1. Washington D.C., USA, 22-27 July 2012www.aids2012.org Meridith Blevins 1 on behalf of Han-Zhu Qian 1, Jie Lou 2, Yuhua Ruan 3, Glenn F. Webb 1, Bryan Shepherd 1, Yiming Shao 3, Sten Vermund 1 1 Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN 2 Shanghai University, China 3 National Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, China CDC (Contact: han-zhu.qian@vanderbilt.edu)

2. Washington D.C., USA, 22-27 July 2012www.aids2012.org Diagram of the model

3. Washington D.C., USA, 22-27 July 2012www.aids2012.org Five scenarios for HIV testing, linkage, ART, and condom use in MSM in Beijing Scenario 1: A + B + E (maintaining current coverage of interventions) Scenario 2: B + C + E (increased ART coverage only) Scenario 3: B + C + F (increased HIV testing, linkage and ART, but no increased condom use) Scenario 4: A + D + E (increased condom use only) Scenario 5: B + D + F (increased HIV testing, linkage, and ART, plus increased condom use) Scenario 1: A + C + EScenario 2: B + C + EScenario 3: B + C + F Scenario 4: A + D + EScenario 5: B + D + F

4. Washington D.C., USA, 22-27 July 2012www.aids2012.org Predicted HIV prevalence rate among MSM in Beijing, China through 2020 Maintaining current coverage of interventions Increased ART coverage only Increased HIV testing, linkage and ART, but no increased condom use Increased condom use only Increased HIV testing, linkage, and ART, plus increased condom use Funding for this project was provided by National Institute of Health grants 1R01AI094562-01 and 1R34AI091446-01A1.