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National Weather Service Arkansas-Red Basin River Forecast Center Drought Briefing 10/24/2014 Jeff McMurphy Senior Hydrologist – ABRFC James Paul Service.

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Presentation on theme: "National Weather Service Arkansas-Red Basin River Forecast Center Drought Briefing 10/24/2014 Jeff McMurphy Senior Hydrologist – ABRFC James Paul Service."— Presentation transcript:

1 National Weather Service Arkansas-Red Basin River Forecast Center Drought Briefing 10/24/2014 Jeff McMurphy Senior Hydrologist – ABRFC James Paul Service Coordination Hydrologist

2 Arkansas Red Basin River Forecast Center 90-Day Observed Precipitation

3 Arkansas Red Basin River Forecast Center 90-Day Percent of Normal Precipitation

4 Arkansas Red Basin River Forecast Center 180-Day Observed Precipitation

5 Arkansas Red Basin River Forecast Center 180-Day Percent of Normal Precipitation

6 Arkansas Red Basin River Forecast Center Year to Date Observed Precipitation As of 10/23/14

7 Arkansas Red Basin River Forecast Center Year to Date Percent of Normal Precipitation

8 Arkansas Red Basin River Forecast Center Year to Date Departure from Normal Precipitation (-8” to -12”)

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12 Slightly Warm Sea Surface Temps

13 The CFS.v2 ensemble mean (black dashed line) predicts a weak El Niño starting during November and lasting through mid 2015.

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17 Climate Prediction Center Three Month Precipitation/Temperature Outlooks

18 El Nino Events of the Past

19 ABRFC website: www.weather.gov/abrfc

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22 National Weather Service Arkansas-Red Basin River Forecast Center Drought Briefing 10/24/2014 Jeff McMurphy Senior Hydrologist – ABRFC James Paul Service Coordination Hydrologist


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