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Cost-effectiveness of adaptation options within the Integrated Assessment Platform Climate change integrated assessment methodology for cross-sectoral.

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Presentation on theme: "Cost-effectiveness of adaptation options within the Integrated Assessment Platform Climate change integrated assessment methodology for cross-sectoral."— Presentation transcript:

1 Cost-effectiveness of adaptation options within the Integrated Assessment Platform Climate change integrated assessment methodology for cross-sectoral adaptation and vulnerability in Europe For further information contact Rob Tinch (email: robtinch@gmail.com) or Michalis Skourtos (email: mskour@aegean.gr) or visit the project website (www.climsave.eu) Funded under the European Commission Seventh Framework Programme Contract Number: 244031

2 Climate Change Integrated Methodology for Cross-Sectoral Adaptation and Vulnerability in Europe www.CLIMSAVE.eu Cost-effectiveness Options for adaptation and mitigation have: – Different costs to carry out; – Different direct effects; – Different incidental / cross-sectoral effects. Mitigation: clear unit of account: – compare options on € per tonne of CO2e. Adaptation: no similar unit: – challenge to compare options within and especially between sectors.

3 Climate Change Integrated Methodology for Cross-Sectoral Adaptation and Vulnerability in Europe www.CLIMSAVE.eu Adaptation in CLIMSAVE Adaptation modelled via sliders: – each slider represents combined effects of multiple possible measures; – options from stakeholder consultation and literature evidence; – mix of ‘hard’ engineering options and ‘soft’ behavioural options.

4 Climate Change Integrated Methodology for Cross-Sectoral Adaptation and Vulnerability in Europe www.CLIMSAVE.eu Adaptation option features to identify Need to summarise key aspects of adaptation options: – Costs to implement the option; – Effectiveness/potential to influence slider; – Uncertainty about costs/effectiveness; – Impacts on other sectors; – Capital requirements / limiting factors. Need information at the scale of the Integrated Assessment Platform: – Geographical: Europe or Scotland – Social/technical: as important parts of adaptation policy

5 Limiting capital for the implementation and efficacy of a measure (from dark green for very high capital availability to red for very low) Qualitative assessment of the cost of implementation of a measure across a sector Qualitative assessment of the potential contribution the measure could make to overall effective adaptation in a sector Cost-effectiveness screen

6 Climate Change Integrated Methodology for Cross-Sectoral Adaptation and Vulnerability in Europe www.CLIMSAVE.eu Information sources Limited research in this area Database of adaptation cost studies Stakeholder consultation on options and effectiveness Expert judgement: – Sectoral expertise on costs and effects; – Knowledge of how sliders interact with Integrated Assessment Platform; – CrossAdapt tool for cross-sectoral impacts.

7 Climate Change Integrated Methodology for Cross-Sectoral Adaptation and Vulnerability in Europe www.CLIMSAVE.eu Database of adaptation costs Extensive database developed for CLIMSAVE: – hundreds of published studies; – global scope; – assessment of variability in costs. Informs qualitative assessments at the scale of the Integrated Assessment Platform. Future resource for deeper quantitative analysis of specific local options.

8 Climate Change Integrated Methodology for Cross-Sectoral Adaptation and Vulnerability in Europe www.CLIMSAVE.eu Development of ‘soft’ options Stakeholder workshops: – long lists of adaptation options produced by stakeholders for each of the CLIMSAVE socio-economic scenarios; – adaptation options were scenario-dependent; – estimated capital levels for each scenario; – limiting capitals for adaptation options. Refined via expert judgement: – linking options to Integrated Assessment Platform sliders; – qualitative classification of costs, effectiveness and uncertainty.

9 Climate Change Integrated Methodology for Cross-Sectoral Adaptation and Vulnerability in Europe www.CLIMSAVE.eu CrossAdapt Analytical tool for eliciting expert views on cross-sectoral impacts: – direction of impact (positive/negative); – intensity of impact on secondary sectors (expressed as proportion of option cost). Varying divergence of views: – classification of uncertainty/ambiguity. Useful for qualitative understanding of cross-sectoral impacts.

10 Climate Change Integrated Methodology for Cross-Sectoral Adaptation and Vulnerability in Europe www.CLIMSAVE.eu CrossAdapt

11 Climate Change Integrated Methodology for Cross-Sectoral Adaptation and Vulnerability in Europe www.CLIMSAVE.eu Conclusions Costs, effects, cost/effect uncertainty, cross-sectoral impacts: – Estimated in qualitative terms; – Monetary detail impossible at the scale of the IA Platform; – Functions of local physical, social, governance and economic conditions. Platform aid to strategic thinking about generic costs/effects of adaptation strategy: ‒Specific projects/policies require further analysis.

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