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1991 Pinatubo Volcanic Simulation Using ATHAM Model Song Guo, William I Rose, Gregg J S Bluth Michigan Technological University, Houghton, Michigan Co-Workers.

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Presentation on theme: "1991 Pinatubo Volcanic Simulation Using ATHAM Model Song Guo, William I Rose, Gregg J S Bluth Michigan Technological University, Houghton, Michigan Co-Workers."— Presentation transcript:

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2 1991 Pinatubo Volcanic Simulation Using ATHAM Model Song Guo, William I Rose, Gregg J S Bluth Michigan Technological University, Houghton, Michigan Co-Workers Christiane Textor 1, Hans-F. Graf 1, Michael Herzorg 2 1 Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany 2 University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan

3 Photos of Volcanic Plume from Mt. Pinatubo Eruption

4 Outline Introduction and Motivation Summary of initial input parameters for ATHAM model simulation Simulation results from model ATHAM Comparison with satellite observation Future Work and Outlook

5 Introduction and Motivation Why is remote sensing useful to study volcanic plumes and their interaction with the atmosphere? Why is modeling work needed to study volcanic plumes and their interaction with atmosphere?

6 Why Pinatubo? (Objective) Pinatubo eruption is the largest eruption of the satellite remote sensing era (Hourly GMS, AVHRR, TOMS) Pinatubo eruption had the largest global environmental and climatic impacts Pinatubo eruption had the largest impact on stratospheric ozone depletion

7 Objective (continue) Some results from ATHAM can be compared with satellite observations – shape of the plume – movement of the plume – gas phase SO 2 amount – gas and particle separation Some model results cannot be measured by satellite observations - H 2 O entrained from the ambient air - microphysics process - ash-hydrometer aggregation - volcanic gas scavenging

8 Brief Introduction to ATHAM (Active Tracer High Resolution Atmospheric Model) 3d formulated (2d Cartesian coordinates, 2d cylindrical coordinates) 127 × 127 (× 127) grid points model domain: 50 km vertical, 200 km horizontal simulation time: several hours

9 Brief Introduction to ATHAM (Assumptions) Dynamic equilibrium Thermal equilibrium Ash is an active cloud or ice condensation nuclei Ash is covered with water or ice is treated as a pure hydrometeors

10 Brief Introduction to ATHAM (Modules) Dynamics: transport of gas-particle-mixture including tracers (advection and thermodynamics) Turbulence: entrainment of ambient air Microphysics: development of ash- hydrometeorss Scavenging: redistribution of volcanic gases in hydrometeors

11 GMS Images Showing the Growth and Movement of Volcanic Plume from Holasek et al., 1996, JGR, Vol. 101, No. B12, 27,635-27,655 The Plume is quite symmetrical for ~ 2-3 hrs after eruption The Plume expends ~100km/hr (~80km/hr)for the first (second) hour after eruption The Plume is heavily influenced by Typhoon Yuya after 2-3 hrs after eruption

12 Summary of Input Parameters to ATHAM 2d cylindrical coordinate simulation is used : simulation time : 120 min. duration of eruption: 180 min Geometry of the volcano: mountain height: 1200m diameter of the crater: 680m Volcanic forcing: magma temperature: 1073K eruption velocity: 360 m/s mass eruption rate: 4.5×10 8 kg/s density of ash: 1100 kg/m 3 Ash size distribution: 2 classes of gamma distribution radius of smaller ash particle: 25  m radius of larger ash particle: 90  m Weight percentage: small and large particles : 46% each gas (water vapor): 8% (6.4%) Atmospheric Profile: no real time observation combine pre-eruption in-situ and nearby real-time sounding observation (no hurricane effect is considered for first 2 hours simulation)

13 Sounding ProfilesStandard Tropical Profile Temperature Relative Humidity Wind Speed

14 Mt. Pinatubo Volcanic Plume Altitude from Holasek et al., (1996)

15 Highest Plume Altitude from ATHAM Simulation

16 Vertical Wind Distribution with the Larger Plume Height Simulation

17 Vertical Wind Distribution with Pinatubo Initial Conditions (19 min.)

18 In Situ Temperature Anomalous after 6 minutes of eruption

19 Total Ash Particles (19 minutes after eruption)

20 Total Ash Particles after 55 minutes of eruption

21 Total Ash Particles after 115 minutes of eruption

22 Ash Particle Results After 19 Minutes Eruption (a) Sum Small Ash(b) Sum Large Ash © Gas Fraction (d) Ice

23 Ash Particle Results after 55 Minutes of Eruption (a) Sum Small Ash(b) Sum Large Ash © Gas Fraction(d) Ice

24 Ash Particle Results After 115 Minutes of Eruption (a) Sum Small Ash(b) Sum Large Ash © Gas Fraction(d) Ice

25 Schematic of Microphysics Processes in Volcanic Plume

26 Hydrometeor Results After 19 Minutes of Eruption (a) Water Vapor(b) Cloud Water © Cloud Ice(d) Graupel

27 Hydrometeor Results After 55 Minutes of Eruption (a) Water Vapor(b) Cloud Water © Cloud Ice(d) Graupel

28 Hydrometeor Results After 115 Minutes of Eruption (a) Water Vapor(b) Cloud Water © Cloud Ice(d) Graupel

29 SO 2 Scavenging Results After 19 Minutes of Eruption (a) gas phase SO 2 (b) SO 2 in cloud water © SO 2 in cloud ice (d) SO 2 in graupel

30 SO 2 Scavenging Results After 55 Minutes of Eruption (a) gas phase SO 2 (b) SO 2 in cloud water © SO 2 in cloud ice(d) SO 2 in graupel

31 SO 2 Scavenging Results After 115 Minutes of Eruption (a) gas phase SO 2 (b) SO 2 in cloud water © SO 2 in cloud ice (d) SO 2 in graupel

32 Summary of intermediate results Ice phase hydrometeors (ash-hydrometeor aggregations) are dominant, larger ash particles travel horizontally faster than small ones The Plume’s horizontal travelling velocity (most probably caused by gravity) is quite consistent with the satellite image Gas phase volcanic gases (SO 2, HCl, H 2 S) coexist with different gas-hydrometeor mixtures Vertical falling particle velocity increases due to the ash- hydrometeor aggregation

33 Summary of intermediate results (continue) No significant gas-particle separation is observed. Possible explanations: - 2d symmetrical simulation (no wind effect included) - simulation time is too short - no typhoon Yunya influence yet Plume height is lower than Holasek et al. (1996) suggest. Possible explanations: - according to the dynamic, turbulent, microphysics processes considered, the plume cannot reach ~40km with the known eruption rate - uncertainties from initial input conditions (atmospheric temperature profile, vent temperature and diameter, weight percentage …)

34 Outlook and Future Work 2d cartesian coordinate simulation (wind effect) is needed, especially for longer simulation with potential influence from typhoon Yunya 3d simulation is necessary for a more realistic and better description assemble and confirm initial input conditions more precisely, with sensitivity tests to match the plume with the satellite results laboratory study of incorporation and adsorption of volcanic gases into ash-hydrometeor aggregates comparison of gas phase SO 2 with TOMS results, and considering SO 2 releases due to ice sublimation, to study the variation and fate of SO 2 in the volcanic cloud comparison of ash property results with AVHRR and TOMS results more in detail study the large particle removal rate by increasing the particle size if possible, use a regional chemical model to further study SO 2 transportation add more tracers (?)

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