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Robert T. Dunphy, ULI Smart Transportation Workshop PennDOT, Harrisburg June 27, 2007 Smart transportation and Smart Development
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Significant investment in transit is eroding 1990-2000 Census for Pennsylvania
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Major transit cities losing ground Source: Federal Highway Administration
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Annual Transit Ridership ~ Millions
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Traffic growth without population growth
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Sprawl far Outweighs Population Growth
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Sprawl & congestion, no growth
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Deteriorating Infrastructure, Growing Congestion 8,500 miles of road in poor condition 8,500 miles of road in poor condition 5,000 deficient bridges 5,000 deficient bridges $500 million funding gap for transit $500 million funding gap for transit
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Pennsylvania is not alone
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How are we doing – ASCE America’s Infrastructure D Drinking Water: D Roads: D National Power Grid: D Transit: D+ Aviation: D+ Freight : C- ASCE Infrastructure Report Card
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“We’re suffering death by a thousand cuts, and no one is willing to face up to it. If a crisis isn’t created, then there is no need for an immediate response.” “An approaching train wreck.”
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Highway Trust Fund Going Bankrupt $ Billions Source: Congressional Budget Office Projected year-end balance
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Approaching Infrastructure Crisis Suburban transport / land use model no longer works Suburban transport / land use model no longer works Lack of connections and integration Lack of connections and integration Car dependency, shrinking transit Car dependency, shrinking transit Increasing congestion Increasing congestion Higher driving costs Higher driving costs
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Good News
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Driving is low FHWA, Highway Statistics 2004
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Transit Share is High
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Source: Eugenie L. Birch“Who Lives Downtown?”, Brookings, 1990-2000 US Census
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Housing and Transport Spending Affordable
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Infill Redevelop Suburban Centers Growing Smarter on the Fringe The Growth Component
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Green Infrastructure
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Cultural Ecological Developmental Agricultural Recreational [GreenSpaceDesign.org] Equal footing Equal footing Must have Must have Preserves places, protects development Preserves places, protects development
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Centers of Concentrated Mixed Use
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Multiple Connections Enhance Circulation Keep Local trips on local streets
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Expand Transportation Choices
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Transport Choices Must be Built in, Not Added on Later Transit ready Transit ready Build it, they will walk Build it, they will walk
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Make it Easy to Do the Right Thing Sprawl results from the Implementation of Public Policy
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Where Will The Money Come From? Privatization Increasing User Fees Increasing Taxes Likely 37% Indifferent 19% Unlikely 45% Likely 73% Indifferent 3% Unlikely 24% Likely 62% Indifferent 3% Unlikely 35% Sources: ULI survey of directors of planning for state departments of transportation
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“You can’t have everybody do their own thing” Break down silos Break down silos Focus on sustainability Focus on sustainability Comprehensive, multi-disciplinary plans Comprehensive, multi-disciplinary plans Integrated regional schemes Integrated regional schemes
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No Political Will The Holy Trinity No new taxes No new taxes No new tolls No new tolls No higher toll fees No higher toll fees
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Don’t let congestion rule Expand choices Someone has to pay Pick good projects The Transport Component
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Private v. Public Spending Consumer v Government Spending in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh
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Private v. Public Spending Consumer v Government Spending in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh
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Long Range Budgets ~ Billions
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Follow the money 13 c/ gallon < a penny a mile 13 c/ gallon < a penny a mile Gas tax losing steam Gas tax losing steam Tolls Tolls Congestion charges - VMT Congestion charges - VMT
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Leveraging State Investment PennDOT - $1.2billion capital spending annually. Another $.96 billion is need. Pennsylvania has $2.8billion of programs and grants to bolster business growth and sustain communities. Smart Growth and Infrastructure Improvements will bolster business and sustain communities.
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Toward Sustainability - Community Fix it first Fix it first Choice, controlled congestion Choice, controlled congestion Focus growth to reduce new transport Focus growth to reduce new transport Sustainable funding Sustainable funding The right projects reinforce smart development The right projects reinforce smart development Get the price right Get the price right
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Greenhouse Gas Emissions – the new wild card California’s Attorney General - State Law AB 32 Limit sprawl Limit sprawl Promote compact development Promote compact development Encourage less driving, more transit Encourage less driving, more transit Address water supply issues Address water supply issues
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Infrastructure 2007 A Global Perspective
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Thanks! Robert T. Dunphy www.uli.org 800-321-5011 www.uli.org
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