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National Weather Service The September 2013 Historic Rain/Flooding Event in New Mexico September 9-22, 2013 National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM

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Presentation on theme: "National Weather Service The September 2013 Historic Rain/Flooding Event in New Mexico September 9-22, 2013 National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM"— Presentation transcript:

1 National Weather Service The September 2013 Historic Rain/Flooding Event in New Mexico September 9-22, 2013 National Weather Service Albuquerque, NM http://weather.gov/abq

2 National Weather Service Radar Estimated 14 Day Total Rainfall

3 National Weather Service Radar Estimated Percent of Normal Rainfall

4 National Weather Service Due to the large spatial extent of this event, impacts from the flooding were widespread. Transportation infrastructure was destroyed, damaged or compromised in many locations. Some of the impacts of the flooding from this prolonged heavy rain period include but are not limited to: Catron County: A significant flood wave of nearly two stories tall (17-18 feet) occurred in Whitewater Creek, whose headwaters are in the Whitewater-Baldy burn scar, completely destroying a catwalk and severely damaging roads and structures. Dona Ana County: A large earthen dam breached above La Union, a rural community. Four families were displaced, and there was concern that a 2 nd earthen dam nearby would breach as well. Water services and the sewage system were not available for La Union. Eddy County: Evacuations of several areas (including at least 60 people in Carlsbad, NM) in the county. Flash flooding closed Carlsbad Caverns National Park and visitors were required to evacuate. Significant rises (10-15 feet) to Dark Canyon and Rocky Arroyo Draws were noted. Los Alamos County: Several roads closed for several days, including NM 502, 501, and West Jemez Road, due to flash flooding/debris. San Miguel County: Flooding along the Gallinas River resulted in evacuations and more extreme damage that had not been observed for decades. Storrie Lake irrigation channel was breached. Sierra County: Bridges were washed out in 3 basins below the Silver burn scar, mostly in the Truth or Consequences area, with evacuations necessary.

5 National Weather Service COUNTYRIVER POINTRECORD CATRONSAN FRANCISCO RIVER NEAR GLENWOOD2 ND HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD (1927) CHAVESPECOS RIVER AT ACME3 RD HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD (1937) EDDYPECOS RIVER NEAR ARTESIA7 TH HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD (1905) GRANTGILA RIVER NEAR GILA3 RD HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD (1927) GUADALUPEGALLINAS CREEK NEAR COLONIASHIGHEST CREST ON RECORD (1937) PECOS RIVER NEAR PUERTO DE LUNA2 ND HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD (1937) PECOS RIVER NEAR COLONIASHIGHEST CREST ON RECORD (1937) RIO ARRIBARIO CHAMA AT CHAMITA3 RD HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD (1912) SANDOVALRIO GRANDE AT SAN FELIPE7 TH HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD (1927) SANTA FEGALISTEO CREEK BELOW GALISTEO DAMHIGHEST CREST ON RECORD. (1971) SOCORRORIO PUERCO NEAR BERNARDO2 ND HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD (1939) RIO GRANDE AT SAN MARCIAL7 TH HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD (1949) Flows at many river gages were observed to be at record or near record levels.

6 National Weather Service 10 day satellite loop 7 day radar loop

7 National Weather Service 10 day satellite loop 7 day radar loop 10 Day Satellite Loop

8 National Weather Service 7 Day Albuquerque Radar Loop

9 National Weather Service Is El Nino Returning?

10 National Weather Service Forecaster/Model consensus strongly support El Nino conditions dveloping summer 2014 65% chance El Nino conditions develop by summer; ~80% this fall El Nino Watch!

11 National Weather Service CPC Dec 2014-Feb 2015 Precipitation Outlook

12 National Weather Service CPC Mar-May 2015 Precipitation Outlook

13 National Weather Service What Might Happen If El Nino Returns? Winter Season

14 National Weather Service What Might Happen If El Nino Returns? Spring Season

15 National Weather Service What Might Happen If a Strong El Nino Develops? Winter Season

16 National Weather Service What Might Happen If a Strong El Nino Develops? Spring Season

17 National Weather Service Chuck Jones charles.h.jones@noaa.gov weather.gov/abq charles.h.jones@noaa.gov


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