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Operational Material. Outline Topics to be covered Five approaches to splitting GDP Reporting Forms Flowchart MORES Layout Form 2- Source data & adjustments.

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Presentation on theme: "Operational Material. Outline Topics to be covered Five approaches to splitting GDP Reporting Forms Flowchart MORES Layout Form 2- Source data & adjustments."— Presentation transcript:

1 Operational Material

2 Outline Topics to be covered Five approaches to splitting GDP Reporting Forms Flowchart MORES Layout Form 2- Source data & adjustments Completing Part II in 5 Steps The Overall Process: Latest Year A Conditional Step-by-step Process The Overall Process: Year 2011 To be reported Schedule of Submissions

3 3 “Borrowing” a structure Using expert opinion “Borrowing” a per capita quantity or volume Extrapolation Direct estimation Adjust the “borrowed” structure by a vector of the price level indexes between the two countries Consult retailers, manufacturers, marketing experts, chambers of commerce and other sources Multiply the per capita quantity or volume by the population of the “borrowing country” and the price level index between the two countries Update an earlier expenditure breakdown using assumptions on population growth, price changes etc The preferred method, if data sources exist Requires clustering countries for each BH or group of BHs 1 2 3 4 5 Five approaches to splitting GDP

4 Initial Values for L.Y. Data Sources Adjustments to L.Y. BH Values for L.Y. Price Review for L.Y. Commodity Flow Final Values for 2011 Adjustments to 2011 BH Values for 2011 Price Review for 2011 Variations 1 2 3 4 5 22 2 2 3 1 Reporting Forms Flowchart

5 Part I 5 MORES Layout Objectives Uses of the MORES Objectives Uses of the MORES Introduction Quality Assurance Check List Eurostat “Tabular Approach to Exhaustiveness” Quality Assurance Check List Eurostat “Tabular Approach to Exhaustiveness” Part II Form 2- Source data & adjustments Metadata Form 2- Source data & adjustments Metadata By basic heading Part III Form 1- Reporting Table GDP Classifica tion

6 ICP Code Hea- ding Exp. obtained directly from the country's NA Exp. information from the original data source Exp. value Refere nce Year Data Source Adjustment documentation & adjusted value Type Descrip tion Adjus- ted Exp. BH Value for the latest year availa- ble Latest year: 2011 100000 110000 GDP Indivi- dual Consu mption Exp by HH 6 Form 2- Source data & adjustments

7 7 Completing Part II in 5 Steps Complete column 3 of Table 1 with whatever aggregate estimates are available Step 1 Step 2 Apply 5 approaches By BH GDP Classification Codes Classification Headings Names Initial Expenditures Values (GDP and main uses) Basic heading values estimated using the proposed 5 approaches Discrepancies (3)-(4) 12345 Step 3 Complete column 4 of Table 1 Automatic Step 4 Report discrepancies between columns 3 and 4 under column 5 Aggregate level Step 5 Make adjustments to resolve discrepancies All levels

8 The Overall Process: Latest Year Estimate Expenditures BH by BH [see next slide] in MORES Create Matrix of Data Sources by Basic Heading Complete Column 3 for GDP and Main Aggregates Expand Table 1 Complete Column 4 in Table 1 Review Discrepancies [Column 5 in Table 1] Adjust Estimated Expenditures in MORES Report Expenditures in Table 1

9 Take Next Basic Heading A Conditional Step-by-step Process Is there data for the BH for the year? Is there country with similar per- capita value? Is there data for the BH for a previous year? Can you obtain data from expert? Borrow per capita value 3 Use Direct Approach 1 Use Extrapolation 2 Borrow from country with similar structure 4 Use Expert Opinion 5 Yes No Yes No Yes No

10 The Overall Process: Year 2011 Estimate Expenditures BH by BH [see previous slide] in MORES Create Matrix of Data Sources by Basic Heading Complete Column 3 for GDP and Main Aggregates Expand Table 1 Complete Column 4 in Table 1 Review Discrepancies [Column 5 in Table 1] Adjust Estimated Expenditures in MORES Report Expenditures in Table 1

11 To be reported Table 1 Columns 1, 2, 3 By BH Latest Year Year 2011 Columns 1, 2, 3 MORES Content of Table 2: Data and metadata Content of Table 2: Data and metadata Content of Table 2: Data and metadata Content of Table 2: Data and metadata Tables 3; 4; 5 Optional

12 12 Q2 Latest Year 2011 2012 2013 ’10 ’14 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q4 Q3 Q4 Q3 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q1 P P Year 2011 Major Aggregate Data & Metadata Major Aggregate Data & Metadata Basic Heading Data & Metadata Basic Heading Data & Metadata Major Aggregate Data & Metadata Major Aggregate Data & Metadata Basic Heading Data & Metadata Basic Heading Data & Metadata NCs to RCs RCs to GO P P P P P P F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F P-Preliminary result F-Final result Schedule of Submissions Year 2011

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