KaiMap 14: (Inset 3) KaenaMap 4: (Inset 1) Hanauma BayMap 15: (Inset 1) MakahaMap 5: (Inset 1) MakapuuMap 15: (Inset 2) KeaauMap 15: (Inset 3) MakuaMap 6: (Inset 1) BellowsMap 16: (Inset 1) MailiMap 6: (Inset 2) KailuaMap 16: (Inset 2) NanakuliMap 7: (Inset 1) MokapuMap 17: (Inset 1) Ko OlinaMap 17: (Inset 2) KalaeloaMap 8: (Inset 1) KualoaMap 18: (Inset 1) Ewa BeachMap 8: (Inset 2) KaaawaMap 18: (Inset 2) Pearl Harbor mouthMap 9: (Insert 1) Kahana BayMap 19: (Inset 1) Keehi LagoonMap 9: (Inset 2) HauulaMap 19: (Inset 2) DowntownMap 10: (Inset 1) LaieMap 20: (Inset 1) Pearl Harbor westMap 10: (Inset 2) MalaekahanaMap 20: (Inset 2) Pearl Harbor eastMap 11: (Inset 1) Turtle BayMap 21: (Inset 1) HeeiaMap 11: (Inset 2) KahukuMap 21: (Inset 2) KahaluuMap 12: (Inset 1) WaimeaMap 21: (Inset 3) WaiaholeMap 12: (Inset 2) SunsetMap Index WaikikiWaialuaDiamond HeadHaleiwaKahalaDillinghamWailupeMokuleiaHawaii KaiKaenaHanauma BayMakahaMakapuuKeaauMakuaBellowsMailiKailuaNanakuliMokapuKo OlinaKalaeloaKualoaEwa BeachKaaawaPearl Harbor mouthKahana BayKeehi LagoonHauulaDowntownLaiePearl Harbor westMalaekahanaPearl Harbor eastTurtle BayHeeiaKahukuKahaluuWaimeaWaiaholeSunsetMap Index


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