1. DOI Climate Science Centers Kim Winton, Ph.D. Director USGS, South Central Climate Science Center, Department of the Interior Presentation for: GCPO June 4, 2013

2. Today’s Talk Creation of the DOI CSCs The SC CSC Consortium Stakeholder Advisory Council (SAC) and Science Implementation Panel (SIP) 2012 Funded Projects 2013 funded projects 2014 RFP and Timeline Working Together

3. Creation of the DOI CSCs

4. Who is served by the CSCs? Key partners include resource managers at the tribal, federal, regional, state, and local level. Key partners include resource managers at the tribal, federal, regional, state, and local level. Landscape Conservation Cooperatives: Landscape Conservation Cooperatives: Also created as part of Secretarial Order 3289 Also created as part of Secretarial Order 3289 An institutional means for connecting the CSCs and management partners An institutional means for connecting the CSCs and management partners

5. DOI Climate Science Centers…. A New Paradigm Linking Physical, Biological, and Social Science Linking Physical, Biological, and Social Science Scenario/Forecasts of Future Possibilities Scenario/Forecasts of Future Possibilities Link Research, Modeling, Synthesis, and Monitoring in a Landscape/System Perspective Link Research, Modeling, Synthesis, and Monitoring in a Landscape/System Perspective Science Collaboration/Resource Management Collaboration (LCC partners) Science Collaboration/Resource Management Collaboration (LCC partners) Stakeholders set priorities/Provide Review & Feedback (LCC s critical in this step) Stakeholders set priorities/Provide Review & Feedback (LCC s critical in this step) Share Data and Information (w/ LCCs) Share Data and Information (w/ LCCs)

6. DOI CSC Structure & Function USGS Science Center USGS Science Center Host University - Consortium Host University - Consortium Stakeholder Advisory Council (SAC) (LCC Coordinators) Stakeholder Advisory Council (SAC) (LCC Coordinators) Science Implementation Panel (SIP) (LCC Science Coordinators) Science Implementation Panel (SIP) (LCC Science Coordinators) Science Agenda and Science Plan Science Agenda and Science Plan Government to Government Consultation Government to Government Consultation

7. DOI Climate Science Centers 8 DOI Climate Science Centers Nationwide Fuzzy Boundaries Multiple LCCs per CSC Science-based

8. 6 LCCs associated with the SC CSC Desert Eastern Tallgrass Prairie and Big Rivers Great Plains Gulf Coast Prairie Gulf Coastal Plains and Ozarks Southern Rockies

9.  Invitation for formal consultation from Regional Director (Dr. Randy Updike).  In addition other mechanisms of input and participation/communication  SAC – 2 to 3 elected tribal leaders;  SIP representation (Environmental Director)  LCC s - participating in tribal workshop project Tribal Consultation

10.  SAC development  Federal Regional leaders (i.e. FWS, NPS, BOR)  State Representation – 2-3 state agency heads, various agency types (water, wildlife, engineering, agriculture)  LCC Coordinators (SAC)  Tribes – One for NM, one for OK, KS, TX, (note : not on SAC are the Chickasaw and Choctaw.)  SIP – LCC Science Coordinators and Tribal Env. Directors, University experts, federal experts? SAC & SIP

11. 2012 Funded Projects Secretary of the Interior Ken Salazar funding of more than $10 million awarded by Interior's 8 regional Climate Science Centers to universities or other partners for research to guide managers of parks, refuges and other resources in planning how to help species and ecosystems adapt to climate change.

12. 2012 CSC Funded The 69 studies at eight climate science centers focus on how climate change will affect natural resources. For example, various projects identify how sea-level rise will affect coastal resources, how climate will affect vegetation, how these changes will affect valued species, how changes in water availability will affect both people and ecosystems—and ecosystem services such as fisheries. Several studies address the potential effects on resources of concern to Native Americans, some by using traditional ecological knowledge to advance adaptation planning.

13. 2012 SC CSC Funded Terrestrial Connectivity across the South Central United States: Implications for the Sustainability of Wildlife Populations and Communities Principal Investigator: Kristen Baum, Oklahoma State University (OSU) Delineation of Fresh, Intermediate, Brackish, and Saline Marsh Types of the North Central Gulf of Mexico Coast Principal Investigator: Steve Hartley, U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), Occurrence and Variation in Submersed Aquatic Vegetation (SAV) along the Northern Gulf of Mexico: a Hierarchical Approach to Assess Impacts of Environmental Change on SAV Resources Principal Investigators: Megan La Peyre, U.S. Geological Survey (USGS),

14. 2012 SC CSC Funded Expert Workshop to Build CSC Expertise in Understanding the Social and Communication Dimensions of Climate Change Principal Investigator: Dennis Patterson, Texas Tech University (TTU) Evaluating the Assumption of Stationarity in Statistical Downscaling Applications Principal Investigators: Katharine Hayhoe, Texas Tech University, and Keith Dixon and John Lanzante, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory

