1. every student. every classroom. every day. Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland Opportunity Mapping Update Susan Lindell Radke OUSD GIS Analyst/Contract Demographer January 28, 2011

2. 11 TASK FORCE GOAL To develop an expanded data framework, including non-traditional indicators and aligned data tools to support a full-service community school district and the needs of the whole child. Opportunity Mapping Update  Develop a map-based data tool to explore alignment of district-wide socio-economic indicators with school and student based data Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland

3. 22 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland Current scope of work:  Create map-based tool integrating various school & community databases into a geographic context within an ArcGIS software environment

4. 33 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland Current scope of work:  Task #1: Create district-wide base maps  US Census Bureau American Community Survey 5 Year Block Group estimates

5. 44 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland The American Community Survey (ACS) is an ongoing statistical survey by the U.S. Census Bureau, sent to approximately 250,000 addresses monthly (or 3 million per year) It regularly gathers information previously contained only in the long form of the decennial census. It is the largest survey other than the decennial census that the Census Bureau administers. American Community Survey. (2011, January 4). In Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia. Retrieved 16:28, January 28, 2011, from http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=American_Community_Survey&oldid=405965594

6. 55 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland ACS First Release Top Demographic Indicator Maps

7. 66 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland 2005-2009 Map 2000 Map 2005-2009 vs 2000 Data: Estimate & Margin of Error

8. 77 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland 2005-2009 Estimate Range: 29.8 to 30.4 (30.1-0.3) to (30.1+0.3) 2000 Estimate Range: 27.0 to 27.4 (27.2-0.2) to (27.2+0.2) Difference: 2.9 (30.1-27.2) Margin of Error (MOE). An MOE is the difference between an estimate and its upper or lower confidence bounds. Confidence bounds can be created by adding the MOE to the estimate (for the upper bound) and subtracting the MOE from the estimate (for the lower bound). All published ACS MOEs are based on a 90 percent confidence level. Standard Error. The standard error is a measure of the deviation of a sample estimate from the average of all possible samples. Statistical Significance. The determination of whether the difference between two estimates is not likely to be from random chance (sampling error) alone.

9. 88 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland But, what about the Margin of Error? How significant is it? How does US Census Bureau deal with it? What is research community saying about it?

10. 99 Elephant in the room!! Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland ACS Margin Of Error (MOE) aka…an obvious truth that is being ignored or goes unaddressed

11. 10 Functionality and Usability of Information from the American Community Survey Committee on National Statistics, October 6, 2006 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland

12. 11 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland Every block…really?

13. 12 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland Given the known error and limitations… We still thought it was necessary to explore what the ACS showed us about Oakland:  Foreign born  Educational attainment  Below poverty  Median Household Income  Public Assistance

14. 13 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland % Foreign Born MOE US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5 Year Estimates 2005-2009

15. 14 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland Highest Educational Attainment: % High School Diploma MOE US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5 Year Estimates 2005-2009

16. 15 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland % Below Poverty* *Family of 1 earning below $10,830. (FY 2009/2010 Federal Poverty Guidelines) MOE US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5 Year Estimates 2005-2009

17. 16 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland Median Household Income US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5 Year Estimates 2005-2009

18. 17 % Public Assistance Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5 Year Estimates 2005-2009

19. 18 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland Other sources of OUSD data:  Free & Reduced Price Meal Plan  California Healthy Kids  Physical Fitness Test  Oakland Housing Authority

20. 19 % Free and reduced price meal plan students at each school Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland Free and Reduced Price Meal Plan School-level data mapped to individual student address School-level data mapped to individual student address / interpolated district-wide

21. 20 Opportunity Mapping Update Healthy Kids Healthy Oakland Where do we go from here?  Search for other sources of socio-economic data to complement ACS data  Map student data at school level:  California Healthy Kids  Physical Fitness Test  Oakland Housing Authority