1. Tennessee Higher Education Commission TN Higher Education Planning & Making Opportunity Affordable August 10, 2009

2. Educational Attainment and Rank Among States Tennessee, 2006 (Percent) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS NCHEMS Data 28 th 38 th 48 th 42 nd 40 th

3. Student Pipeline, 2006 Sources: (1) Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity; Chance for College by Age 19. (2) NCES, IPEDS 2006 Retention Rate File and 2006 Graduation Rate File. (3) U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 American Community Survey. Of 100 9th Graders, How Many…

4. Tennessee Higher Education Commission Higher Education Revenues

5. Tennessee Higher Education Commission Federal ARRA Overview American Recovery & Reinvestment Act

6. The Goal: Tennessee Reaching International Competitiveness by 2025 55% of Population Age 25-64 with College Degrees

7. Educational Attainment in Tennessee Current, in 2025 with current degree production, and best- performing countries in 2025 Source: NCHEMS

8. How Can Tennessee Reach International Competitiveness? Current Degree Production Combined with Population Growth and Migration and Improved Performance on the Student Pipeline Measures Degrees Produced 2005-25 with Current Rate of Production Additional Degrees from Population Growth Additional Degrees from Net Migration of College-Educated Residents Reaching Best Performance in High School Graduation Rates by 2025 Reaching Best Performance in College-Going Rates by 2025 Reaching Best Performance in Rates of Degree Production per FTE Student Total Degrees Produced 2005-25 If All of the Above Degrees Needed to Meet Best Performance (55%) Source: NCHEMS; 2005 ACS, PUMS Pipeline is cumulative

9. Tennessee Higher Education Commission Degree Production Challenge

10. Tennessee Higher Education Commission Degree Production Challenge

12. Tennessee Higher Education Commission Tennessee Policy Audit - NCHEMS A review of policies and practices affecting higher education access, success, and productivity. Data analysis Campus visits Interviews with leaders from business, legislators and Governor’s staff.

13. Tennessee Higher Education Commission Policy Audit Findings P-16/College Readiness – College Placement – TBR DSP redesign Adult Education Finance Policy – Funding Formula – Performance Funding Financial Aid & Tuition Policy

14. Tennessee Higher Education Commission Policy Audit Utility What’s already in place that TN can build on? How do we leverage resources most efficiently? Identified gaps between policies as written and as implemented. Highlight unintended consequences of certain policies.

15. Tennessee Higher Education Commission Next Steps 2010-2015 master plan Input from Legislative leaders, systems, institutions and business Align Performance Funding and finance policy with master plan www.tennessee.gov/moa

16. Tennessee Higher Education Commission TN Higher Education Planning & Making Opportunity Affordable August 10, 2009

17. Tennessee Higher Education Commission Annual Percent Change in State Appropriations

18. Tennessee Higher Education Commission State Appropriations & ARRA

20. Additional Degrees Needed to Reach International Competitiveness (55%) by 2025 North Dakota Massachusetts Colorado New York District of Columbia Utah Rhode Island Iowa Nebraska

21. Even Best Performance with Traditional College-Age Students at Each Stage of the Educational Pipeline Will Leave Gaps in More than 30 States 1,333,645 893,504 In order to reach international competitiveness by 2025, the U.S. and 32 states cannot close the gap with even best performance with traditional college students. They must rely on the re-entry pipeline—getting older adults back into the education system and on track to attaining college degrees.

22. Reaching Top Performance by 2025 (55%) Tennessee 3,062,326Number of Individuals to Match Best-Performing Countries (55%) 933,034Number of Individuals (Age 25-44) Who Already Have Degrees 2,129,292Additional Production Needed (2005 to 2025) 1,127,850Degrees Produced at Current Annual Rate of Production