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Josh K. Willis (presented by Dan Cayan—thanks, Dan!) Jet Propulsion Laboratory Why Californians should care about Antarctica.

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Presentation on theme: "Josh K. Willis (presented by Dan Cayan—thanks, Dan!) Jet Propulsion Laboratory Why Californians should care about Antarctica."— Presentation transcript:

1 Josh K. Willis (presented by Dan Cayan—thanks, Dan!) joshua.k.willis@jpl.nasa.gov Jet Propulsion Laboratory Why Californians should care about Antarctica and Greenland Rising Oceans

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3 What really causes global warming?

4 Side of Quelccaya ice cap, Peru Annual layers Lonnie Thompson How do we know?

5 2000 Years of Sea Level Sea Level Change in North Carolina

6 Tide Gauge Observations Average Rate ~ 1.8 mm/year 0.8 mm/year 2.0 mm/year 3.2 mm/year [Church and White, 2006] ~ 8 inches (20 cm) = 16,000 cubic miles!!! (67,000 cubic km)

7 Sea Level at San Francisco, CA Trend ~ 12 inches/160 years Years Relative Sea Level, mm Recent Sea Level Rise = 33% Warming/67% Melting

8 The altimeter record

9 Sea Level Rise from Satellites

10 Globally Averaged Sea Level Rise CauseEffect Satellite Altimeters Measure Sea Level Rise

11 Why so much uncertainty? How much/how fast? Greenland and Antarctic melting Projections of Future Rise Which path are we on? Jason-3 & Continuity

12 Surfers Point, Ventura, CA

13 Projections of Dynamic Height Yin, GRL, 2012

14 Projections of Dynamic Height


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