1. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 ESA Innovator II: Ballast Water Risk Index A Tool for assessing the risk of ballast water exchange in the North Sea Kerstin Stelzer, Brockmann Consult User Consultation Meeting Ballast Water Risk

2. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Project Information Duration: 01/2009 – 06/2010 Funding: European Space Agency (ESA) –Programme: ESA DUE Innovator II –Testing the applicability of remote sensing satellite data in new applications Goal: Investigation of the opportunity for remote sensing satellite data to contribute to the risk assessment of Ballast Water exchange Development and Implementation of the BallastWater Risk Index concept: Brockmann Consult End User of the service: BSH

3. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Ballast Water Exchange Risk Index Recommendations of the IMO Ballast Water Convention for ballast water exchange areas –Distance > 50nm –Depth > 200m –No turbid water –No outbreaks / HABs –Currents away from land –No sensitive aquatic areas –Closest to ship routes Utilisation of remote sensing data where available and suitable –Chlorophyll concentration –Turbidity –Suspended matter –Temperature Transparency

4. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Assumptions Risk Index Model Highly turbid waters  high risk Near the coast  high risk Near protected areas  high risk Shallow waters  high risk Drift to the coast  high risk High chlorophyll concentration  high risk High suspended matter  high risk High CHL / turbidity at drift position  high risk Low difference between source and destination area (Salinity, Temperature)  high risk

5. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Product Product: Risk Index Map –High values indicating potential negative impact of ballast water exchange Model Principles –Standardisation of input parameters –Tuning parameters (weighting factors) –Easy integration of additional parameters Final Ballast Water Exchange Risk Index is composed of specific thematic risk indices

6. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Concept of multiple Risk Indices Ballast Water Risk Index* Wilhelmshaven * 26.08.2010 x 0,y 0 Exchange Risk Index x 1,y 1 x 0,y 0 Risk Index ExchangeRisk Index Drift x 0,y 0 Risk Index Eco-Region x 0,y 0

7. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Risk Index Model Ballast Water Risk Index* Wilhelmshaven * 26.08.2010 Ballast Water Exchange Risk Index Risk Index Ecology Risk Index Exchange Risk Index Drift Risk Index Eco-region Chl, TSM Transp, Depth, Distance Currents, Circulation, Depth, Distance, Trans, Chl Temperature, Salinity (Source & Destination) Distance Coast, Depth, Prot. Areas, Shipping Lines

8. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Input Products Satellite data Static Maps Currents

9. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Input Data Earth Observation Transparency Chlorophyll Concentration 30-day longterm averages Sea Surface Temperature (SST)

10. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Static Information

11. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Forecasting model currents (demo years)

12. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Ballast Water Risk Index Risk Index Exchange Risk Index Drift Risk Index Ecoregion Ballast Water Risk Index

13. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Average Risk Index

14. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011Ballast Water * North Sea Exemption Group * 17.06.2010 Average Risk Index: Idea Detection of stable high or low risk index regions Independent of source of the ballast water Calculation of daily Risk Indices for 2006 - 2008 –Exchange Risk Index –Drift Risk Index –  1095 daily products Averaging over certain time periods –Monthly –Seasonal –Semi-annual –Yearly Calculation of standard deviation for the assessment of the stability of certain areas

15. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Process I: Daily Risk Index No risk index eco-region!

16. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Process II: Averaging

17. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 ARI and Variability Winter half-year

18. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 ARI and Variability Summer half-year

19. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Products and Use Cases Dynamic Risk Index –Use Case: Ship is requesting permission for ballast water exchange from BSH –Service Delivery: Generation of Risk Index via the web service Input: Date, Salinity, Temperature, Currents, Uptake/Exchange, … Output: Risk Index Map –Update Frequency: on demand processing Average Risk Index –Use Case: Assessment of the general risk situation and identification of potential exchange / no exchange areas –Service Delivery: pre-calculated maps are available via the web service –Update Frequency: static

20. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Web Application Dynamic Risk Index

21. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Web Application Averag Risk Index

22. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Support for the Exemption Group

23. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Cooperation Close Cooperation with BSH –Product definition –Model implementation Presentation to International Bodies –OSPAR EIHA –HELCOM MARITIME –ICES/IOC/IMO Working Group on Ballast Water and other Ship Vectors Relationship to Interreg Project Ballast Water Opportunities –Participation in different meetings –Presentation of the Risk Index Approach –Exchange and knowledge sharing with the North Sea Exchange and Exemption Group –Adaptation of products according to requirements of the North Sea Group

24. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Summary Development of a risk index model for ballast water exchange Two Risk Index Products –Dynamic Risk Index –Average Risk Index Two Use Cases –Calculation of the ship dependent risk for ballast water exchange –Demonstration of high/low risk areas Implementation as web service Close cooperation with BSH and the Interreg project Ballast Water Opportunities

25. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011

26. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Processing

27. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Processing Scheme Risk Index Law ESA Archive 10d running mean Chl, TSM, transp, North Sea & Baltic Sea Process I EO Data BC WAQSS Process IICurrents BSH Cmod4 Met-service Daily up-to-date Predicted currents North Sea & Baltic Sea Ballast Water Exchange Risk Index Process IIIDistances BEAM Process IVIndices BC WAQSS Coastline, PA, (Fishery) Distance Map Risk Index Eco config Proc. Param. config

28. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Thresholds and Weighting Factors

29. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Transformation of Parameters

30. B ROCKMANN C ONSULT BallastWater ESA UCM Ballast Water Risk * Hamburg * 25.01.2011 Non-linear Transformations