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Yujiang Chen (Walter) Zeyu Chi Yin-Jen Kao Ming Li Yuqing Zhang

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Presentation on theme: "Yujiang Chen (Walter) Zeyu Chi Yin-Jen Kao Ming Li Yuqing Zhang"— Presentation transcript:

1 Yujiang Chen (Walter) Zeyu Chi Yin-Jen Kao Ming Li Yuqing Zhang
Presented

2 Agenda Current Holdings Review Company and Its Business
Macroeconomics Overview Industry Overview Financial Analysis Comparable Analysis Projection and Valuation Recommendation

3 Current Holdings Purchased: 200 shares @ $36 on Nov 11,1999
Cost basis: $7,200 (We experienced two different 2 for 1 splits, resulting in the ownership of 800 shares at an adjusted cost basis of $9/share) Sold: 400 $22.53 on January, 2007 Realized Gain on Sale: $5,412 ( %) Sold: 200 $56.75 on November, 2013 Realized Gain on Sale: $9,550 Current market value: $78.50*200 (11/9) Vs. our $9/share cost basis = Gain: $13,900 ( %) If consider the inflation, the gain% is %. 912.85

4 Company Introduction Established since 1979, headquartered in Monett, Missouri Listed on NASDAQ on October 29, 1985 Industry: Business Software & Services Provides technology solutions and payment processing services for financial services organizations Serves nearly 10,900 financial institutions through three brands: Source: Annual Report (Pg.7-8)

5 Jack Henry Banking® Business Segments
Provides electronic payment business and accounting ledger services to commercial banks Clients include nearly 1,200 banks More than 6,500 commercial banks and savings institutions in this asset range Jack Henry Banking® Source: 10-K (Pg.5)

6 Symitar® Business Segments
Provides electronic payment business and accounting ledger services to Credit Unions Serves credit unions of all sizes, with almost 800 credit union customers Over 6,500 domestic credit unions in industry Symitar® Source: 10-K (Pg.5)

7 ProfitStars® Business Segments
Provides specialized products and services to FI customers Serves financial services organizations of all asset sizes and charters, with approximately 10,500 domestic and international customers ProfitStars® Information Security & Risk Management Business Intelligence & Financial Performance Training & Consulting Source: 10-K (Pg.5)

8 Business Overview Revenue: Support and service revenue (95%)
Hardware revenue (5%) License revenue (<1%) Key Strategies Provide banks and CU with core software systems Expand each core customer relationship Capitalize on diversification acquisitions Key Risks Involved Information Security Operational Risk Restatement of financial statement Source: 10-K (Pg. 6-7, 12-16, 21)

9 Estimate of Support and Service Revenue
Year Ended June 30 Change 2015 2014 Support and service $1,200,652.00 $1,112,331.00 8% Percentage of total revenue 96% 95% Estimate support and service revenue breakdown using changes Year over Year $ Change % Change 2014E 2015E In-House Support & Other Services $ 3,603 1% 327,913 331,516 Electronic Payment Services 38,321 9% 425,789 464,110 Outsourcing Services 35,490 15% 236,600 272,090 Implementation Services 8,704 13% 66,954 75,658 Bundled Products & Services 2,203 4% 55,075 57,278 Total Increase 88,321 1,112,331 1,200,652 We use $change divided by % change provided in 10-K to get 2014 revenue breakdowns and estimate 2015 revenue.

10 Company or Product Name Acquisition Payment (in Thousands)
Acquisition Strategy Complement internal growth, diversification, and expand product offerings 29 acquisitions since the end of fiscal 1999 Increasingly difficult to find proven products/services to optimize the clients’ operational issues. Fiscal Year Company or Product Name Products and Services Acquisition Payment (in Thousands) 2015 Portfolio management systems and factoring software 10,000 2014 Mobile banking, web development and data-enriched marketing technology 27,910 2010 Internet and telephone bill payment services 301,143 Payment processing solutions for credit unions 61,841 Integrated technology and payment processing solutions 67,617 Source: 10-K (Pg. 7)

