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Agenda Control in California Legislature Gary W. Cox and Mathew D. McCubbins.

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Presentation on theme: "Agenda Control in California Legislature Gary W. Cox and Mathew D. McCubbins."— Presentation transcript:

1 Agenda Control in California Legislature Gary W. Cox and Mathew D. McCubbins

2 Average roll rates, MajorityMinority 1960s Assembly6.5% s Senate5.6%7.5% 1990 Assembly including when majority and agenda control were divided 9.3%46.5% 1990 Assembly Without period of divided majority and agenda control 3.5%57.7% 1990s Senate0.6%34%

3 Cartel Agenda Model Floor Agenda Model Majority Party0+ Minority Party++ Effect of distance on roll rates

4 Distance and Senate Majority roll rate

5 Distance and Senate Minority roll rate

6 Minority RRs and Distance, Senate Coefficient (z score) Distance15.08 (3.42)*** Trend.026 (0.19) Constant-6.12 (-4.94) *** Log Likelihood Psuedo R2.098 N6 Estimated using Extended Beta Binomial *** - significant at.001 level

7 Coefficient (z score) Distance15.08 (3.42)*** Trend.026 (0.19) Constant-6.12 (-4.94) *** Log Likelihood Psuedo R2.098 N6 Majority RRs and Distance, Senate Estimated using Extended Beta Binomial *** - significant at.001 level

8 Distance and House Minority roll rate

9 Distance and House Majority roll rate

10 Minority RRs and Distance, House Coefficient (z score) Distance2.597 (6.86)*** Trend.007 (.15) Constant-2.61 (-8.72)*** Log Likelihood Psuedo R2.14 N10 Estimated using Extended Beta Binomial *** - significant at.001 level

11 Majority RRs and Distance, House Coefficient (z score) Distance4.22 (3.03)** Trend (-1.28) Constant-2.68(-4.93)*** Log Likelihood Psuedo R2.13 N10 Estimated using Extended Beta Binomial *** - significant at.001 level, ** - significant at.05 level

12 Majority RRs and Distance, House dropping the Republican Speakerships elected with Democratic Minorities Coefficient (z score) Distance2.52(0.73) Trend (-1.06) Constant-2.52 (-3.92)*** Log Likelihood Psuedo R2.08 N9 Estimated using Extended Beta Binomial *** - significant at.001 level


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