1. Peak Oil and Climate Change – the 2 great oversights…. A History Lesson… Adapted from a presentation by Jeremy Leggett.

2. 1930 Peak of discovery in US 48

3. USA 48 production 1956 - Hubbert predicts US production peak in 1971

4. World 1965 - World peak of discovery

5. 1973 The first oil crisis

6. USA 48 production 1973 – US Oil Production Peaks.

7. 1978 – The Second Oil Crisis.

8. 1981 – Crisis over…

9. 1985 – the doubts begin…

10. 1989 Jim Hansen of NASA: “It is time to say global warming is here.”

11. 1989 Authoritative early warning

12. 1990 “Race to save our world”

13. 1992

14. 1997 - BP quits the carbon club

15. 1997 Kyoto

16. 1998 – Campbell and Lahererre publish ‘The End of Cheap Oil’.

17. 2001

18. AUGUST 2003 EUROPEAN HEATWAVE anomaly relative to late 19 th century Hadley Centre 2003 - Summer in the city

19. 2004

20. 2005 G8 in UK

21. 2005 - Katrina

24. Second energy crisis 1979 to 1981 1965197019751980198519901995200020052010 $80 $60 $40 $20 ? 1 2 3 4 5 6 prices of the day 2003 prices Peak oil

25. Departures o C from the 1961 – 1990 avge. Average temperatures from a range of IPCC energy scenarios short of deep cuts in fossil fuel use Threshold of severe danger: 2 o C above pre-industrial average temperature (EU target not to exceed)

26. The Impact of Kyoto

27. How will it affect the UK?

28. An Increasing Problem.

29. Climate change and Peak Oil.

30. Some Useful Websites www.energybulletin.netwww.theoildrum.comwww.livingonthecusp.orgwww.powerswitch.org.ukwww.transitionculture.org