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1 A Multisectoral General Equilibrium Tax Model for Evaluation of the Impacts of a Tax Reform Program. Two sector Model Sixteen Sector Model of the UK.

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Presentation on theme: "1 A Multisectoral General Equilibrium Tax Model for Evaluation of the Impacts of a Tax Reform Program. Two sector Model Sixteen Sector Model of the UK."— Presentation transcript:

1 1 A Multisectoral General Equilibrium Tax Model for Evaluation of the Impacts of a Tax Reform Program. Two sector Model Sixteen Sector Model of the UK Economy

2 2 Consumers Problem Firms Problem Government Budget: Two Sector General Equilibrium Model of Taxes

3 3 A simple input-output table for a two sector economy Prima ry SecondaryCIGXMTotal Primaryx 11 x 12 C1C1 I1I1 G1G1 X1X1 M1M1 GY 1 Secondaryx 21 x 22 C2C2 I2I2 G2G2 X2X2 M2M2 GY 2 LabourL1L1 L2L2 wL Lab-taxT l,k TL CapitalK1K1 K2K2 rK Cap taxesT 1,k T 2,k TK TotalGY 1 GY 2 CIGXM

4 4 Benchmark Data Set for a Two Sector Economy

5 5 Preparation of the Benchmark Data Set for General Equilibrium Model

6 6 An MPSGE Program for the Static General Equilibrium Tax Model

7 7 LOWER LEVEL UPPER MARGINAL ---- VAR Y INF VAR Y INF VAR P INF VAR P INF VAR PL INF VAR PK INF VAR PT INF VAR RA INF VAR GOV INF VAR OUT INF VAR OUT INF VAR WELF INF. **** REPORT SUMMARY : 0 NONOPT 0 INFEASIBLE 0 UNBOUNDED 0 REDEFINED 0 ERRORS VARIABLE P1.L = VARIABLE P2.L = VARIABLE PL.L = VARIABLE PK.L = MODEL STATISTICS BLOCKS OF EQUATIONS 1 SINGLE EQUATIONS 1 BLOCKS OF VARIABLES 12 SINGLE VARIABLES 12 NON ZERO ELEMENTS 12 NON LINEAR N-Z 0 DERIVATIVE POOL 3 CONSTANT POOL 0 CODE LENGTH 1 Benchmark Replication in the MPSGE Programme

8 8 LOWER LEVEL UPPER MARGINAL ---- VAR Y INF VAR Y INF VAR P INF VAR P INF VAR PL INF VAR PK INF VAR PT INF VAR RA INF VAR GOV INF VAR OUT INF VAR OUT INF VAR WELF INF. **** REPORT SUMMARY : 0 NONOPT 0 INFEASIBLE 0 UNBOUNDED 0 REDEFINED 0 ERRORS VARIABLE P1.L = VARIABLE P2.L = VARIABLE PL.L = VARIABLE PK.L = Counter Factual Scenarios

9 9 BenchmarkCounterfactual LTAX LTAX KTAX KTAX WAGE RENT PRICE11 1 (numeraire) PRICE WELF OUTPUT OUTPUT GROSSINC TRANSFER Benchmark and Tax Reform Scenarios

10 10 Explanation or Results of tax Reform Both wage rate and rental rates have increased because reduction of taxes increases their demand, given their fixed supplies, their prices have increased Relative price of good 2 has increased Output of both sectors have increased Gross income of household has increased too Amount of transfer has reduced

11 11 Multisectoral General Equilibrium Tax Model for the UK Economy With Multiple Capital Asset

12 12 Demand Side of the Economy

13 13 Production and Government Sector

14 14 Specification of Trade

15 15 Definition of the Competitive Equilibrium

16 16 Market Clearing Conditions

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22 22 Marginal Excess Burden of Taxes

23 23 References Ballard, C.L., D. Fullerton, J.B. Shoven and J. Whalley (1985) A General Equilibrium Model for Tax Policy Evaluation. University of Chicago Press, Chicago. Bhattarai, K. (2000) Efficiency and Factor Reallocaiton Effects and Marginal Excess Burden of Taxes in the UK Economy, Hull Economics Research Papers no. 278, University of Hull, HU6 7RX, UK. Bhattarai, K. (1999) A Forward-Looking Dynamic Multisectoral General Equilibrium Tax Model of the UK Economy, Hull Economics Research Papers no. 269, University of Hull, HU6 7RX, UK. Bhattarai, K. and J. Whalley (1999), General Equilibrium Modelling of UK Tax Policy in Sean Holly and Martin Weale ed. Econometric Modelling: Technique and Applications, Cambridge University Press. Bhattarai, K., M. Ghosh and J. Whalley (1999) On Some Unusual Properties of Trade Closure, Economics Letters, Vol.62, no.1, pp Rutherford TF (1995) Extension of GAMS for Complementary Problems Arising in applied Economic Analysis. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control Shoven JB and Whalley J (1973) General Equilibrium with Taxes: A Computation Procedure and an Existence Proof. Review of Economic Studies 40:

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