11 SWOT Analysis Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities Threats
Integrated product lines Strong business relationship Weaknesses Internal control over financial reporting Relative Small size to rivals Opportunities Acquisition strategy Outsourcing Threats Banks internalized the IT systems Uncertainty in Banking industry SWOT Analysis

12 Banking and credit union industry is expected to grow.
Macroeconomic Overview Banking and credit union industry is expected to grow. Assets (loans) of credit union Assets of all commercial banks Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

13 Macroeconomic Overview
Total number of credit unions and commercial banks keeps decreasing. The number of credit unions has decreased by 30% since 2006, and the number of commercial banks has decreased by 26% since 2006. Number of credit union Number of all commercial banks Source: Credit Union National Association Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

14 JKHY Mainly serve commercial banking and credit union industry
Industry at a Glance JKHY Mainly serve commercial banking and credit union industry Commercial banking revenue Credit union revenue Source: www. IBIS World.com

15 Porter’s Five Forces Entry of new competitors: Threat of substitutes:
Medium No formal prohibitions Difficult for new companies to gain customers Economies of scale Threat of substitutes: Low Long term contracts High switching cost Rivalry determinants: High Highly competitive and consolidation market Various larger competitors with more resources and advanced technology. Determinants of buyer power: Low Reluctant to change More banks show preference for outsourced delivery Determinants of Supplier Power: Low Hardware and software markets is fairly competitive

16 Major Competitors Overview
1.Fidelity National Information Service, Inc. Provides banking and payments technology, consulting, and outsourcing service worldwide Electronic funds transfer services Core processing software applications to run banking processes Payment service such as outsourced card-issuer services and customer support 2. Total System Services, Inc. Provides electronic payment processing services to banks and other financial institutions in the United States, Europe, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. Account processing Processing services, related systems, and integrated support services

17 Major Competitors Overview (cont.)
3. Global Payments Inc. Provides payment for credit cards, debit cards, electronic payments, and check-related services, operates in both North America and International market. Authorization processing Settlement and funding processing Customer support Payment card industry security 4. DST Systems Inc. Technology-based information processing and servicing in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and internationally. Customers information processing service Maintaining investor identification and ownership records

18 Stock Market Prospects and Comparison
JKHY generate superior return over its competitors over the past ten years. Source: Yahoo Finance 11/9/ /9/2015

19 Technical Analysis Source: Yahoo Finance

20 Ratio Analysis Source: 10-K

21 Comparable Analysis Source: capital IQ, Yahoo Finance

22 Income Statement Projection
License accounts for less than 1% of total revenue. Based on 10K, license revenue fluctuates year over year, so we assign a growth rate of zero to smooth out. Also, because of the accounting error, we added back unrealized revenue from restatement of annual report for the next five years. Growth rate based on the asset growth rate of commercial banking and credit union industry Based on 10K, management team forecasts a strong growth trend in outsourcing service.

23 WACC & FCF Valuation WACC Calculation CAPM based Cost of Equity 7.76%
Return to shareholders over the past 5 years 25.17% Cost of Equity 11.24% Cost of Debt 3.18% Current Stock Price 78.77 Shares Outstanding (thousands) 79,929.13 Debt (thousands) 52,700.00 Equity (thousands) 6,296,017.41 Equity Weight 99.17% Debt Weight 0.83% Tax Rate 35.00% WACC 11.16% Business Risk Premium 0.50% Discount Rate 11.66% Perpetual Growth Rate 3.00% CAPM Calculation Beta 0.74 Risk-Free 2.20% Market Premium 7.50% Cost of Equity 7.76%

24 WACC & FCF Valuation

25 Hold Recommendation Current Stock Price:$78.50
The price calculated from DCF valuation and Comparable valuation is 7.75% less than current stock price, which is within the 10% fluctuation range DCF Valuation:$72.52 Comparable Analysis:$72.85 Current Stock Price:$78.50 Hold More efficient cost management Utilizing conservative cash flow forecast


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