1. U.S. Agency for International Development Office of Military Affairs District Stability Framework (DSF) and the Military Decision Making Process (MDMP)

2. Problems Outsider Assumptions vs. Local Knowledge Activities driven by LOOs, past experience, available resources Output vs. Impact Premises Stability First, then Development Needs, Wants, Problems ≠ Sources of Instability Problems and Premises

3. How Do These Relate? MDMPDSF

4. MDMP-DSF: Overview I. Receive the MissionI. Situational Awareness II. Mission AnalysisII. Analysis III. Develop COAsIII. Design Stabilization Activities A. Identify activities B. Determine output indicators C. Choose monitoring methods IV. Analyze COAs (D. Analyze activity options) V. Compare COAs (E. Compare activity options) VI. COA Approval (F. Select stabilization activities) VII. Orders Production (VIII. Preparation) (IX. Execution)IV. Implement stabilization activities V. Monitoring & Evaluation 4 MDMP DSF

5. Receive Mission – Gain Situational Awareness I.Receive the Mission A.Alert the staff B.Gather the tools C.Update staff estimates D.Conduct initial assessments I.Situational Awareness A.Operational Environment (PMESII) B.Cultural Environment C.Local Perceptions D.In/Stability Dynamics 5 MDMP DSF

6. Mission Analysis – Analyze data II.Mission analysis A.Initial IPB B.Specified, implied, essential tasks C.ID available assets D.Constraints, facts, assumptions E.ID initial CCIR F.Initial ISR plan G.CDR’s intent – Endstate, Key tasks, Purpose H.CDR’s planning guidance – Decisive, Shaping, Sustaining operations II.Analyze data A.Basic Analysis B.Advanced Analysis 1.ID grievances 2.ID perceived causes 3.ID systemic causes 4.ID objectives 5.Prioritize objectives 6.Determine impact indicators 7.Choose monitoring methods 6 MDMP DSF

7. II.Mission analysis A.Initial IPB B.Specified, implied, essential tasks C.ID available assets D.Constraints, facts, assumptions E.ID initial CCIR F.Initial ISR plan G.CDR’s intent – Endstate, Key tasks, Purpose H.CDR’s planning guidance – Decisive, Shaping, Sustaining operations II.Analyze data A.Basic Analysis B.Advanced Analysis 1.ID grievances 2.ID perceived causes 3.ID systemic causes 4.ID objectives 5.Prioritize objectives 6.Determine impact indicators 7.Choose monitoring methods 7 MDMP DSF Mission Analysis – Analyze data

8. Develop COAs – Design activities III.Develop COAs A.Generate options 1.Feasible 2.Acceptable 3.Suitable 4.Distinguishable 5.Complete B.Array forces C.Develop CONOPs III.Design activities A.Identify activities Same criteria as MDMP Assign forces and resources B.Determine output indicators C.Choose monitoring methods 8 MDMPDSF

9. Analyze COAs / Stabilization activities IV.Analyze COAs A.Gather the tools B.List friendly forces C.List known critical events and decision points D.Determine evaluation criteria E.Select war game method F.Conduct wargaming (III.D. Analyze activity options) 1.Establish evaluation criteria, e.g. a)Local ownership? b)Leverage efforts of other actors? c)Sustainable? d)Build HN legitimacy? e)Enemy reaction? 2.Conduct/record analysis 9 MDMP DSF

10. Compare COAs / Stabilization activities V.Compare COAs A.Analyze COA advantages & disadvantages B.Compare COAs C.Determine recommendation VI.COA approval (III.E. Compare activity options) (III.F. Select stabilization activities) 10 MDMP DSF

11. Execute and Evaluate (VIII. Execution)IV.Implement stabilization activities V.Evaluate impact A.MOPs B.MOEs C.Big Picture 11 MDMPDSF

12. Questions/Discussion? 12