1. Essential Midterms Results Maps Published November 5, 2014 Updated December 8, 2014 National Journal Presentation Credits Producer: Katharine Conlon, Tucker Doherty, and David Stauffer Director: Jessica Guzik

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3. Source: National Journal Research; CNN Election Center; Associated Press; NBC News. Republicans Dominate Competitive Races to Win Senate Analysis Republicans won most of 2014’s competitive Senate races, taking seats in Colorado, Arkansas, Georgia, Iowa, and—unexpectedly— North Carolina Republicans also won special elections this year in Oklahoma and South Carolina Republican Bill Cassidy won in Louisiana’s runoff election on December 6, 2014, but Republicans had already secured enough seats to control the Senate regardless of that race’s outcome OH WV VA PA NY ME NC SC GA TN KY IN MI WI MN IL LA TX OK ID NV OR WA CA AZ NM CO WY MT ND SD IA UT FL AR MO MS AL NE KS VT NH MA RI CT NJ DE MD AK HI Senate Seats Gained/Held in the 2014 Midterm Elections AK Democratic Gain Democratic Hold Republican Gain Republican Hold Independent Gain No Election Democrats: 44 Republicans: 54 Independents: 2

4. GOP Sweeps Competitive Races Recommendations and detected threats OH WV VA PA NY ME NC SC GA TN KY IN MI WI MN IL LA TX OK ID NV OR WA CA AZ NM CO WY MT ND SD IA UT FL AR MO MS AL NE KS VT NH MA RI CT NJ DE MD AK HI NC: Thom Tillis (R) won a slim upset victory over Kay Hagan (D) AR: Tom Cotton (R) easily defeated Sen. Mark Pryor, helping to complete Arkansas’ transformation into a Republican stronghold AK: Dan Sullivan (R) beat Sen. Mark Begich (D) in a close race that took an addition week to count the votes LA: Bill Cassidy (R) beat Sen. Landrieu (D) in a runoff election announced on December 6, 2014 KY: Sen. McConnell (R) handily defeated Alison Grimes (D) on his way to becoming majority leader GA: David Perdue (R) avoided a runoff, blowing out former non- profit CEO Michelle Nunn Source: National Journal Research 2014; Associated Press Election Results, 2014; Scott Bland, Andrea Drusch, and Alex Roarty, “Hotline’s Senate Race Rankings: Republicans On The Brink,” National Journal’s Hotline, October 13, 2014. MI: Gary Peters (D) maintained Democratic control of retiring Sen. Carl Levin’s seat against Michigan Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land (R) Republican Victories Democratic Victories SD: Mike Rounds (R), despite seeing outside money pour in against him at the last minute after reports of a scandal during his time as governor, won an easy victory over Rick Weiland (D) and former Sen. Larry Pressler (I) CO: Cory Gardner (R) defeated Sen. Mark Udall easily after Udall ran a poor one- note campaign on reproductive health that voters didn’t engage with NH: Sen. Shaheen (D) held off a national tide against Democrats, holding on to defeat former Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown (R) KS: Sen. Roberts (R), after facing bad polling numbers earlier this summer, brought in a team of top-tier Republican strategists and won re-election by a wide margin over Greg Orman (I) IA: Joni Ernst (R) handily won election over gaffe-prone Rep. Bruce Braley (D) in the race for Sen. Tom Harkin (D)’s seat VA: Mark Warner (D) defeated Ed Gillespie (R) in an unexpectedly close race that almost went to a recount

5. Republicans Sweep Romney States, Win Iowa and Colorado HI AK 2012 Presidential Election Results vs. 2014 Senate Results Republican win Democratic win 2014 Senate Result Obama 2012 Victory Romney 2012 Victory 2012 Presidential Election Result Source: National Journal Research with Josh Kraushaar. OH WV VA PA NY ME NC SC TN KY IN WI MN IL LA TX OK ID NV OR WA CA AZ NM CO WY MT ND SD IA UT FL AR MO MS AL NE KS VT NH MA RI CT NJ DE MD DC GA MI Republicans picked up (CO, IA) or held (ME) 3 states in Democratic territory Democrats struggled to hold on to most seats, and did not pick up or hold any seats in Republican territory

6. Source: National Journal Research; CNN Election Center; Associated Press; NBC News. Republicans Win Solid Majority in Senate Analysis Having won most of this year’s competitive races, Republicans secured 54 Senate seats, flipping the Senate from blue to red A GOP win in Louisiana was announced on December 6, 2014 Since Republicans expanded their majority to 54 seats, they will have an easier time passing legislation in the Senate because they will need fewer Democratic defections to overcome filibusters (which require a 60 vote supermajority) OH WV VA PA NY ME NC SC GA TN KY IN MI WI MN IL LA TX OK ID NV OR WA CA AZ NM CO WY MT ND SD IA UT FL AR MO MS AL NE KS VT NH MA RI CT NJ DE MD AK HI Control of the 114 th Senate (2015-2017) AK 2 Democrats 2 Republicans 1 Democrat + 1 Republican 1 Democrat + 1 Independent 1 Republican + 1 Independent Democrats: 44 Republicans: 54 Independents: 2

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8. Source: National Journal Research; CNN Election Center; The New York Times. Republicans Make Significant Gains in House Analysis Republicans were expected to keep control of the House, but strong performances in tossup districts and a handful of wins in states that were expected to lean Democratic mean that the new GOP majority is even larger than expected House Seats Gained/Held in the 2014 Midterm Elections AK Democratic Gain Democratic Hold Republican Gain Republican Hold Democrats: 188 Republicans: 247 Independents: 0 Undecided: 0

9. Source: National Journal Research; CNN Election Center; The New York Times. Republicans Win Record Majority in House Analysis Republicans won a total of 247 seats in the House, their largest majority since 1928 An expanded GOP majority in the House means that Speaker Boehner will have an easier time passing legislation in the House without Democratic support, and Republicans will also have an easier time holding on to their majority in future elections Control of the 114 th House (2015-2017) AK Democratic Republican Democrats: 188 Republicans: 247 Independents: 0 Undecided: 0

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11. Source: National Journal Research; CNN Election Center; Associated Press; NBC News. Republicans Extend Gubernatorial Advantage Analysis While Republicans already controlled most governors’ mansions prior to 2014 elections, gains in Arkansas, Illinois, Maryland, and Massachusetts added to the GOP’s sizeable majority of governorships Legislative activity at the state level has taken on increased importance in recent years due to gridlock at the federal level; as such, increased GOP control of governorships nationwide could give Republicans additional leverage to achieve policy goals at the state level OH WV VA PA NY ME NC SC GA TN KY IN MI WI MN IL LA TX OK ID NV OR WA CA AZ NM CO WY MT ND SD IA UT FL AR MO MS AL NE KS VT NH MA RI CT NJ DE MD AK HI Map of State Governors by Party AK Democrats: 17 Republicans: 31 Independents: 1 Undecided: 1 Dem Governor GOP Governor Independent Undecided* *Race not called as of 1 PM 11/17