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Unless otherwise noted, the content of this course material is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 License.

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Presentation on theme: "Unless otherwise noted, the content of this course material is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 License."— Presentation transcript:

1 Unless otherwise noted, the content of this course material is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 License. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/ Copyright © 2009, Jack Wheeler. You assume all responsibility for use and potential liability associated with any use of the material. Material contains copyrighted content, used in accordance with U.S. law. Copyright holders of content included in this material should contact open.michigan@umich.edu with any questions, corrections, or clarifications regarding the use of content. The Regents of the University of Michigan do not license the use of third party content posted to this site unless such a license is specifically granted in connection with particular content. Users of content are responsible for their compliance with applicable law. Mention of specific products in this material solely represents the opinion of the speaker and does not represent an endorsement by the University of Michigan. For more information about how to cite these materials visit http://michigan.educommons.net/about/terms-of-use. http://michigan.educommons.net/about/terms-of-use Any medical information in this material is intended to inform and educate and is not a tool for self-diagnosis or a replacement for medical evaluation, advice, diagnosis or treatment by a healthcare professional. You should speak to your physician or make an appointment to be seen if you have questions or concerns about this information or your medical condition. Viewer discretion is advised: Material may contain medical images that may be disturbing to some viewers.

2 Company Cost of Capital and CAPM Expected return on firm’s businesses Cost of funds invested in firm’s assets (businesses) Depends on average risk of firm’s businesses (Beta) Discount rate for firm’s average risk projects Required Return Firm Beta 0.96 Company Cost of Capital.107.04 0 SML r = r f + β ( r m - r f )

3 Company Cost of Capital is based on the average beta of its businesses (or assets) The average beta of the assets is based on the % of funds in each asset Example 1/3 Risky ventures β=1.4 1/3 Moderate risk businesses β=0.96 1/3 Low risk assets β=0.58 Average β of assets = 0.96 Company Cost of Capital and Business Risk

4 Company Cost of Capital and WACC IMPORTANT E and D are market (not book) values r E = r f + β equity ( r m - r f ) r D = r f + β debt ( r m - r f )

5 Company Cost of Capital and WACC Expected return β debt β assets β equity r debt =.061 r assets =.107 r equity =.138

6 Company Cost of Capital and WACC r D – typically given by debt markets (interest rate) r E – determined by stock market Regression analysis of stock market data to determine β and thereby to measure the cost of equity r equity = r f + β equity ( r m - r f )

7 Measuring Beta and the Cost of Equity Exxon Mobil Slope determined from plotting the line of best fit. Market return (%) Exxon Mobil return (%) R 2 =.18 β = 0.51 Price data: Dec 97 - Apr 04

8 Measuring Beta and the Cost of Equity Dell Computer Slope determined from plotting the line of best fit. Price data: May 91- Nov 97 Market return (%) Dell return (%) R 2 =.10 β = 1.87

9 Measuring Beta and the Cost of Equity Dell Computer Slope determined from plotting the line of best fit. Price data: Dec 97 - Apr 04 Market return (%) Dell return (%) R 2 =.27 β = 1.61

10 Measuring Beta and the Cost of Equity General Motors Slope determined from plotting the line of best fit. Market return (%) GM return (%) R 2 =.07 β = 0.72 Price data: May 91- Nov 97

11 Measuring Beta and the Cost of Equity General Motors Slope determined from plotting the line of best fit. Market return (%) GM return (%) R 2 =.29 β = 1.21 Price data: Dec 97 - Apr 04

12 Measuring Beta and the Cost of Equity GM’s cost of equity (hypothetical example) β E =1.21 r f =.033 (r m - r f )=.08 r E =.033+1.21(.08) =.13 r E = r f + β E ( r m - r f )

13 Company Cost of Capital GM’s cost of capital (hypothetical example) r E =.13 r D =.08 E = 60 D = 40 r =.08*(40/100) +.13*(60/100) =.11

14 Company Cost of Capital GM evaluates investing in a new green car division Assumptions: 1.Project Green costs $300 mil to start 2.PG is expected to produce CF = $100 mil for each of five years 3.PG has the same risk as GM’s overall business (β E =1.21) What is the NPV of the project? $69,701,295

15 Project Cost of Capital Depends on project risk Starting point is company cost of capital –Correct if project has same level of risk as firm Methods of adjustment for risk differences Determining risk-adjusted discount rate (radr)

16 Project Cost of Capital adjusting Beta 1.GM’s Project Green is determined to be 50% riskier than current business lines –Adjust both r D and r E –r =.1483 –NPV = $36,553,225 2.GM’s Project Green is determined to be 30% less risky than current business lines –r =.0868 –NPV = $92,199,918


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