15. 2012 SC CSC Funded Synthesizing Ecohydrology Models as a Management Tool for Landscape Conservation under Climate Change Principal Investigator: Shannon Brewer, Oklahoma Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit http://www.doi.gov/csc/upload/FY12_CSC_Funded_Projects_for_ Release_10-1-12FINAL.pdf

16.  Title: Modeling the effects of environmental change on crucial wildlife habitat.  Dr. Colleen Caldwell/Ken Boykin, - USGS NM Coop Unit, & Keith Dixon, NOAA-Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Lab  Address how future shifts in climate and land use are likely to affect the distribution of important species and habitat. Develop web-based viewer for NM and interface with Western Governors’ Association “Crucial Habitat Assessment Tools (CHAT) 2013 SC CSC Funded (pending federal budget )

17.  Ecosystem Stress Response Function of Climate Change for the Arkansas-Red River Basin  Trevor Grout, USGS, Oklahoma Water Science Center & Vieux at OU & Brewer OSU & Brown ODWC.  Use radar data to model rainfall/runoff and evaluate effects on water quality and fish habitat. 2013 SC CSC Funded (pending federal budget )

18.  Assessment of water availability and associated drivers for historic and future conditions in the South Central Region  Lauren Hay, USGS National Research Program & Bock CO Water Science Center (WSC ) & Ft. Collins & SD WSC & GA WSC  Produce automated method and data products that evaluate climate drivers, monthly water balance, consumptive water use. 2013 SC CSC Funded (pending federal budget ) Past Flow/Runoff

19.  Impacts of Climate Change on Flows in the Red River Basin  Wayne Kellogg, Chickasaw Nation, & McPherson, OU & Austin, Intera, Inc.  Information to evaluate possible flow regimes and runoff in Red River basin. 2013 SC CSC Funded (pending federal budget )

20.  Expanding a standardized framework for the evaluation and intercomparison of statistically downscaled climate projections.  John Lanzante, NOAA Geophysical fluid Dynamics Lab & Stoner TTU, & Balaji, Princeton & Gaitan, OU  Evaluate if downscaling relationships (historical) are applicable to future climate projections. 2013 SC CSC Funded (pending federal budget )

21.  Establishing a foundation for evaluating ecological implications of climate change along a gradient in macroclimate drivers of coastal wetland ecosystems  Mike Osland, USGS Wetlands Research Center & LSU post-doc  Identify regional climate-ecological thresholds for coastal wetland ecosystems in TX, LA, MS, AL. 2013 SC CSC Funded (pending federal budget )

22.  Predicting Sky Island forest vulnerability to climate change: fine scale climate variability, drought tolerance and fire response.  Dylan Schwilk TX Tech  Predict how tree species distribution shifts occur under future warmer/drier climates 2013 SC CSC Funded (pending federal budget )

23.  Potential to direct fund:  Application of Structured Decision Making for Delivery of Instream Flow Ecology for Water Governance Decisions.  Elise Irwin, USGS AL Coop Unit & Pawlitz SE SC, & Davis SIFN, & Robinson SARP  Funding: SE CSC, SC CSC, GCPO and GCP LCCs? 2013 SC CSC Funded (pending federal budget )

24.  Direct fund:  Xue: OU, Very high- resolution downscaling pilot  Student Workshop (per LCCs) 2013 SC CSC Funded (pending federal budget )

25. 2014 RFP Details 2014 RFP Details Science Priorities for SC CSC 1. Regional physical climate variability and trends. Emphasis – drought, weather extremes, water management 2. Ecosystems and landscapes. Emphasis - fire science & drought Reed Saxon/AP

26. 2014 RFP Details 2014 RFP Details Science Priorities for SC CSC : 3. Human dimensions as they relate to climate change and precipitation variability. Emphasis - how private land owners will make land management decisions in the face of climate change - Tribal adaptation strategies -Understanding Organizational Systems and Governance in Conservation Decision Making as it Relates to Climate Change, and Precipitation Variability

27. ConsortiumPlanningWorkshop (Ft. Worth, Nov 2012)

28. 2014 RFP Details Time Line Deadline Statements of Interest………….…………..June 25 Full Proposals Invited……………….……………….…July 23 Invited Full Proposals Due.............................................Aug 21 Final Candidate Projects Identified ……….……..…..Oct 15

29. 2014 RFP Details Science Priorities for SC CSC : 1. Regional physical climate variability and trends. 2. Ecosystems and landscapes. 3. Human dimensions as they relate to climate change and precipitation variability.

30. Thank you. Kim Winton, Ph.D. kwinton@usgs.gov