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Global Dependency to Local Resilience. intro via rob hopkins.

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Presentation on theme: "Global Dependency to Local Resilience. intro via rob hopkins."— Presentation transcript:

1 Global Dependency to Local Resilience

2 intro via rob hopkins.

3 transition story. 20052006 3000 people 8000 people “Inherent within the challenges of peak oil and climate change is an extraordinary opportunity to reinvent, rethink and rebuild the world around us.” Rob Hopkins

4 transition handbook. Peak Oil Climate Change Relocalization Psychological Effects Permaculture 12 Steps Collective Wisdom Reskilling 2008 “Look at the world around you. It may seem like an immovable implacable place. It is not. With the slightest push – in just the right place – it can be tipped.” Malcolm Gladwell The Tipping Point

5 climate change. Union of Concerned Scientists : Citizens & Scientists for Environmental Solutions

6 climate change. “We have at most 10 years – not ten years to decide upon action, but ten years to alter fundamentally the trajectory of global greenhouse gas emissions.” Director Goddard Institute for Space Studies at NASA James Hansen

7 peak oil. “It is quite likely that the time interval before the global peak occurs will be briefer than the period required for societies to adapt themselves painlessly to a different energy regime.” Richard Heinberg

8 oil dependence. “It’s always going to be difficult to come up with sustainable ways to support our unsustainable lifestyle.” University of California on biofuels. New Scientist Charles Wyman

9 r.o.i. vs. emissions. “To save the planet, we do not need miraculous technical breakthroughs, or vast amounts of capital. Essentially we need a radical change in our thinking and behavior.” Ted Trainer

10 prioritization. “Economic development, powered by cheap oil, has chewed up farmlands, devastated forests, made dead zones out of oceans, dried up aquifers, and has spewed vast quantities of toxins into our atmosphere, into our precious water supplies, fouling our biosphere – not to mention our own bodies.” Great Unleashing Sandpoint, ID Michael Brownlee

11 energy descent. “The Long Emergency is the end of childhood for us. And as humanity passes through this threshold to adulthood will be determined by us, and by other who are gathering in meetings like this all over the country and all over the planet.” Michael Brownlee The challenge of global climate change makes a shift away from fossil fuels necessary for planetary survival. Peak energy production means that the transition is inevitable. Our only choice is whether to proactively undertake the transition now—or react to events later.

12 energy descent scenarios. BURN-OUT Climate Chaos Business As Usual COLLAPSE Mad Max Easter Island 90s Cuba/Russia TECHNO MARKETS Sustainable Development LEAN ECONOMY Powerdown Slow Depletion Reactive Response Proactive Response Rapid Depletion “The real issue of our age is how we make a graceful and ethical descent.” Permaculture: Principles and Pathways Beyond Sustainability David Holmgren

13 creative energy descent. “All things are possible once enough people realize that everything is at stake.” Norman Cousins Positive Community Visioning Inclusion/Reskilling Awareness Raising Relocalization & ResiliencePsychological Insights

14 relocalization. Local production of food, energy and goods. Local development of currency, government and culture. Reducing consumption while improving social and environmental conditions. “The most radical thing you can do is stay home.” Gary Snyder

15 inevitability. inevitability. Practices that DO NOT increase Resilience centralized recycling ornamental tree plantings international organic food carbon offsetting ethical investments imported ‘green’ building materials SMALL + Practices that DO increase Resilience local composting productive tree plantings local organic food locally produced energy local currencies local reused building materials LOCAL = SELF-RELIANT RESILIENT “The future with less oil [and less energy] could be preferable to the present, if we are able to engage with enough imagination and creativity sufficient in abundance of the peak…” Rob Hopkins

16 resilience indicators. FOOD PARKING VS. LAND BUSINESSES & PRODUCTS LOCALLY EMPLOYED LOCALLY MANUFACTURED ESSENTIALS LOCALLY USED MATERIALS mke

17 psychology of change. Physical: nausea & clammy hands Bewilderment & unreality Irrational grasping at unfeasible solutions FearNihilism/Survivalism Denial Exuberant Optimism ● Physical ● Bewilderment & unreality ● Irrational grasping at unfeasible solutions ● Fear ● Nihilism or Survivalism ● Denial ● Exuberant optimism ● “I told you so” “Creating the world we want is a much more subtle but more powerful mode of operation than destroying the one we don’t want.” Marianne Williamson

18 inclusion & reskilling. “Only a culture awash with cheap oil could become de-skilled on the monumental scale we have.” Rob Hopkins

19 positive vision. “Today as we are besieged by planetary problems, the wish is that we will deal with them in a pessimistic and unproductive style …A positive vision of the future ‘challenges the culture to dare, to be open to change and to accept a spirit of creativity that could alter it’s very structure.” Graham Bell

20 transition assumptions. By unleashing the collective genius of the community we can design ways of living that are more enriching, satisfying and connected. Many skills for self-sufficiency have been forgotten and must be relearned. We need to act collectively and we need to act now. Life with less energy is inevitable, and it is better to plan for it than be taken by surprise. “In the face of almost certain uncertainty, our job is to rise to the occasion, to evolve…we will probably become some new kind of human at the end of it all-it is that big and that important.” John L. Petersen

21 permaculture principles. Observe & Interact Catch & Store Energy Obtain a Yield Apply Self-regulation & Accept Feedback Use and Value Renewable Resources & Services Produce No Waste Design from Patterns to Details Integrate Rather Than Segregate Use Small and Slow Solutions Use and Value Diversity Use Edges and Value the Marginal Creatively Use and Respond to Change

22 perma-essentials. “Permaculture is the conscious design and maintenance of agriculturally productive systems which have the diversity, stability, and resilience of natural ecosystems. It is the harmonious integration of the landscape with people…” Graham Bell

23 the 12 steps of transition. Set up a steering group and design its demise from the onset Raise awareness Lay the foundations Organize a Great Unleashing Form groups Use open space Develop visible, practical manifestations Facilitate the “Great Reskilling” Build a bridge to local government Let it go where it wants to Create an Energy Descent Action Plan (Not chronological) “[Transition] is not a process that comes along with all the answers. It is a process which is about getting people to thinking about the right questions.” Rob Hopkins

24 practical manifestations. TOTNES : NUT TREE CAPITAL OF BRITIN LOCAL FOOD DIRECTORY LOCAL CURRENCY SEED SWAPING VICTORY GARDENSCOBB PLAYGROUND STRUCTURES IN MADISONCREATIVE REPURPOSING VGI MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND BLIZ, 2009 MILWAUKEE’S MAYORAL PROCLAMATION 2009

25 cheerful disclaimer. If we wait for the governments, it'll be too little, too late. If we act as individuals, it'll be too little. But if we act as communities, it might just be enough, just in time. “We truly don't know if this will work. Transition is a social experiment on a massive scale. What we are convinced of is this”: “Let ours be a time remembered for the awakening of a new reverence for life, the firm resolve to achieve sustainability, the quickening of the struggle for justice and peace, and the joyful celebration of life.” The Earth Charter 2001

26 transition milwaukee. “Would you want it any other way? Would you want someone to come I with the answer and work it all our for you? It’s such an adventure working all these things out!” Rob Hopkins Active Members Hub Members Steering Group

27 transition milwaukee. “Would you want it any other way? Would you want someone to come I with the answer and work it all our for you? It’s such an adventure working all these things out!” Rob Hopkins Let’s review the website for more details: www.transitionmilwaukee.org


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