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Modeling Tough Scheduling Problems with Software Alex S. Brown Mitsui Sumitomo Marine Management (USA), Inc.

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Presentation on theme: "Modeling Tough Scheduling Problems with Software Alex S. Brown Mitsui Sumitomo Marine Management (USA), Inc."— Presentation transcript:

1 Modeling Tough Scheduling Problems with Software Alex S. Brown http://www.alexsbrown.com Mitsui Sumitomo Marine Management (USA), Inc.

2 Objectives Get Past Frustration (Intermediate) Learn New Tools and Techniques (Expert) Not For Beginners –Basic Skills Assumed –Assume Experience Using Scheduling Software Software-Brand Neutral - Not Taking Sides Interactive, Case-Study Format

3 Key Terms Network Diagram Gantt Chart Two Types of Projects Serial Dependencies Parallel Opportunities

4 Scenario Six Tasks Three Resources

5 Four Directions - Pick One! Resource Leveling Representing Hard & Soft Dependencies Quickly-Changing Work & Assignments Maintaining Schedules During Execution Go!

6 Resource Leveling - Key Data Gather Complete Data At the Start –Resource start dates and availability –Vacations –Accurate work and duration estimates –Accurate sequence relationships Good Data is Essential When Data Is Good Enough, Level To Discover The Real End Date

7 Principles of Leveling Find a Repeatable Method -- Level Regularly Changes in Any Estimate or Assumption May Require Re-Leveling Leveling is Iterative -- Methods Should Allow Small, Frequent Adjustments

8 Scheduling Tools for Leveling View Resource Use Over Time Adjust Key Task Info –Start Dates –Delays on Tasks –Allocation of Work Over Time by Task Resource Availability vs. Work Assigned

9 Breakout Discussion Level the Scenario for 40-Hour Weeks, 8- Hour Days for Each Resource Different Approaches on the Handouts Key Questions –What method do you normally use? –Which is easiest to set up? –Which is easiest to maintain? Five Minutes for Discussion

10 Possible Solutions Stretch All Work to Five Days Duration Make Work Sequential –Move Start Dates –Add Delays Break Down the Task List Differently to Simplify Leveling

11 Selecting A Technique What is Easiest in Your Software? How Hard is Maintenance? What Methods Allow for Automation for All or Part of the Work? What is the Impact on Reporting and Analysis Techniques? –Critical Path –Earned Value

12 Questions & Answers on Leveling Pick Next Topic

13 Hard & Soft Dependencies Hard Dependencies MUST Be Obeyed Soft Dependencies SHOULD Be Obeyed Real-Life Schedules Often Break or Change Soft Dependencies to Achieve Required End Dates Challenge Your Assumptions: –Is It Really IMPOSSIBLE for Task B to Start Until Task A Ends?

14 Issues with Dependencies Software Usually Recognizes Only Hard Dependencies Critical Path Analysis is 100% Dependent Upon an Accurate Network Diagram Documenting Dependencies is a Challenge Documenting Dependencies is Essential

15 Breakout Discussion Scenario Uses Soft Dependencies Soft Dependencies Driven By Resource Limitations Questions –Where do you document dependencies? –What is the critical path? –What do you WANT the critical path to be? –How does the schedule respond to change?

16 Documenting Dependencies Many Options –Two Network Diagrams - “Hard Only” and Current –Narrative Explanation of Dependencies –Separate Columns or Spreadsheets Track Hard and Soft Dependencies Pick a Method You Can Maintain Easily

17 Dependencies in Software Scheduling Software Usually Enforces Dependencies Strictly (All Hard) Options –Only Enter Hard Dependencies - Satisfy Soft Dependencies During Leveling –Enter Both Hard and Soft Dependencies for Each Task, Update As Needed –Enter Only the Constraining Dependency

18 Consequences of Approaches Calculation of Critical Path Clarity of Network Diagram –“Only Hard” is Clearest Diagram –“Hard & Soft” Creates Overlapping Lines –“Only Constraining” Looks Like a Serial Project’s Network Respond to Change Differently -- Task Estimates vs. Task Assignments

