1. Trutz Haase & Jonathan Pratschke THE LONGITUDINAL HP DEPRIVATION INDEX (ED) An Inter-temporal Analysis spanning 1991 - 2011 Dublin, 2014

2. THE LONGITUDINAL HP DEPRIVATION INDEX, 1991-2011 This presentation contains an inter-temporal comparison of the Longitudinal HP Deprivation Index and the key socio-economic variables on which the index is based. The data spans five census waves, 1991 - 2011. Important Note: The analysis spanning 5 census waves is based on ED-level deprivation scores. These are different to the scores derived from the SA-level analysis and should note be confused with the ED-level scores derived from the SA-level analysis as shown in Pobal Maps!

3. 9196020611 HP DEPRIVATION INDICES 1996-2014 9196020611 9196020611 9196020611 9196020611 91960206 91960206 91960206 91960206 91960206 869196 869196 869196 869196 869196 91 SA ED NUTS 4 NUTS 3 NUTS 2 NUTS 1 Haase et al., 1996 Haase, 1999 Pratschke & Haase, 2004 Haase & Pratschke, 2005 Haase & Pratschke, 2008 Haase & Pratschke, 2010 Haase & Pratschke, 2012 919602 919602 919602 919602 919602 Pratschke & Haase, 2001 01 NI Haase & Pratschke, 2011 Level at which model is estimated Level to which data is aggregated Haase, Pratschke & Gleeson, 2014 0611 0611 0611 0611 0611 0611 11 RI 11 NI 11 RI 11 NI 11 RI 11 NI 11 RI 11 NI 11 RI 11 NI 11 RI 11 NI Pratschke & Haase, 2014 All-Island HP Deprivation Index Pobal HP Deprivation Index Longitudinal HP Deprivation Index

4. The Longitudinal HP Deprivation Index, 1991- 2011 Analysis of Key Socio-economic Variables NUTS 1 – 4 (County and Region)

5. POPULATION CHANGE 1991 - 2011 30 per cent increase between 1991 and 2011 Initial growth faster in S&E Region Since 2006, faster growth in BMW Region

6. AGE DEPENDENCY RATE 1991 - 2011 7 percentage point decline between 1991 and 2006 Rural areas gradually “catching-up” Reversal in trend between 2006 and 2011, with Age Dependency Rate again increasing

7. LONE PARENT RATE 1991 - 2011 Doubling in rate between 1991 and 2006 Highly concentrated in urban areas Further increase in rural areas between 2006 and 2011 Reversal in trend after 2006 in all cities except Cork

8. PROPORTION OF ADULT POPULATION WITH PRIMARY EDUCATION ONLY 1991 - 2011 Two-fold decline between 1991 and 2006 Rural areas gradually “catching-up” Trend continues between 2006 and 2011

9. PROPORTION OF ADULT POPULATION WITH THIRD LEVEL EDUCATION 1991 - 2011 2 ½ - fold increase between 1991 and 2006 Rural areas just marginally “catching-up” Only marginal increase in select areas between 2006 and 2011 Other areas experiencing first marginal decline

10. PROPORTION OF POPULATION IN HIGHER AND LOWER PROFESSIONAL CLASSES 1991 - 2011 30 % increase between 1991 and 2006 Rural areas only marginally “catching-up” Trend continues between 2006 and 2011 But catastrophic performance of Limerick

11. PROPORTION OF POPULATION IN UNSKILLED AND SEMI-SKILLED CLASSES 1991 - 2011 10 percentage point decline between 1991 and 2006 Rural areas “catching-up” Trend continues between 2006 and 2011, albeit at a slower rate

12. MALE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 1991 - 2011 Rapid decline between 1991 and 2002, halving rates Rural areas not fully participating in trend Urban areas already stagnant at 2006 and massive reversal between 2006 and 2011 for all areas 2011 rates exceed 1991 rates in all counties except Dublin City

