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MACROECONOMICS Chapter 11 Aggregate Demand II: Applying the IS-LM Model.

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Presentation on theme: "MACROECONOMICS Chapter 11 Aggregate Demand II: Applying the IS-LM Model."— Presentation transcript:

1 MACROECONOMICS Chapter 11 Aggregate Demand II: Applying the IS-LM Model

2 2 Shifts in IS Curve Any exogenous change in the Planned Expenditures will shift the IS curve. Any exogenous change in the Planned Expenditures will shift the IS curve. Fiscal Policy Fiscal Policy Change in G Change in G Change in T Change in T Other multiplier effects Other multiplier effects Change in autonomous consumption Change in autonomous consumption Change in autonomous investment Change in autonomous investment Change in autonomous NX (Foreign preferences) Change in autonomous NX (Foreign preferences)

3 3 Increase in Government Purchases ΔGΔG Y PE 1 PE 2 Income increase causes demand for real balances to increase and as a result interest rates to increase.

4 4 Decrease in Taxes -ΔT(MPC) Try your hand with an increase in uncertainty, increase in optimism, and increase in economic nationalism in our trading partners.

5 5 Shifts in LM Any impact on money supply or money demand other than income will shift the LM curve. Changes in r are tracked along the money demand curve already. Any impact on money supply or money demand other than income will shift the LM curve. Changes in r are tracked along the money demand curve already. Money supply increase will shift LM right. Money supply increase will shift LM right. Money demand increase will shift LM left. Money demand increase will shift LM left.

6 6 Increase in the Money Supply

7 7 Policies Can Enhance or Cancel Each Other Monetary policy can add to the stimulus of the fiscal policy or can eliminate the stimulus. Monetary policy can add to the stimulus of the fiscal policy or can eliminate the stimulus. One reason to make the Central Banks independent is to keep them from supporting the fiscal policies all the time. One reason to make the Central Banks independent is to keep them from supporting the fiscal policies all the time.

8 8 Tax Increase In this case, the Fed is just watching at the sidelines.

9 9 Tax Increase In this case, the Fed is enhancing the fiscal policy because it doesn’t let the interest rate fall. As a result, the recession is much more severe. Do the same for tax decrease.

10 10 Tax Increase In this case the Fed is countering the effect of fiscal policy. How are resources allocated as a result of these policies? Draw the example of Germany after unification when G increased very Much and the Central Bank kept income constant.

11 11 There are 1279 variables in the DRI Model. 301 variables are exogenous, 661 variables are identities, and 317 are endogenous. http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/FTPROOT/modeldoc/m061.pdf Show the DRI multipliers in terms of IS-LM diagrams.

12 12 Deriving the AD Curve Remember money demand/money supply diagram has Real Money Balances measured on the horizontal axis. If the price level rises while money supply is kept constant, real money balances will decrease forcing interest rate to rise. This is a left shift of LM. The new equilibrium Y takes place at the higher P.

13 13 You would see the impact on Y better if you put these diagrams on top of each other.

14 14 Both expansionary policies increase Y. What is the difference between them in terms of interest rates? What does it mean for allocation of resources?

15 15 Long Run Adjustment Remember to put IS-LM and AD-AS diagrams one under the other to trace the Y.

16 16 Huge increase in unemployment rate, of course, means a huge decrease in Y. Among the components of GDP, investment dropped precipitously. Government spending did not compensate for the expenditure drops, at all.

17 17 What Happened During the Great Depression? Real money balances were relatively constant. Nominal interest rates dropped but deflation meant real interest rates were high.

18 18 Expected Deflation When expected deflation increases the real interest rate above the nominal interest rate (i=r+π e ), investments dry up. This will shift the IS curve to the left by ΔI[1/(1-MPC)].


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