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Some thoughts on the European Venture scene Saul Klein saul@indexventures.com Web2Expo – Berlin October 22, 2008
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The weather looks pretty terrible right now
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No wonder Jason was getting depressed
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The Valley is seriously downbeat
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Though Dave McClure did shout out a “get over it”
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Fact is start ups are really tough
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You have no customers
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No money
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You and your team are fighting an imaginary war
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Armed just with some big ideas
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But hey, we’ve fallen from greater heights
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FoundedIPO VC Some of the greats started in depressions
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Founded IPO VC >> ? Many major winners started during and after the last bubble
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Now the Internet is nearly 6x the size of 2001 Hosts
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How we spend our time online has shifted radically
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Big 3Social 14 Minutes159 bn141 bn Mins/Visitor513 Page Views216 bn296 bn Pages/Visitor125583 This shift will have big, long term repercussions
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We’re living in a new technical world order
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Firefox has 42% market share!!!
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We now have substantial shared “public” resources
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New platforms are changing infrastructure and distribution costs
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Free resources exist to support and educate start-ups 8 hubs 80+ cities
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Boulder Leeds Utrecht Helsinki Hamburg Paris Belgrade
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We will almost certainly face severe and sustained recessions - 61% YTD - 63% YTD - 49% YTD - 40% YTD - 62% YTD - 56% YTD
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But where the Internet is used has changed dramatically – its not just the US anymore
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There is still a lot of capital to invest in Europe
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Capital will look to back people who understand the new reality
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Angels will retreat
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Focus. Don’t panic.
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Bootstrap Like Crazy. Focus. Don’t panic.
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Bootstrap Like Crazy. Focus. Don’t panic. Make products people want.
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Get Paying Customers. Bootstrap Like Crazy. Focus. Don’t panic. Make products people want.
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Get Paying Customers. Cut costs. Get to break even Bootstrap Like Crazy. Focus. Don’t panic. Make products people want.
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Raise enough capital. Stay Strong. Get Paying Customers. Cut costs. Get to break even Bootstrap Like Crazy. Focus. Don’t panic. Make products people want.
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Whatever works for you use it. Good luck
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Appendix Some interesting data….
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Latest figures show European investment is going up
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Europe already had three $ bn investment hubs
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Why break-even and capital are important
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