1. 18- 1 Chapter Eighteen McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2005 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.

2. 18- 2 Chapter Eighteen Index Numbers GOALS When you have completed this chapter, you will be able to: ONE Describe the term index. TWO Understand the difference between a weighted price index and an unweighted price index. THREE Construct and interpret a Laspeyres Price index. FOUR Construct and interpret a Paasche Price index. Goals

3. 18- 3 Chapter Eighteen continued Index Numbers GOALS When you have completed this chapter, you will be able to: FIVE Construct and interpret a Value Index. SIX Explain how the Consumer Price index is constructed and interpreted. Goals

4. 18- 4 Index Numbers Simple Index Number A Simple Index Number measures the relative change in just one variable. Index Number An Index Number expresses the relative change in price, quantity, or value compared to a base period.

5. 18- 5 Mr. Wagner owns stock in three companies. Given is the price per share at the end of 1997 and 2002 for the three stocks and the quantities he owned in 1997 and 2002. Simple indexes using 1997 as base year (1997=100) Price ($2/$1)(100)=200 ($4/$5)(100)=80 ($6/$6)(100)=100 Share (50/30)(100)=167 (30/15)(100)=200 (20/40)(100)=50 Example 1

6. 18- 6 Why Convert Data to Indexes? Easier to comprehend than actual numbers (percent change) Why compute indexes? Facilitate comparison of unlike series Provide convenient ways to express the change in the total of a heterogeneous group of items Indexes Bread$0.89 Car$18,000 Dress$200 Surgery$400,000

7. 18- 7 Types of Index Numbers Indexes: Four classifications Price Quantity Value Special purpose Measures the changes in prices from a selected base period to another period. Measures the changes in quantity consumed from the base period to another period. Measures the change in the value of one or more items from the base period to the given period (PxQ). Combines and weights a heterogeneous group of series to arrive at an overall index showing the change in business activity from the base period to the present.

8. 18- 8 Producer Price Index - measures the average change in prices received in the primary markets of the US by producers of commodities in all stages of processing (1982=100). Price Index Quantity Federal Reserve Quantity Output Price and Quantity Indexes

9. 18- 9 Value Special purpose Value and Special Purpose Indexes

10. 18- 10 Construction of Index Numbers where p o the base period price p t the price at the selected or given period. Simple Price Index, P From Example 1 a simple aggregate price index for the three stocks

11. 18- 11 Two methods of computing the price index Weighted index Considers both the price and the quantities of items Laspeyres method Paasche method where p t is the current price p 0 is the price in the base period q 0 is the quantity consumed in the base period Laspeyres Weighted Price Index, P Uses the base period quantities as weights Tends to overweight goods whose prices have increased

12. 18- 12 Construction of Index Numbers Paasche Weighted Price Index, P Present year weights substituted for the original base period weights Tends to overweight goods whose prices have gone down where q t is the current quantity consumed p 0 is the price in the base period p t is the current price.

13. 18- 13 Fisher’s ideal index = (Laspeyres’ index)(Paasche’s index) Balances the negative effects of the Laspeyres’ and Paasche’s indices. Requires that a new set of quantities be determined each year. The geometric mean of Laspeyres and Paasche indexes Fisher’s Ideal Index

14. 18- 14 Value Index Both the price and quantity change from the base period to the given period Reflects changes in both price and quantity Value Index

15. 18- 15 Consumer Price Index In 1978 two consumer price indexes were published. One was designed for urban wage earners and clerical workers. Millions of employees in automobile, steel, and other industries have their wages adjusted upward when the CPI increases. It covers about one third of the population. Another was designed for all urban households. It covers about 80% of the population.

16. 18- 16 Consumer Price Index Usefulness of CPI It allows consumers to determine the effect of price increases on their purchasing power. It is a yardstick for revising wages, pensions, alimony payments, etc. It is an economic indicator of the rate of inflation in the United States. It computes real income: real income = money income/CPI (100)

17. 18- 17 Consumer Price Index Deflating Sales Determining the purchasing power of the dollar compared with its value for the base period

18. 18- 18 Consumer Price Index 17-18 Shifting the base When two or more series of index numbers are to be compared,they may not have the same base period. 101 115 First select a common base period for all series. 101 115 Then use the respective base numbers as the denominators and convert each series to the new base period.

19. 18- 19 Mr. Wagner owns stock in three companies. Shown below is the price per share at the end of 1997 and 2002 for the three stocks and the quantities he owned in 1997 and 2002. Laspeyres Weighted Price Index, P

20. 18- 20 Example 1 continued F = (104.35)(106.25) =105.3 Paasche Weighted Price Index, P Fisher’s Ideal Index Value Index