1. What! Planes Carry More Than Passengers and Their Luggage? What! Planes Carry More Than Passengers and Their Luggage? Jock O’Connell Caltrans Planning Horizons March 14, 2006

2. The Topic of Today’s Sermon:  Avarice  Gluttony  Pride  Anger  Lust  Envy  Sloth

3. The Conventional Wisdom: Foreign Trade Happens Down By the Waterfront

8. U.S. Foreign Trade (2004) Modal Share by Weight Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics

9. Ergo…Goods movement planning should focus predominantly on major maritime gateways: Port of Los Angeles Port of Long Beach Port of Oakland

10. Forget anything?

13. U.S. Foreign Trade (2004) Modal Share by Dollar Value Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics

14. U.S. Export Trade (2004) Modal Share by Dollar Value Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics

15. What Flies? High value-to-weight ratio High value-to-weight ratio –Electronics components Perishables Perishables –Fresh cherries, medicines, documents Early Market Moves Early Market Moves –Seasonal fruits and vegetables Emergency Shipments Emergency Shipments –Relief supplies, supply-chain snafus

16. California’s Export Trade (2005) Modal Share by Dollar Value S ource: U.S. Census Bureau Foreign Trade Division

17. San Francisco Customs District Merchandise Exports by Value

18. California’s Billion Dollar Airborne Export Markets: 2005 1. Japan 1. Japan 2. Korea 2. Korea 3. Hong Kong 3. Hong Kong 4. Taiwan 4. Taiwan 5. U.K. 5. U.K. 6. China 6. China 7. Germany 7. Germany 8. Canada 8. Canada 9. Singapore 9. Singapore 10. Netherlands 10. Netherlands 11. Mexico 11. Mexico 12. France 12. France 13. Malaysia 13. Malaysia 14. Australia 14. Australia 15. Israel 15. Israel 16. Thailand 16. Thailand 17. Belgium 17. Belgium 18. Brazil 18. Brazil 19. Italy 19. Italy

19. Top U.S. Cargo Airports 2004 Source: Air Cargo World 1. Memphis 1. Memphis 2. Anchorage 2. Anchorage 3. LAX 3. LAX 4. Miami 4. Miami 5. Louisville 5. Louisville 6. JFK 6. JFK 7. O’Hare 7. O’Hare 8. Indianapolis 8. Indianapolis 9. Newark 9. Newark 10. Atlanta 10. Atlanta 11. Dallas-Fort Worth 11. Dallas-Fort Worth 12. Oakland 12. Oakland 13. Philadelphia 13. Philadelphia 14. SFO 14. SFO 15. Ontario 15. Ontario

20. California Merchandise Exports: Value by Mode of Transport

21. Domestic Air Cargo Shipments By Billions of Dollars Source: 2002 Commodity Flow Survey

24. Leading Ports of Departure for CA Exports: 2005 (Billions of Dollars)

25. 2004 Air Cargo Tonnages Source: Caltrans, Division of Aeronautics

27. CA Exports by CA Airports: 2005 By Value

28. US Exports by CA Airports: 2005 By Value

29. Factors in The Future Economic Evolution in CA Economic Evolution in CA –Less Manufacturing Terrorism; Anti-Terrorism Terrorism; Anti-Terrorism Rising Fuel Prices Rising Fuel Prices Changing Business Plans Changing Business Plans “Open Skies” Pacts “Open Skies” Pacts New Technology New Technology

32. The Challenge: Defining a New Role for the State

33. Copyright © 2006 by Jock O’Connell Copyright © 2006 by Jock O’Connell Jock O’Connell www.jockoconnell.co m