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Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division STATUS OF LTC IN MINNESOTA - 2005 MDH LTC AD HOC COMMITTEE July 13, 2006.

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Presentation on theme: "Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division STATUS OF LTC IN MINNESOTA - 2005 MDH LTC AD HOC COMMITTEE July 13, 2006."— Presentation transcript:

1 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division STATUS OF LTC IN MINNESOTA - 2005 MDH LTC AD HOC COMMITTEE July 13, 2006

2 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Demographics More and more elderly

3 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division HCBS Gaps New services CS/SD Grants Funding increases

4 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Nursing Homes Quality Cost Industry size

5 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division NH Quality Report card Pay for performance Staffing

6 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Estimated Total Nursing Home Costs in Minnesota (2005) by Source of Payment Source Amount (in millions) MA payments $868 Federal share 434 State share 425 County share 9 Payments by MA recipients 217 Private pay 475 Medicare 291 Other 57 Estimated revenues of non-MA nursing homes 38 Estimated Total Nursing Home Revenues $1,946

7 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division NH Costs

8 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Nursing Home Days

9 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Nursing Home Payments

10 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Average Nursing Home Beds per Thousand Persons Age 65+ and 85+ (and Range) -- Minnesota 2005 VARIABLEAGE 65+AGE 85+ Statewide beds per 1000 60.4378.6 County median beds per 1000 65.9373.7 County mean beds per 1000 67.8395.0 County standard deviation of beds per 1000 22.1119.9 County range of beds per 1000 Low is 20.7 in Anoka High is 127.2 in Norman Low is 180.2 in Hubbard High is 775.9 in Norman Contiguous county groups median beds per 1000 62.8377.8 Contiguous county groups mean beds per 1000 64.6380.3 Contiguous county groups standard deviation of beds per 1000 11.343.0 Contiguous county groups range of beds per 1000 Low is 32.4 in Chisago High is 89.4 in Traverse Low is 282.1 in Chisago High is 549.4 in Cook

11 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division NH Beds in Minnesota

12 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Comparison of Minnesota and U.S. Data on Nursing Home Supply MinnesotaU.S.MN as % of U.S. Historic number of beds 1987 – 48,307 1995 – 47,1811995 – 1,751,3022.69% Current number of beds 2003 – 39,5302003 – 1,756,6992.25% 2005 – 37,182 Average annual % change in number of beds, 1995 to 2003-1.37%0.03% Peak beds per 1000 age 65+ 1987 – 91.2 1995 – 82.0 1995 – 51.9 158% Current beds per 1000 age 65+ 2003 – 64.2 2003 – 48.9 131% 2005 – 59.3 Average annual % change in beds per 1000 age 65+, 1995 to 2003-2.24%-0.66% Peak beds per 1000 age 85+ 1987 – 745.3 1995 – 611.41995 – 475.8128% Current beds per 1000 age 85+ 2003 – 407.72003 – 372.3110% 2005 – 365.4 Average annual % change in beds per 1000 age 85+, 1995 to 2003-3.68%-2.69%

13 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Trend in Number of NH Beds

14 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Nursing Home Utilization Rates in Selected Years from 1984 - 2002 for Persons 65+ and 85+ in Minnesota (Restated)* Year65+ UtilizationAnnual Rate of Change 65+ Utilization Annual Rate of Change 85+ Utilization Annual Rate of Change 85+ Utilization Annual Rate of Change 19848.4%36.4% 19878.1%-1.2%35.1%-1.2% 19897.8%-1.9%33.4%-2.4% 19937.6%-0.6%30.8%-1.9% 19947.1%-6.6%28.7%-6.8% 19966.9%-1.4%28.2%-0.9% 19986.1%-5.8%24.3%-6.9% 20006.1%0.0%5.84%22.3%-4.1%22.8% 20015.8%-2.5%5.59%-2.2%22.0%-0.6%21.3%-3.3% 20025.52%-0.6%20.6%-1.6% 20054.92%-2.8%17.4%-4.2% Source: Residents – MDH and DHS; Population – US Census Bureau *Beginning in 2002, it was necessary to restate the utilization rate because the data source used to compute this rate was no longer available when the Minnesota case mix system was replaced with the RUGS system.

15 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Trend in Need for NH Beds

16 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Projected Need and Availability

17 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Benchmark 1

18 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Benchmark 2

19 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Benchmark 3

20 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Benchmark 4

21 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Recommendations Regarding Nursing Homes Permit the Commissioner to suspend one or more of the bed closure incentive programs on a regional or statewide basis, if and when the supply of beds approaches the projected need for nursing home beds, and to re-activate those incentive programs in the event that the surplus of beds begins to grow. Revise the hardship county exception to the moratorium to allow construction of new beds in counties with the lowest beds/1,000 persons age 65+ ratios.

22 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Recommendations (cont.) Develop refinements to the Minnesota Nursing Home Report Card to include an environmental assessment or a measure of family satisfaction. Extend the quality add-on payment. Implement the Performance Incentive Payment Program.

23 Nursing Facility Rates & Policy Division Questions?


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