19 Questions & Answers on Dependencies Pick Next Topic

20 Quickly-Changing Schedules Real Schedules Change Every Reporting Period –Estimate Changes - Work & Duration –Assignment Changes –Resources Added, Removed, and Rescheduled –Resource Availability Changes Optimize Schedule, Make New Forecasts The Only Certainty is Change Itself

21 Planning for Changes in the Plan Predict Future Changes –What is likely to change? –What changed often in the past? –What project risks will cause change? Create a Small Schedule with Typical Tasks Try Making Typical Changes Experiment, Experiment, Experiment to Find Best Scheduling Techniques

22 Breakout Discussion Start with Initial Scenario Apply Changes –Resources No Longer Available –Resources Available More Hours Per Week –Estimate Changes Model the Schedule Differently and Repeat –Hard and Soft Dependencies –Different Leveling Techniques

23 Change is Fundamental Experiment with Change in a Small Schedule –Best way to evaluate and compare different techniques –Great way to explore, understand, and evaluate scheduling software Best Techniques Will Vary -- Find the Best for Your Schedules, for Your Software

24 Change Drives Automation Change is Difficult with Hand-Drawn Schedules and Budgets Software Facilitates Change by Updating Every View of a Schedule Simultaneously WARNING: If the Model is Poor, Software Can Be MORE Difficult to Update LESSON: Understand Basic Principles BEFORE Automating

25 Questions & Answers on Quickly-Changing Schedules Pick Next Topic

26 Maintenance During Execution Key Steps –Apply actual work –Update estimates for remaining work –Optimize the schedule and update forecasts Many Managers Shelve Schedules After Developing Them Schedule Maintenance Key to Learning as an Organization and as a Manager

27 Benefits of Maintenance Compare Actuals to Estimates –Improve estimates for next time –Improve control of work and scope Required for Earned Value and Benchmarking Accurate, Up-to-Date Forecasts of Delivery Dates Prove Scheduling Techniques

28 Package-Specific Features Timesheets Automate and Distribute Entry of Actuals Entry of Actuals Vary by Software Package Different Packages Reschedule Remaining Work Differently Do Not Focus on Software Differences, Focus on Creating a New Forecast

29 Breakout Discussion Review Actual Progress After Week 1 Schedule the Remaining Work Questions –Can you predict how your software would reschedule the remaining work? –Do we change dependencies now that work is started?

30 What SHOULD Software Do? Actuals Sometimes Break “Rules” in the Schedule –Actual work starts before predecessor is complete –“Must Meet” deadlines missed Software Packages Make Assumptions and Raise Warnings -- Each Has a Different Approach

31 Responsibility As Software Users Understand That Actual Work Might Break Our Model Software May React Unpredictably When Our Models Are Wrong Understand Software Settings, Defaults, and Options Experiment, Experiment, Experiment -- Create Small Schedules to Test and Learn

32 Important Choices Techniques Used When Building Schedule Determine Maintenance Procedures Schedule Time to Update the Schedule Update the Schedule and Forecast New End Dates Regularly Larger Projects = Maintenance is Critical Larger Projects = Maintenance is Difficult

33 Questions & Answers on Schedule Maintenance Pick Next Topic

34 Review - Four Tough Problems Resource Leveling Representing Hard & Soft Dependencies Quickly-Changing Work & Assignments Maintaining Schedules During Execution

35 In the Paper Exercises More Details on All Four Topics Comparison of Novice vs. Expert Use of Scheduling Software Ideas to Improve Your Skills References and Additional Reading

36 Complete Your Learning Experience This Presentation is a First Step Download the Paper Run Exercises Using Your Software Select Scenarios From Your Schedules and Try New Techniques Hear It and You Will Forget It Do It and You Will Remember It!

37 Questions & Answers Contact Speaker at http://www.alexsbrown.com or alexbrown@msigusa.com Evaluation Forms Feedback on New Case Study Format Appreciated

38 Modeling Tough Scheduling Problems with Software Alex S. Brown http://www.alexsbrown.com Mitsui Sumitomo Marine Management (USA), Inc.


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