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3/11/20141 An Introduction to Occupational Projections Presented to The Wyoming Workforce Development Council Rawlins, WY 09/25/2009 Presented by William.

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Presentation on theme: "3/11/20141 An Introduction to Occupational Projections Presented to The Wyoming Workforce Development Council Rawlins, WY 09/25/2009 Presented by William."— Presentation transcript:

1 3/11/20141 An Introduction to Occupational Projections Presented to The Wyoming Workforce Development Council Rawlins, WY 09/25/2009 Presented by William (Tony) Glover Wyoming Department of Employment Research & Planning william.glover@state.wy.us william.glover@state.wy.us

2 3/11/20142 Wyoming Quarterly UI/WC Summary Report and Employee Wage Listings

3 3/11/20143 Wyoming Quarterly UI/WC Summary Report and Employee Wage Listings - Collection Research & Planning maintains archived Summary and Wage Listing data to the early 90s. Summary records have the employer account number, employers name, industry, location, employment as of the 12 th of each month, and total wages paid by quarter. Wage Listing data have employer account number, employee social security number, and total wages by quarter. Data are retained and used for: Addressing a wide variety of labor force questions such as training program participation, the impact of injury on subsequent earnings, etc. Statewide employment projections by Industry and region.

4 3/11/20144 Employment in Mining and Construction by Month 2001 to 2006. (Base Period)

5 3/11/20145 Linear Projection to December 2008 Based on the 2001 to 2006 Base Period Employment Trends in Mining and Construction.

6 3/11/20146 Base Period, Linear Projection, and Actual Employment (What really happened) in Mining and Construction 2007 to 2008.

7 3/11/20147 Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment Statistics - Collection Form

8 3/11/20148 Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment Statistics - Collection Form The OES program produces employment and wage estimates for about 800 occupations. These are estimates of the number of people employed in certain occupations, and estimates of the wages paid to them. R&P maintains annual OES data in like format (using NAICS and SOC) from 2002 to present. Quarterly UI/WC data allow us to understand and project employment by Industry and Region. OES data lends itself to an understanding of the occupational distribution of employment within the industry and changes in that distribution over time.

9 3/11/20149 Occupation20032004200520062007 5,0695,4015,5006,1116,454 2,4932,5883,3253,7464,906 3,5783,6563,9384,0094,255 1,8892,1262,9583,2343,493 1,9422,0202,0241,9461,983 Occupational Employment Statistics - Estimated Employment by Year

10 3/11/201410 OccupationIndustry 20032007Net% All19421983+ 41+ 2.1 % 12611340+ 79+ 6.3 % 325378+ 53+ 16.3 % 15673- 83- 53.2 % 10968- 41- 37.6 % Occupational Employment Statistics - Electricians by Major Industry Employment

11 3/11/201411 Combining UI/WC Data with OES Data In a nutshell, combining UI/WC tax based industry data with the OES program data are the foundation of occupational projections. The Employment and Training Administration (ETA), Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), National Association of State Workforce Agencies (NASWA), and State Projections Workgroup collaborated to create a Projections Suite that is used to produce reliable long- and short-term occupational employment projections.

12 3/11/201412 Top 25 Occupations with Highest Projected Net Growth 2006 to 2016 by Annual Wage 2007

13 3/11/201413 Top 5 Occupations with Highest Projected Net Growth by Typical Education and Annual Wage 2007

14 3/11/201414 Scatter Plot of Projected Net Job Growth and Annual Wage 2007 by Education – All Occupations

15 3/11/201415 Scatter Plot – Occupations Requiring an Associates Degree or Less

16 3/11/201416 Scatter Plot – Occupations Requiring an Associates Degree or Less, more than 250 Jobs, and above Federal Poverty level in 2008

17 3/11/201417 Typical EducationOccupation Projected Jobs Average Annual Wage 01-Work ExperienceTruck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer1,84236,391 Retail Salespersons1,67621,790 Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks1,59128,666 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General1,08236,086 Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids1,01123,021 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Construction Trades1,00257,347 Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners99717,592 Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers98816,381 Carpenters90537,235 Construction Laborers81527,285 Waiters and Waitresses78015,376 Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers75840,442 Secretaries, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive74524,513 Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and Attendants73923,672 Industrial Machinery Mechanics71951,282 Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas69042,337 Electricians63346,005 Occupations Requiring an Associates Degree or Less, more than 250 Jobs, and above Federal Poverty level

18 3/11/201418 Typical EducationOccupation Projected Jobs Average Annual Wage 01-Work ExperienceRoustabouts, Oil and Gas57934,189 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters53940,305 Home Health Aides51621,480 Customer Service Representatives50926,308 Counter and Rental Clerks50717,232 Teacher Assistants48121,263 Office Clerks, General46723,916 Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers46424,764 Social and Human Service Assistants44923,254 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing43839,861 Extraction Workers, All Other42448,046 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Transportation41853,738 Cooks, Restaurant38120,974 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Retail Sales Workers38133,057 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand37223,948 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Mechanics, Installers36656,799 Hotel, Motel, and Resort Desk Clerks36518,963 Occupations Requiring an Associates Degree or Less, more than 250 Jobs, and above Federal Poverty level

19 3/11/201419 Occupations Requiring an Associates Degree or Less, more than 250 Jobs, and above Federal Poverty level Typical EducationOccupation Projected Jobs Average Annual Wage 01-Work ExperienceExecutive Secretaries and Administrative Assistants36135,087 Child Care Workers35918,266 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Food Preparation33726,239 Receptionists and Information Clerks31821,338 Personal and Home Care Aides28221,047 Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers28231,807 Bartenders28116,071 Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators27935,820 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Office26840,239 Service Unit Operators, Oil, Gas, and Mining26243,162 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Production26056,768 Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers25141,233 02-Vocational TrainingMobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines46744,321 Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists39042,542 Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics38233,590 03-Associates DegreeRegistered Nurses1,27852,795

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