1. “Suos Cultores Scientia Coronat” - Syracuse University motto PAF 101 Module 5, Lecture 2

2. Class Agenda Announcements More on the Prince System

3. An important note… DON’T MISS CLASS FRIDAY

4. SHOW YOUR THANKS BY GIVING BACK! Volunteers Needed for Cuse Spot’s Fall Harvest Festival When: Wednesday, November 18, 2015 Time: 5:00 pm – 6:30 pm Where: Wilson Park Community Center Sign up: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1t9rGUTbPjL8xkqq -jvINJumHH77Y65YPR0Pbsu8lIdo/edit#gid=0 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1t9rGUTbPjL8xkqq -jvINJumHH77Y65YPR0Pbsu8lIdo/edit#gid=0 Questions/Comments: Contact Arianna Clark at atclar02@syr.edu atclar02@syr.edu

5. Community Service Reminder The due date for community service hours is Monday 12/7 in class. Use the online form on 101 website.

6. Local Government Survey This survey is meant to test your knowledge about the local government in Onondaga County https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/L RNL376 https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/L RNL376

7. Social Impact Bonds – Strathmore Speaker Series Who: Tim Rudd Where: Fire barn in Onondaga park in Syracuse When: 11/19 at 7 PM http://strathmorespeakers.com/

8. Competition Points GroupPoints D6 A5 G2 H1 B0 C0 E0 F0 I0 Winners Losers As of 11/13/15

9. Prince Analysis Steps 1. Identify Necessary Actions 2. Identify Key Players 3. Estimate Position (-5 to +5) 4. Estimate Power (1 to 5) 5. Estimate Priority (1 to 5) 6. Calculate Probabilities 7. Formulate Prince Strategies Ex. 9.1 Ex. 9.2 Ex. 9.3 Ex. 9.4 Chapter 10

10. Step 1: Describing the Policy to be Implemented Be sure it is a policy and not a goal Is it a federal, state or local policy? Determine if it is a legislative, administrative or financial policy Cannot be a judicial decision

11. Step 2: Identify Players Government Units in the United States: 3,000 Counties 19,000 municipalities +43,000 special districts 65,000 total government units

12. How To Select Players Ask players, experts, and stakeholders. Legislatures: They affect how a bill becomes a law at your geographic area Aggregation problems with legislative bodies If not legislative, must be administrative Interest groups can be important especially for new policies Watch out for dogs

13. New York State Divided into three branches: Executive, Legislative, Judicial Governor Cuomo is the head of the Executive Branch. State Agencies, like the Department of Education and Board of Regents are under the Executive Branch

14. Onondaga County County government is responsible for implementing and funding legislation enacted by the state and federal government Different departments help to administrate the different duties of the county Examples: Medicaid, Van Duyn Home and Hospital

15. Legislative Branch New York has a bi-cameral or two house legislature. Which state is not bi-cameral? Assembly is a 150 member body Senate is a 62 member body

16. Executive Branch Governor Cuomo appoints the heads of the different state agencies State agencies help put legislation into effect

17. Helpful Websites http://www.assembly.state.ny.us/ http://www.senate.state.ny.us/senat ehomepage.nsf/home?openform http://www.senate.state.ny.us/senat ehomepage.nsf/home?openform http://www.ny.gov/ http://www.ongov.net/ http://www.ongov.net/legislature/

18. Step 3:Estimating Issue Position Empirical - quotes Deductive Principles Special Interest Players (4 or 5) Politicians, Legislative Bodies, Government Officials and Some Big Interest Groups are not firm (0-2) Budget cost predispose toward opposition

19. Step 4: Estimating Power Specific to Issues Players with Veto Power: 4 or 5 Legislatures President, Governors, Mayors, etc. Non-veto-players: 3, 2, or 1 Sources of Power Official Position Money Numbers (voters) Expertise

20. Step 5: Estimating Priority Single issue player: high on relevant issue Multiple issue player: low to moderate on most issues Changes quickly in either direction Frequency of statements are key

21. Step 6: Calculating 1. Calculation 1: Issue position X Power X Priority=Prince Score When Issue Position is 0, Power X Priority=(Prince Score) Prince Scores in parenthesis are neutral scores 2. Calculation 2: Sum of all positive scores plus ½ of neutral scores 3. Calculation 3: Sum of all possible scores ignoring signs and parenthesis 4. Calculation 2/Calculation 3=Probability of Support

22. Don’t Be Hopelessly Naïve No matter how much you love your policy proposal, your forecast from the Prince System should be under 50% WHY?

23. Monday’s Speaker Renee Captor Graduated from SU in 1980 – Policy Studies Major Graduated from SU Law School in 1982 Defense Attorney from 1983-2001 Executive Director OCBA Assigned Counsel Program, Inc. 2001-Present Teaches PAF 431: Criminal Justice