13. FEMALE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 1991 - 2011 Steady decline between 1991 and 2002, nearly halving rates Decline in urban areas exceeds that in rural areas Urban areas already showing slight reversal in trend in 2006 and massive increase between 2006 and 2011 2011 rates exceed 1991 rates in most counties

14. LOCAL AUTHORITY HOUSING 1991 - 2011 Drastic decline between 1991 and 2002, particularly in Southern & Eastern Region Reversal in trend thereafter, with slow increases pertaining Imbalance between rural and urban provision gradually diminishing

15. PRIVATELY RENTED HOUSING 1991 - 2011 Strongly concentrated in the cities Steady increase between 1991 and 2006 Both in urban and rural counties Steep increase between 2006 and 2011

16. OWNER OCCUPIED HOUSING 1991 - 2011 Rates in rural areas much higher than in urban environs Steady decline between 1991 and 2006 Accelerated decline between 2006 and 2011, in both urban and rural locations

17. AVERAGE NUMBER OF PERSONS PER ROOM 1991 - 2011 Massive improvement over time Rural ratios overtaking urban ratios since 2002

18. The Longitudinal HP Deprivation Index, 1991- 2011 Analysis of Key Socio-economic Variables NUTS 5 - Electoral Divisions (ED)

19. 5 YEAR POPULATION CHANGE 1991 - 2011

20. 5 YEAR POPULATION CHANGE 1991 – 2011 (TRUNCATED AT +30 %)

21. AGE DEPENDENCY RATE 1991 - 2011

22. LONE PARENT RATE 1991 - 2011

23. PROPORTION OF ADULT POPULATION WITH PRIMARY EDUCATION ONLY 1991 - 2011

24. PROPORTION OF ADULT POPULATION WITH THIRD LEVEL EDUCATION 1991 - 2011

25. PROPORTION OF POPULATION IN HIGHER AND LOWER PROFESSIONAL CLASSES 1991 - 2011

26. PROPORTION OF POPULATION IN UNSKILLED AND SEMI-SKILLED CLASSES 1991 - 2011

27. MALE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 1991 - 2011

28. FEMALE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 1991 - 2011

29. LOCAL AUTHORITY HOUSING 1991 – 2011 (NOT USED IN INDEX)

30. PERSONS PER ROOM 1991 - 2011

31. The Longitudinal HP Deprivation Index, 1991- 2011 Mapping Absolute and Relative Deprivation Scores

32. ED-LEVEL ABSOLUTE INDEX SCORES 1991

33. ED-LEVEL ABSOLUTE INDEX SCORES 1996

34. ED-LEVEL ABSOLUTE INDEX SCORES 2002

35. ED-LEVEL ABSOLUTE INDEX SCORES 2006

36. ED-LEVEL ABSOLUTE INDEX SCORES 2011

37. ED-LEVEL RELATIVE INDEX SCORES 1991

38. ED-LEVEL RELATIVE INDEX SCORES 1996

39. ED-LEVEL RELATIVE INDEX SCORES 2002

40. ED-LEVEL RELATIVE INDEX SCORES 2006

41. ED-LEVEL RELATIVE INDEX SCORES 2011

42. HP DEPRIVATION SCORES IN COMPARISON, 1991-2011 HP Deprivation IndexNMinimumMaximumMeanStd. Deviation HP 1991 ED absolute3,409-28.073.30.010.0 HP 1996 ED absolute3,409-27.445.74.39.2 HP 2002 ED absolute3,409-30.642.18.49.9 HP 2006 ED absolute3,409-35.039.99.29.3 HP 2011 ED absolute3,409-43.741.6-1.410.1 HP 1991 ED relative3,409-28.073.30.010.0 HP 1996 ED relative3,409-34.445.10.010.0 HP 2002 ED relative3,409-39.434.00.010.0 HP 2006 ED relative3,409-47.432.90.010.0 HP 2011 ED relative3,409-41.942.70.010.0