1. The workforce of the future: How new models of care can shape changes to the workforce Health Workforce Australia Conference November 2013 Brian Woods NMHSPF Project Director nmhspf@doh.health.nsw.gov.au

4. Model - Top to Bottom Population & Epidemiology Demand Staff Predictions & Costs Service Mapping Clinical Care Rate Care Packages Resource Predictions Output Predictions

5. Model - Left to Right Population & Epidemiology Prevention Clinical/Non Clinical Care Concept of Universal Promotion & Prevention Concept of a mild illness Concept of a moderate illness Concept of a severe illness Concept of Indicated Prevention

6. An iterative approach

7. Key messages ✤ Nationally consistent - an ‘Australian Average’ estimate of need, demand and resources ✤ Flexible and Portable - to suit jurisdictional priorities and other variations in a user friendly format ✤ Not all, but many - will not account for every circumstance or service possibly required ✤ Not who, but what - will capture the types of care required, but will not define who is to deliver ✤ Evidence & Expertise - identify what services ‘should be’ provided underpinned by evidence

8. Taxonomy structure Service Group Service Stream Service Category Service Element Service Activity Service Quantification

9. Mental Health Services Population Based, Universal Services Services tailored to individual needs MH PromotionMH Prevention Primary and Specialised Clinical Ambulatory MH Care Services Specialised MH Community Support Services Specialised Bed-Based MH Care Services Non Mental Health Services

10. Population & Epidemiology AllMildModerateSevere Population Based, Universal Services Specialised MH Community Support Services Specialised Clinical MH Care Services Primary MH Care Services x1 x2 x3 (∑) Resource Predictions Service GroupService Stream Service CategoryService ElementService Activity SCP1SCP2MoCP1MoCP2MiCP1MiCP2CP1IPCP1 IP

11. 0 to 4 5 to 11 12 to 17 18 to 64 65+ 65+ BPSD

12. What does the model look like…

13. nmhspf@doh.health.nsw.gov.au